RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE

14.08.2026 14:00

FC Orenburg

1 - 1

Lokomotiv

Gazovik Stadium

Referee: Anton Frolov, Russia

FC Orenburg

Match Timeline

Lokomotiv

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 64.1%

Odds -

0 agree / 1 disagree

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 70.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	64.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.3%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	91.2%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

FC Orenburg Win 64.1%

Draw 12.8%

Lokomotiv Win 23.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Orenburg1.29

Lokomotiv1.7

Recent Form (Last 5)

FC Orenburg

WWDLW

21 GF / 13 GA

Lokomotiv

WLDWL

41 GF / 15 GA

Key Stats

1.62

Average Goals Scored

2.16

Average Goals Conceded

0.79

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.67

Shots on Goal

3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Orenburg 13 matches

Lokomotiv 19 matches

FC Orenburg	Statistic	Lokomotiv
8	Wins	11
1	Draws	5
4	Losses	3
21	Goals For	41
13	Goals Against	15
1.62	Avg Goals Scored	2.16
1	Avg Goals Conceded	0.79
7	BTTS Yes	8
9	Over 1.5	16
7	Over 2.5	9
2	Over 3.5	7
3	Clean Sheets	11
3	Failed To Score	2
2.67	Shots On Goal	3.33
11.67	Total Shots	17
3	Corners	4.33
37%	Ball Possession	55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Orenburg won 2 times, Lokomotiv won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:30 from FC Orenburg's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)

Predicted formations: FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1 / Lokomotiv 4-1-4-1

Missing players: FC Orenburg 0, Lokomotiv 3

H2H summary: FC Orenburg wins 2, draws 2, Lokomotiv wins 11

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Krasnodar	8	6	2	0	14:7	7	20	D D W W W
2	Dynamo	8	5	1	2	11:8	3	16	W W W W L
3	CSKA Moscow	8	4	4	0	12:8	4	16	D W D W W
4	Spartak Moscow	8	5	1	2	15:7	8	16	W L D W W
5	Zenit	8	5	0	3	16:7	9	15	W L W L W
6	Dinamo Makhachkala	8	4	0	4	14:13	1	12	L W L L W
7	Baltika	8	3	2	3	12:9	3	11	D L W D L
8	Rubin	8	2	5	1	11:10	1	11	D D W D D
9	Akhmat	8	2	4	2	13:11	2	10	W D D W L
10	Krylia Sovetov	8	2	4	2	12:13	-1	10	W D D W L
11	FC Orenburg Home	8	1	5	2	7:10	-3	8	L D D D D
12	FC Rostov	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8	L W L L D
13	Lokomotiv Away	8	1	3	4	7:10	-3	6	L W L L D
14	Akron	8	0	5	3	9:18	-9	5	D D D L D
15	Rodina Moskva	8	1	1	6	9:21	-12	4	L L L L D
16	Fakel	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3	D L L D L

Premier League (Relegation)

Relegation - FNL