FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Porin Stadion
FC jazz
Match Timeline
TPV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
18'
J. Pazio
TPV
🔄
21'
T. Ylinen ↔ N. Pienmunne
TPV
37'
J. Lakkamaki
FC jazz
🔄
46'
R. Kostiainen ↔ M. Akbal
TPV
🟨
50'
TPV
TPV
🔄
51'
J. Petrishin ↔ J. Marttila
FC jazz
66'
FC jazz
FC jazz
🔄
68'
A. Luhtanen ↔ E. Vare
FC jazz
🔄
68'
F. Lamminen ↔ E. Tuominen
FC jazz
🟨
71'
J. Venemies
TPV
73'
E. Mattila
FC jazz
🔄
74'
T. Toijala ↔ A. Kujala
TPV
🔄
74'
E. Riikonen ↔ E. Bullock
TPV
76'
J. Marttila
FC jazz
🔄
83'
J. Lemio ↔ N. Aydin
FC jazz
🔄
83'
E. Mattila ↔ E. Lamberg
FC jazz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC jazz Win 33.5%
Draw 31.3%
TPV Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC jazz1.41
TPV1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC jazz FC jazz
WWDLW
19 GF / 27 GA
TPV TPV
WLDWL
29 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC jazz FC jazz 16 matches
TPV TPV 20 matches
FC jazz Statistic TPV
6 Wins 6
2 Draws 5
8 Losses 9
19 Goals For 29
27 Goals Against 35
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
10 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward TPV. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC jazz have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward TPV having the stronger overall control.

FC jazz Analysis

With 14 points from 14 games and a place of 9, FC jazz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:22 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

TPV Analysis

TPV sit 10 with 13 points after 14 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 16:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, FC jazz won 5 times, TPV won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from FC jazz's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (68.7%)
H2H summary: FC jazz wins 5, draws 4, TPV wins 4

Lineups

TPV
Formation
FC jazz
J. Pazio
J. Pazio
B. Ozcelik
B. Ozcelik
R. Kostiainen
R. Kostiainen
J. Yli-Rajala
J. Yli-Rajala
E. Riikonen
E. Riikonen
L. Jadama
L. Jadama
J. Venemies
J. Venemies
J. Mattila
J. Mattila
T. Toijala
T. Toijala
K. Kylen
K. Kylen
T. Ylinen
T. Ylinen
T. Kangasaho
T. Kangasaho
J. Lemio
J. Lemio
J. Nuorela
J. Nuorela
A. Luhtanen
A. Luhtanen
J. Lakkamaki
J. Lakkamaki
E. Mattila
E. Mattila
J. Petrishin
J. Petrishin
L. Nuorela
L. Nuorela
F. Lamminen
F. Lamminen
J. Pulla
J. Pulla
P. Raitanen
P. Raitanen
TPV 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Pazio
🟥 18'
8
B. Ozcelik
11
R. Kostiainen
↓ 46'
17
J. Yli-Rajala
18
E. Riikonen
↓ 74'
20
L. Jadama
22
J. Venemies
🟨 71'
25
J. Mattila
27
T. Toijala
↓ 74'
33
K. Kylen
56
T. Ylinen
↓ 21'
Substitutes
12
N. Pienmunne
↑ 21'
2
A. Rantanen
7
A. Kujala
↑ 74'
9
E. Maentakanen
15
E. Bullock
↑ 74'
19
M. Akbal
↑ 46'
FC jazz 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Kangasaho
2
J. Lemio
↓ 83'
3
J. Nuorela
4
A. Luhtanen
↓ 68'
5
J. Lakkamaki
⚽ 37'
11
E. Mattila
⚽ 73' ↓ 83'
16
J. Petrishin
↓ 51'
17
L. Nuorela
19
F. Lamminen
↓ 68'
22
J. Pulla
29
P. Raitanen
Substitutes
26
J. Riihela
6
N. Aydin
↑ 83'
9
E. Lamberg
↑ 83'
12
E. Vare
↑ 68'
14
J. Marttila
⚽ 76' ↑ 51'
20
E. Tuominen
↑ 68'
Last matches: FC jazz
29.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Inter Turku II
2
0
W
23.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
VJS
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
SalPa
2
0
W
09.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
OLS
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Rops
2
2
D
30.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
2
2
D
18.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
JJK
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
2
L
02.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
0
1
L
25.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
1
L
12.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
VJS
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
SalPa
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
OLS
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Rops
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
TPV
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
JJK
0
2
L
20.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
5
L
Last matches: TPV
29.08.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
0
2
L
22.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
1
1
D
11.08.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
4
L
01.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
6
3
W
18.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
H2H: FC jazz vs TPV
24.07.26
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
4
0
W
02.05.26
H2H
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
W
20.08.21
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
2
1
W
03.06.21
H2H
TPV
FC jazz
0
0
D
31.10.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
6
0
W
28.08.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
2
3
L
11.08.20
H2H
TPV
FC jazz
1
1
D
05.04.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
0
0
D
15.02.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
0
1
L
12.08.17
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
2
1
W
27.05.17
H2H
TPV
FC jazz
1
1
D
29.09.13
H2H
TPV
FC jazz
1
0
L
31.07.13
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
1
1
D
09.06.13
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
1
2
L
Last matches: FC jazz
29.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Inter Turku II
2
0
W
09.08.26
Ykk
FC jazz
OLS
1
1
D
30.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
0
1
L
25.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
1
L
06.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
VJS
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
SalPa
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Rops
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
JJK
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
5
L
H2H at home: FC jazz
24.07.26
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
4
0
W
20.08.21
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
2
1
W
31.10.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
6
0
W
28.08.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
2
3
L
05.04.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
0
0
D
15.02.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
0
1
L
12.08.17
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
2
1
W
31.07.13
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
1
1
D
09.06.13
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
1
2
L
Last matches: TPV
22.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
4
L
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
H2H away: TPV
24.07.26
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
4
0
L
20.08.21
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
2
1
L
31.10.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
6
0
L
28.08.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
2
3
W
05.04.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
0
0
D
15.02.20
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
0
1
W
12.08.17
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
2
1
L
31.07.13
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
1
1
D
09.06.13
H2H
FC jazz
TPV
1
2
W

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 5 4 47:18 29 44
L W D D W
2 22 11 7 4 47:32 15 40
W L D W D
3 22 10 6 6 41:35 6 36
W W L D W
4 22 9 8 5 40:30 10 35
W D D W D
5 22 9 7 6 43:35 8 34
W L D D W
6 22 9 6 7 32:29 3 33
W D W D D
7 22 8 7 7 51:42 9 31
W D D D L
8 22 7 10 5 38:31 7 31
L D D W D
9
TPV Away
22 6 6 10 30:40 -10 24
L W D D L
10 22 5 5 12 32:51 -19 20
L L L L W
11 22 3 6 13 37:51 -14 15
L W D L L
12 22 4 3 15 24:68 -44 15
L L W L L