Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FC Lugano Win 54.6%
Draw 11.2%
FC ST. Gallen Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Lugano2.15
FC ST. Gallen1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Lugano
WWDLW
36 GF / 19 GA
FC ST. Gallen
WLDWL
26 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
2
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
2
11
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
11
7
Shots on Goal
5.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Lugano
16 matches
FC ST. Gallen
13 matches
| FC Lugano | Statistic | FC ST. Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 36 | Goals For | 26 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 7 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 18.63 | Total Shots | 16.13 |
| 6 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 59.1% | Ball Possession | 41.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Lugano won 4 times, FC ST. Gallen won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from FC Lugano's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Lugano 3-4-2-1 / FC ST. Gallen 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: FC Lugano wins 4, draws 5, FC ST. Gallen wins 6
Last matches: FC Lugano
20.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2
1
W
13.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
2
D
09.08.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
5
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
0
W
02.08.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Grasshoppers
4
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
5
1
W
26.07.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
1
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
1. FC Heidenheim
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Memmingen
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Rapperswil
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Neuchatel Xamax FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
4
0
W
14.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Sion
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
Last matches: FC ST. Gallen
20.08.26
UEF
FC ST. Gallen
FC Nordsjaelland
0
1
L
13.08.26
UEF
FC ST. Gallen
Sheriff Tiraspol
5
1
W
09.08.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Luzern
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
FC ST. Gallen
Sheriff Tiraspol
3
1
W
02.08.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Vaduz
3
2
W
30.07.26
UEF
FC ST. Gallen
Benfica
0
5
L
26.07.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Zurich
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
FC ST. Gallen
Benfica
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
FC ST. Gallen
Norwich
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
FC ST. Gallen
Lyon
3
6
L
01.07.26
Fri
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
FC ST. Gallen
SCR Altach
3
2
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
1
1
D
14.05.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
3
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
2
1
W
03.05.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Sion
0
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Luzern
2
2
D
06.04.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Zurich
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Sion
1
1
D
H2H: FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen
10.05.26
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
17.03.26
H2H
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
1
1
D
26.11.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
3
L
13.09.25
H2H
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
1
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
05.02.25
H2H
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
2
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
04.05.24
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
0
1
L
09.03.24
H2H
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
2
3
W
28.01.24
H2H
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
1
4
W
29.07.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
0
W
26.04.23
H2H
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
1
2
W
10.04.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
16.10.22
H2H
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
1
1
D
28.08.22
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
2
3
L
Last matches: FC Lugano
20.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2
1
W
09.08.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Zurich
5
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik
2
0
W
26.07.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
1
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
FC Vaduz
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Rapperswil
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Neuchatel Xamax FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
4
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Thun
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Taverne
1
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
1
3
L
04.03.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Sion
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Lausanne
2
1
W
11.02.26
Sup
FC Lugano
Servette FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Sup
FC Lugano
FC Winterthur
4
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
FC Lugano
Plzen
2
4
L
05.01.26
Fri
FC Lugano
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
H2H at home: FC Lugano
10.05.26
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
26.11.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
3
L
13.04.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
04.05.24
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
0
1
L
29.07.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
0
W
10.04.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
28.08.22
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
2
3
L
Last matches: FC ST. Gallen
20.08.26
UEF
FC ST. Gallen
FC Nordsjaelland
0
1
L
06.08.26
UEF
FC ST. Gallen
Sheriff Tiraspol
3
1
W
02.08.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Vaduz
3
2
W
30.07.26
UEF
FC ST. Gallen
Benfica
0
5
L
11.07.26
Fri
FC ST. Gallen
Lyon
3
6
L
01.07.26
Fri
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
1
0
W
14.05.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
3
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
2
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Luzern
2
2
D
21.03.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Sion
1
1
D
05.03.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
2
2
D
21.02.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
Servette FC
1
1
D
18.02.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Winterthur
5
1
W
08.02.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
Lausanne
1
1
D
01.02.26
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Luzern
2
2
D
21.12.25
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
Grasshoppers
2
1
W
13.12.25
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
2
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
0
0
D
26.11.25
Sup
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
3
1
W
H2H away: FC ST. Gallen
10.05.26
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
W
26.11.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
3
W
13.04.25
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
04.05.24
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
0
1
W
29.07.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
0
L
10.04.23
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
28.08.22
H2H
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
2
3
W