MEXICO LIGA MX
19.09.2026 03:00

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 88.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
88.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Juarez Win 11.5%
Draw 41.7%
Tigres UANL Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Juarez1.21
Tigres UANL1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Juarez FC Juarez
WWDLW
16 GF / 29 GA
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
WLDWL
25 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.39
2.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
2
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Juarez FC Juarez 13 matches
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 18 matches
FC Juarez Statistic Tigres UANL
3 Wins 6
2 Draws 7
8 Losses 5
16 Goals For 25
29 Goals Against 21
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
2.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
8 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 4
2 Shots On Goal 4.88
8.63 Total Shots 15.94
3 Corners 6.24
43.5% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Tigres UANL carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 15 with 6 points while FC Juarez sit 18 on 0, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Juarez have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tigres UANL. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Juarez Analysis

FC Juarez sit 18 with 0 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 3:21, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through J. Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from J. Torres (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tigres UANL Analysis

Tigres UANL approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 6 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 9:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Fernando Gorriarán (1 goals), R. Aguirre (1 goals), D. Sánchez (1 goals), with creative support from J. Brunetta (2 assists), Joaquim (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Juarez won 2 times, Tigres UANL won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from FC Juarez's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: FC Juarez 4-2-3-1 / Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Juarez wins 2, draws 3, Tigres UANL wins 9

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
3 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
4 7 4 2 1 12:6 6 14
W D W W D
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
8 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
9 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
10 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
W L D D W
11 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
12 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L D W W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L W D L D
17 7 0 1 6 4:12 -8 1
L D L L L
18 7 0 0 7 3:21 -18 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)