🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
TQL Stadium
Referee: D. Fischer
FC Cincinnati
Match Timeline
Seattle Sounders
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
Evander
FC Cincinnati
🟨
38'
R. Sailor
Seattle Sounders
🔄
59'
K. Mboma ↔ K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
🔄
61'
S. Brunell ↔ D. Musovski
Seattle Sounders
🔄
61'
E. Carli ↔ Nouhou
Seattle Sounders
🟨
64'
B. J. Ramirez Leon
FC Cincinnati
🔄
73'
B. J. Ramirez Leon ↔ P. Bucha
FC Cincinnati
🔄
73'
T. Barlow ↔ A. Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
🟨
75'
P. Kingston
Seattle Sounders
🔄
77'
A. Lopez ↔ A. Rusnak
Seattle Sounders
🔄
77'
O. De Rosario ↔ A. Roldan
Seattle Sounders
83'
K. Kossa-Rienzi · Assist: A. Rusnak
Seattle Sounders
🔄
89'
E. Echenique ↔ A. Powell
FC Cincinnati
🔄
89'
T. Anunga ↔ O. Nwobodo
FC Cincinnati
🔄
90+1'
S. Gomez ↔ Kim Kee-Hee
Seattle Sounders

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Cincinnati Win 86.6%
Draw 5.4%
Seattle Sounders Win 8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cincinnati2.03
Seattle Sounders1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
WWDLW
73 GF / 57 GA
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WLDWL
38 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
2.52
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
21
BTTS Yes
14
20
Over 2.5
15
5.46
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 29 matches
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 27 matches
FC Cincinnati Statistic Seattle Sounders
13 Wins 13
8 Draws 3
8 Losses 11
73 Goals For 38
57 Goals Against 35
2.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
21 BTTS Yes 14
26 Over 1.5 21
20 Over 2.5 15
17 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 7
5.46 Shots On Goal 4.65
12.58 Total Shots 12.78
4 Corners 4.48
45.5% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with FC Cincinnati's more proactive style and Seattle Sounders's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Seattle Sounders arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Cincinnati expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Seattle Sounders in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Seattle Sounders. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Cincinnati Analysis

FC Cincinnati are currently 6 in the standings with 26 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 45:44 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Evander (10 goals), Kévin Denkey (9 goals), Tom Barlow (4 goals), with creative support from Evander (7 assists), Pavel Bucha (4 assists), Ender Echenique (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders sit 9 with 24 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 20:22 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Paul Rothrock (3 goals), Albert Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Albert Rusnák (3 assists), Jordan Morris (2 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, FC Cincinnati won 1 times, Seattle Sounders won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from FC Cincinnati's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Cincinnati 3-4-3 / Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Cincinnati 0, Seattle Sounders 8
H2H summary: FC Cincinnati wins 1, draws 2, Seattle Sounders wins 1
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
30.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC
0
4
L
19.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
2
1
W
15.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
4
2
W
25.07.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
1
2
L
22.07.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
3
W
10.07.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
3
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
6
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
3
3
D
13.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
3
5
L
09.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
25.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
4
L
22.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
4
3
W
20.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
15.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
1
6
L
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
29.08.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
2
2
D
20.08.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Austin
1
2
L
17.08.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
02.08.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
25.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
0
1
L
23.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Austin
1
3
L
17.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
1
5
L
25.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
1
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
19.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
W
H2H: FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
22.08.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
1
0
W
28.09.22
H2H
Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
03.03.19
H2H
Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati
4
1
L
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
19.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
4
2
W
22.07.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
3
W
10.07.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
3
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
6
2
W
13.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
3
5
L
25.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
22.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
4
3
W
13.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
9
0
W
21.02.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Detroit City
1
0
W
H2H at home: FC Cincinnati
22.08.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
1
0
W
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
02.08.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
25.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
0
1
L
23.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Austin
1
3
L
25.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
1
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
05.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
FC Kharkiv
0
3
L
H2H away: Seattle Sounders
22.08.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
12.03.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
1
0
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 4 2 43:17 26 49
W W W D L
2 22 12 6 4 56:41 15 42
W L D L D
3 21 11 4 6 39:28 11 37
D D W W W
4 22 10 5 7 40:32 8 35
W W D W L
5 21 10 4 7 33:26 7 34
D W L L D
6 21 8 7 6 49:47 2 31
D W D W L
7 22 7 7 8 36:31 5 28
D D L L D
8 22 7 5 10 32:46 -14 26
L D L L W
9 22 5 10 7 32:38 -6 25
D W D W D
10 22 5 10 7 28:36 -8 25
D L L D D
11 21 7 3 11 34:51 -17 24
W L D L W
12 22 6 6 10 34:39 -5 24
W D D W W
13 22 6 3 13 25:38 -13 21
L W W W L
14 22 5 6 11 30:46 -16 21
L D W D D
15 21 5 5 11 30:36 -6 20
L L L D W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

FC Cincinnati 0 missing
No missing players data
Seattle Sounders 8 missing
-
Y. Gomez Andrade
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
H. Dotson
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
N. Petkovic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Roldan
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
P. Arriola
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
J. Ferreira
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
J. Morris
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
P. de La Vega
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT