NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
18.09.2026 18:00
Frans Heesen Stadion

FC OSS vs Dordrecht Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC OSS Win 69.7%
Draw 14.8%
Dordrecht Win 15.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC OSS1.71
Dordrecht2.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC OSS FC OSS
WWDLW
14 GF / 29 GA
Dordrecht Dordrecht
WLDWL
23 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.77
2.64
Average Goals Conceded
2.38
8
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
10
3.33
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC OSS FC OSS 11 matches
Dordrecht Dordrecht 13 matches
FC OSS Statistic Dordrecht
2 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
9 Losses 7
14 Goals For 23
29 Goals Against 31
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
2.64 Avg Goals Conceded 2.38
8 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
3.33 Shots On Goal 5
11 Total Shots 13.5
4.83 Corners 5
38.7% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dordrecht. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC OSS expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Dordrecht in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dordrecht having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FC OSS Analysis

FC OSS sit 18 with 3 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:9 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Esajas (1 goals), M. de Lannoy (1 goals), F. Nsingi (1 goals), with creative support from M. Esajas (1 assists), I. Pata (1 assists), Mert Erkan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dordrecht Analysis

Dordrecht approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 4 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 8:16, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Ouarghi (2 goals), N. Rossi (2 goals), M. Vetkal (2 goals), with creative support from A. Ouarghi (2 assists), Dario Sits (2 assists), N. Rossi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, FC OSS won 4 times, Dordrecht won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from FC OSS's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: FC OSS 4-3-3 / Dordrecht 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC OSS wins 4, draws 3, Dordrecht wins 6

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 24:9 15 18
W W W W W
2 6 4 1 1 15:4 11 13
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 9:9 0 13
L D W W W
4 6 4 0 2 16:10 6 12
W L W W W
5 6 4 0 2 16:14 2 12
L W L W W
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
W D D W W
7 7 3 2 2 12:12 0 11
L W D D W
8 6 2 4 0 12:8 4 10
W W D D D
9 6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
L W W L W
10 6 3 0 3 16:10 6 9
W L W L W
11 7 3 0 4 17:15 2 9
L W W L L
12 6 2 2 2 12:10 2 8
W W L D L
13 6 2 1 3 11:14 -3 7
L L D W L
14 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
W D L L L
15 7 2 1 4 12:16 -4 7
L W D W L
16 6 1 1 4 10:15 -5 4
L L L W L
17 6 1 1 4 9:18 -9 4
L L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 7:18 -11 4
W L L L L
19 7 1 1 5 8:17 -9 4
W D L L L
20 6 1 0 5 5:12 -7 3
L L W L L
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)