🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
25.04.2026 23:30
TQL Stadium
Referee: F. Bazakos
FC Cincinnati
Match Timeline
New York Red Bulls
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Joyeux Masanka Bungi
New York Red Bulls
🟨
31'
Bryan Ramirez
FC Cincinnati
⚽
40'
K. Denkey · Assist: P. Bucha
FC Cincinnati
⚽
45'
K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
🔄
46'
J. Masanka Bungi ↔ M. Dos Santos
New York Red Bulls
🔄
61'
P. Bucha ↔ E. Echenique
FC Cincinnati
🔄
61'
K. Mboma ↔ T. Barlow
FC Cincinnati
🔄
62'
M. Sofo ↔ J. Ruvalcaba
New York Red Bulls
🔄
62'
G. Berggren ↔ E. Forsberg
New York Red Bulls
🔄
73'
C. Cowell ↔ R. Mosquera
New York Red Bulls
🟨
78'
Adri Mehmeti
New York Red Bulls
🔄
79'
K. Denkey ↔ A. Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
🔄
79'
B. J. Ramirez Leon ↔ A. Lajhar
FC Cincinnati
🔄
85'
R. Donkor ↔ N. Benedetti
New York Red Bulls
🔄
89'
K. Smith ↔ G. Flores
FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 86%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
86%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Cincinnati Win 70.8%
Draw 0%
New York Red Bulls Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cincinnati2.33
New York Red Bulls1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
WWDLW
39 GF / 33 GA
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WLDWL
29 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
10
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
13
6.15
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 17 matches
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 15 matches
FC Cincinnati Statistic New York Red Bulls
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
6 Losses 7
39 Goals For 29
33 Goals Against 36
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
10 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
6.15 Shots On Goal 5.67
14.46 Total Shots 14.44
5.38 Corners 6.67
51.3% Ball Possession 58.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Cincinnati won 6 times, New York Red Bulls won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from FC Cincinnati's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2 / New York Red Bulls -
Missing players: FC Cincinnati 4, New York Red Bulls 3
H2H summary: FC Cincinnati wins 6, draws 4, New York Red Bulls wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 3 55:21 34 60
W W D L D
2 27 14 4 9 45:36 9 46
L W W W L
3 27 12 10 5 64:50 14 46
L D D D D
4 27 12 7 8 47:38 9 43
L W D W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
W L L D D
6 27 11 6 10 54:44 10 39
W W W W W
7 27 10 4 13 48:64 -16 34
L L W W W
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 27 8 9 10 41:36 5 33
D L W L D
10 26 8 9 9 55:64 -9 33
L D D L L
11 26 6 12 8 34:42 -8 30
D L D W D
12 27 8 5 14 39:43 -4 29
W W L L W
13 27 6 11 10 39:51 -12 29
L L L W D
14 27 7 6 14 32:45 -13 27
D W D L D
15 27 6 6 15 34:54 -20 24
W L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)