SWITZERLAND SUPER LEAGUE
16.09.2026 17:00
AIL Arena

FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Lugano Win 54.6%
Draw 11.2%
FC ST. Gallen Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Lugano2.13
FC ST. Gallen1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Lugano FC Lugano
WWDLW
45 GF / 24 GA
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
WLDWL
33 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
14
5.92
Shots on Goal
5.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Lugano FC Lugano 21 matches
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 18 matches
FC Lugano Statistic FC ST. Gallen
13 Wins 9
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 8
45 Goals For 33
24 Goals Against 38
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
15 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 5
5.92 Shots On Goal 5.85
17.38 Total Shots 17.69
6.08 Corners 5.69
56.6% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Lugano won 4 times, FC ST. Gallen won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from FC Lugano's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Lugano 3-5-2 / FC ST. Gallen 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: FC Lugano wins 4, draws 5, FC ST. Gallen wins 6

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 19:6 13 19
D W W W W
2 8 4 4 0 28:16 12 16
D D W D W
3 7 5 0 2 17:11 6 15
W W W L W
4 7 3 1 3 12:12 0 10
L L D W W
5 7 3 1 3 12:14 -2 10
L W L L D
6 8 3 1 4 13:19 -6 10
W D L W L
7 7 2 3 2 10:13 -3 9
D W D W D
8 7 2 2 3 10:14 -4 8
W D W L L
9 7 2 1 4 11:18 -7 7
L L D W L
10 8 2 0 6 17:19 -2 6
L W L W L
11 7 1 3 3 7:10 -3 6
L D L L D
12 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs