ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: K. Kaivoja
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Flora Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
B. Tambedou · Assist: M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
30'
M. Roosnupp · Assist: B. Tambedou
FC Levadia Tallinn
54'
Wendell · Assist: M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
59'
S. Alamaa ↔ D. Kuraksin
Flora Tallinn
🔄
59'
R. Alliku ↔ T. Varjund
Flora Tallinn
🔄
61'
M. Skvortsov ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
65'
M. Kolobov
Flora Tallinn
🟨
66'
S. Zenjov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
69'
I. Antonov ↔ A. Vaher
Flora Tallinn
🔄
69'
M. Kukk ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
🔄
71'
B. Tambedou ↔ M. Sambe
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
71'
Wendell ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
74'
R. Peetson · Assist: Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
76'
S. Zenjov ↔ A. Kaares
Flora Tallinn
🟨
79'
M. Roosnupp
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
82'
M. Ainsalu ↔ R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
-
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 63.3%
Draw 5.5%
Flora Tallinn Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn1.52
Flora Tallinn1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
20 GF / 15 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WLDWL
19 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
8
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 11 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 13 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Flora Tallinn
5 Wins 7
4 Draws 1
2 Losses 5
20 Goals For 19
15 Goals Against 14
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
8 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flora Tallinn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control. Flora Tallinn arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 12 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 11:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Tambedou (4 goals), M. Skvortsov (3 goals), M. Ainsalu (2 goals), with creative support from J. Saliste (3 assists), M. Skvortsov (2 assists), M. Ainsalu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 9 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:7 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Antonov (2 goals), R. Sappinen (2 goals), S. Alamaa (2 goals), with creative support from R. Sappinen (3 assists), S. Alamaa (1 assists), S. Zenjov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 7 times, Flora Tallinn won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Levadia Tallinn 4-3-1-2 / Flora Tallinn 4-3-3
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 7, draws 1, Flora Tallinn wins 7

Lineups

FC Levadia Tallinn
Formation
Flora Tallinn
K. Vallner
K. Vallner
F. Liivak
F. Liivak
A. Nwankwo
A. Nwankwo
V. Iboro
V. Iboro
J. Saliste
J. Saliste
R. Peetson
R. Peetson
M. Ainsalu
🎯
M. Ainsalu
M. Skvortsov
🎯
M. Skvortsov
M. Roosnupp
M. Roosnupp
Wendell
Wendell
B. Tambedou
🎯
B. Tambedou
K. Kivila
K. Kivila
M. Kukk
M. Kukk
M. Kolobov
M. Kolobov
R. Veering
R. Veering
S. Tovstik
S. Tovstik
V. Kreida
V. Kreida
I. Antonov
I. Antonov
S. Zenjov
S. Zenjov
R. Alliku
R. Alliku
S. Alamaa
S. Alamaa
R. Sappinen
R. Sappinen
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Vallner
23
F. Liivak
20
A. Nwankwo
35
V. Iboro
29
J. Saliste
6
R. Peetson
⚽ 74'
11
M. Ainsalu
🎯 54' ↓ 82'
21
M. Skvortsov
🎯 9' ↓ 61'
5
M. Roosnupp
⚽ 30' 🟨 79'
10
Wendell
⚽ 54' ↓ 71'
9
B. Tambedou
⚽ 9' 🎯 30' ↓ 71'
Substitutes
1
O. Ani
4
T. Tammik
7
G. Lehtmets
17
R. Kirss
↑ 82'
19
M. Sambe
↑ 71'
30
H. Liiv
33
E. Otoo
↑ 61'
71
Kaua Davi
36
Joao Pedro
🎯 74' ↑ 71'
Flora Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Kivila
78
M. Kukk
↓ 69'
23
M. Kolobov
🟨 65'
6
R. Veering
26
S. Tovstik
32
V. Kreida
67
I. Antonov
↓ 69'
20
S. Zenjov
↓ 76' 🟨 66'
9
R. Alliku
↓ 59'
29
S. Alamaa
↓ 59'
11
R. Sappinen
Substitutes
2
N. Kalmokov
3
A. Kollo
5
A. Vaher
↑ 69'
7
D. Kuraksin
↑ 59'
8
T. Teevali
14
T. Varjund
↑ 59'
17
T. Usta
↑ 69'
18
R. Valdmets
21
A. Kaares
↑ 76'
24
O. Pihela
33
E. Grunvald
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
21.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
IFK Goteborg
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
04.07.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
23.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
1
0
W
17.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
3
L
02.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
W
28.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
16.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
29.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
4
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
3
L
22.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
0
2
L
15.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
H2H: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn
28.06.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
13.06.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
W
19.04.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
14.02.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
L
29.10.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
1
L
24.09.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
3
W
17.09.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
3
L
18.05.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
03.11.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
2
W
30.08.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
L
04.07.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
L
09.04.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
20.01.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
W
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
16.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
4
L
14.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
1
3
L
23.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
1
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H at home: FC Levadia Tallinn
28.06.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
19.04.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
17.09.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
3
L
12.04.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
03.11.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
2
W
04.07.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
09.04.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
14.07.26
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
3
0
W
28.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
16.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
4
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
2
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
3
L
22.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
0
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
AIK Stockholm
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
2
D
10.07.25
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Valur Reykjavik
0
3
L
H2H away: Flora Tallinn
28.06.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
W
19.04.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
L
17.09.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
3
W
12.04.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
03.11.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
2
L
04.07.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
0
L
09.04.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
2
1
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 14 4 1 49:16 33 46
W L D W W
2 19 12 0 7 39:21 18 36
L W W L W
3 20 10 5 5 33:16 17 35
D W D D L
4 20 9 5 6 32:28 4 32
L W D W W
5 20 8 2 10 28:38 -10 26
L W L W L
6 18 8 2 8 21:26 -5 26
L W W W D
7 20 8 1 11 39:46 -7 25
W W L W L
8 20 8 1 11 30:34 -4 25
W W L L L
9 20 5 3 12 19:33 -14 18
D L L L D
10 20 4 1 15 15:47 -32 13
W L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga