ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: K. Kaivoja
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Kalju Nomme
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
E. E. Lotar Eyang
Kalju Nomme
🟨
42'
Kaua Davi
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
42'
N. Andreev
Kalju Nomme
🟨
43'
N. Andreev
Kalju Nomme
🔄
46'
Kaua Davi ↔ Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
46'
I. Jabir ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
54'
M. Roosnupp
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
57'
A. Nikolajev ↔ D. Sotsugov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
67'
U. Korre
Kalju Nomme
🔄
69'
M. Roosnupp ↔ M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
69'
Joao Pedro ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
69'
T. Baptista ↔ C. Godwin
Kalju Nomme
🟨
76'
G. Chinemeren
Kalju Nomme
79'
B. Tambedou · Assist: B. Tambedou
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
82'
E. E. Lotar Eyang ↔ D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
90'
B. Tambedou · Assist: R. Peetson
FC Levadia Tallinn
90'
D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 61.8%
Draw 3.4%
Kalju Nomme Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn1.9
Kalju Nomme1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
53 GF / 21 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
48 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.52
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
14
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 21 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 25 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Kalju Nomme
15 Wins 13
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 7
53 Goals For 48
21 Goals Against 24
2.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
14 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 10
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kalju Nomme. FC Levadia Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 36 points compared to Kalju Nomme in 2 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 36 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 39:10 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by B. Tambedou (11 goals), Wendell (8 goals), E. Otoo (4 goals), with creative support from M. Ainsalu (6 assists), M. Skvortsov (5 assists), J. Saliste (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Placed 2 with 28 points from 14 outings, Kalju Nomme continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 26:10 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Mannilaan (7 goals), N. Ivanov (5 goals), M. Orlov (3 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (4 assists), R. Siht (3 assists), B. Vastsuk (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 8 times, Kalju Nomme won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:17 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 8, draws 4, Kalju Nomme wins 3

Lineups

FC Levadia Tallinn
Formation
Kalju Nomme
K. Vallner
K. Vallner
Kaua Davi
Kaua Davi
T. Tammik
T. Tammik
A. Nwankwo
A. Nwankwo
J. Saliste
J. Saliste
R. Peetson
🎯
R. Peetson
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
M. Ainsalu
M. Ainsalu
M. Roosnupp
M. Roosnupp
Wendell
Wendell
B. Tambedou
⚽ 2 🎯
B. Tambedou
H. Perk
H. Perk
U. Korre
U. Korre
R. Vukusic
R. Vukusic
M. Tambedou
M. Tambedou
A. Nikolajev
A. Nikolajev
B. Vastsuk
B. Vastsuk
R. Siht
R. Siht
N. Ivanov
N. Ivanov
T. Baptista
T. Baptista
E. E. Lotar Eyang
E. E. Lotar Eyang
I. Jabir
I. Jabir
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Vallner
71
Kaua Davi
↓ 46' 🟨 42'
4
T. Tammik
20
A. Nwankwo
29
J. Saliste
6
R. Peetson
🎯 90'
36
Joao Pedro
↓ 69'
11
M. Ainsalu
5
M. Roosnupp
↓ 69' 🟨 54'
10
Wendell
9
B. Tambedou
⚽ 79' ⚽ 90' 🎯 79'
Substitutes
1
O. Ani
7
G. Lehtmets
18
Alexandre
↑ 46'
19
M. Sambe
21
M. Skvortsov
↑ 69'
23
F. Liivak
33
E. Otoo
↑ 69'
Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Perk
5
U. Korre
🟨 67'
46
R. Vukusic
20
M. Tambedou
22
A. Nikolajev
↓ 57'
59
B. Vastsuk
26
R. Siht
10
N. Ivanov
21
T. Baptista
↓ 69'
17
E. E. Lotar Eyang
↓ 82' 🟨 40'
30
I. Jabir
↓ 46'
Substitutes
69
M. Pavlov
2
J. Lillemets
7
D. Tarassenkov
⚽ 90' ↑ 82'
9
C. Godwin
↑ 69' 🟨 76'
11
M. Orlov
↑ 46'
14
J. Pihkva
74
F. Jekimov
88
D. Sotsugov
↑ 57'
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
09.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
04.07.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
09.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
1
0
W
03.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
H2H: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kalju Nomme
20.06.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
12.04.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
21.09.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
L
21.06.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
1
W
24.05.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
3
D
04.05.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
0
L
30.03.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
27.10.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
W
25.08.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
5
W
28.10.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
4
3
L
09.07.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
0
W
28.05.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
29.04.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
W
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
4
L
14.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
1
3
L
23.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
1
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H at home: FC Levadia Tallinn
20.06.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
21.06.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
1
W
30.03.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
25.08.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
09.07.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
0
W
28.05.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
03.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
5
3
W
23.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Maardu
5
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Viimsi
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
17.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
0
W
H2H away: Kalju Nomme
20.06.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
21.06.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
1
L
30.03.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
2
1
L
25.08.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
09.07.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
0
L
28.05.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
2
1
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 14 4 1 49:16 33 46
W L D W W
2 18 12 0 6 38:19 19 36
W W L W L
3 19 10 4 5 33:16 17 34
W D D L D
4 19 9 5 5 30:23 7 32
W D W W D
5 19 8 2 9 27:35 -8 26
W L W L D
6 18 8 2 8 21:26 -5 26
L W W W D
7 19 7 1 11 37:45 -8 22
W L W L W
8 19 7 1 11 25:32 -7 22
W L L L L
9 19 5 2 12 19:33 -14 17
L L L D W
10 19 3 1 15 12:46 -34 10
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga