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DENMARK › SUPERLIGA
11.10.2026 16:00
MCH Arena

FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Midtjylland Win 60.3%
Draw 4.2%
FC Copenhagen Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Midtjylland1.97
FC Copenhagen1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
WWDLW
56 GF / 31 GA
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
WLDWL
59 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
2.46
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
15
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
17
5
Shots on Goal
6.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland 24 matches
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 24 matches
FC Midtjylland Statistic FC Copenhagen
15 Wins 16
6 Draws 5
3 Losses 3
56 Goals For 59
31 Goals Against 34
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.46
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
15 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 14
7 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 4
5 Shots On Goal 6.07
12.47 Total Shots 14.73
5.07 Corners 4.93
46.8% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Copenhagen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 24 points while FC Midtjylland sit 2 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. FC Copenhagen look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Midtjylland expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and FC Copenhagen in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Copenhagen having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Copenhagen.

FC Midtjylland Analysis

FC Midtjylland arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 19 points after 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, while the 17:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Etim (4 goals), S. Iheanacho (3 goals), Darío Osorio (1 goals), with creative support from F. Etim (2 assists), Darío Osorio (2 assists), Valdemar Byskov (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

FC Copenhagen Analysis

FC Copenhagen come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 24 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 23:8 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on M. Elyounoussi (6 goals), B. Meling (4 goals), M. Emil Madsen (2 goals), with creative support from M. Elyounoussi (2 assists), A. Král (2 assists), J. Suzuki (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Midtjylland won 8 times, FC Copenhagen won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from FC Midtjylland's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Midtjylland 3-4-1-2 / FC Copenhagen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Midtjylland wins 8, draws 5, FC Copenhagen wins 2

Standings

Superliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 23:8 15 24
W W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 17:9 8 19
D W D W D
3 9 5 2 2 15:8 7 17
W D L W W
4 9 5 2 2 14:10 4 17
L W D L W
5 9 4 1 4 12:15 -3 13
L L L L W
6 9 3 2 4 15:16 -1 11
D L W L W
7 9 2 4 3 12:12 0 10
W D D D L
8 9 3 1 5 11:14 -3 10
L L W W L
9 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
D W L D D
10 9 1 4 4 10:16 -6 7
L D W D L
11 9 0 5 4 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
12 9 1 2 6 12:21 -9 5
W D L L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs