RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
02.08.2026 13:00
Gazovik Stadium
Referee: Evgeniy Kukulyak, Russia
FC Orenburg
Match Timeline
Zenit
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
M. Glushenkov · Assist: Pedrinho
Zenit
🟨
21'
Aleksey Tataev
FC Orenburg
🟨
23'
Román Vega
Zenit
🟨
25'
Andrey Kasadzhikov
FC Orenburg
🔄
46'
D. Vedernikov ↔ E. Tsenov
FC Orenburg
🔄
46'
R. Vega ↔ Douglas Santos
Zenit
58'
M. Glushenkov
Zenit
🔄
61'
A. Kasadzhikov ↔ R. Golybin
FC Orenburg
🔄
66'
A. Tataev ↔ Alexandre Jesus
FC Orenburg
🔄
66'
D. Rybchinskiy ↔ A. Kasimov
FC Orenburg
66'
M. Glushenkov · Assist: Jhon Jhon
Zenit
🔄
69'
Jhon Jhon ↔ Luiz Henrique
Zenit
🔄
69'
Nino ↔ K. Andrade
Zenit
🟨
76'
Jhon Palacios
FC Orenburg
🔄
78'
D. Puebla ↔ B. Bosch
FC Orenburg
🔄
84'
Pedrinho ↔ A. Mostovoy
Zenit
🔄
84'
A. Sobolev ↔ Felipe Augusto
Zenit

FC Orenburg vs Zenit Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.9%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Orenburg Win 37.6%
Draw 4%
Zenit Win 58.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Orenburg1.38
Zenit1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
WWDLW
20 GF / 9 GA
Zenit Zenit
WLDWL
38 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
2.53
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
10

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 11 matches
Zenit Zenit 15 matches
FC Orenburg Statistic Zenit
8 Wins 11
0 Draws 3
3 Losses 1
20 Goals For 38
9 Goals Against 11
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 2.53
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 10
9 Total Shots 20
3 Corners 5
42% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Orenburg won 2 times, Zenit won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:45 from FC Orenburg's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1 / Zenit 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Orenburg 1, Zenit 1
H2H summary: FC Orenburg wins 2, draws 1, Zenit wins 12

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5
Zenit Away
9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
10 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
11 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
12 9 2 2 5 10:17 -7 8
L L W L L
13 9 1 5 3 11:18 -7 8
W D D D L
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL