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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
FC Cincinnati
FT
2 - 0
New York Red Bulls
TQL Stadium
Referee: F. Bazakos
FC Cincinnati
Match Timeline
New York Red Bulls
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Joyeux Masanka Bungi
New York Red Bulls
🟨
31'
Bryan Ramirez
FC Cincinnati
⚽
40'
K. Denkey · Assist: P. Bucha
FC Cincinnati
⚽
45'
K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
🔄
46'
J. Masanka Bungi ↔ M. Dos Santos
New York Red Bulls
🔄
61'
P. Bucha ↔ E. Echenique
FC Cincinnati
🔄
61'
K. Mboma ↔ T. Barlow
FC Cincinnati
🔄
62'
M. Sofo ↔ J. Ruvalcaba
New York Red Bulls
🔄
62'
G. Berggren ↔ E. Forsberg
New York Red Bulls
🔄
73'
C. Cowell ↔ R. Mosquera
New York Red Bulls
🟨
78'
Adri Mehmeti
New York Red Bulls
🔄
79'
K. Denkey ↔ A. Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
🔄
79'
B. J. Ramirez Leon ↔ A. Lajhar
FC Cincinnati
🔄
85'
R. Donkor ↔ N. Benedetti
New York Red Bulls
🔄
89'
K. Smith ↔ G. Flores
FC Cincinnati

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 86%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
86%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Cincinnati Win 70.8%
Draw 0%
New York Red Bulls Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cincinnati2.33
New York Red Bulls1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
WWDLW
39 GF / 33 GA
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WLDWL
29 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
10
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
13
6.15
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 17 matches
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 15 matches
FC Cincinnati Statistic New York Red Bulls
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
6 Losses 7
39 Goals For 29
33 Goals Against 36
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
10 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
6.15 Shots On Goal 5.67
14.46 Total Shots 14.44
5.38 Corners 6.67
51.3% Ball Possession 58.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Cincinnati won 6 times, New York Red Bulls won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from FC Cincinnati's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2 / New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
Missing players: FC Cincinnati 4, New York Red Bulls 3
H2H summary: FC Cincinnati wins 6, draws 4, New York Red Bulls wins 4
Stats
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 7
9 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 10
3 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 9
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
463 Total passes 476
395 Passes accurate 414
2.86 expected_goals 1.44
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Cincinnati
Formation
New York Red Bulls
R. Celentano
R. Celentano
K. Smith
↓
K. Smith
A. Chirila
A. Chirila
S. Gidi
S. Gidi
P. Bucha
🎯 ↓
P. Bucha
G. Valenzuela
G. Valenzuela
T. Anunga
T. Anunga
B. J. Ramirez Leon
↓
B. J. Ramirez Leon
Evander
Evander
K. Mboma
↓
K. Mboma
K. Denkey
⚽ 2 ↓
K. Denkey
E. Horvath
E. Horvath
J. Marshall-Rutty
J. Marshall-Rutty
D. Nealis
D. Nealis
T. Parker
T. Parker
J. Masanka Bungi
↓
J. Masanka Bungi
R. Donkor
↓
R. Donkor
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
G. Berggren
↓
G. Berggren
C. Cowell
↓
C. Cowell
J. Hall
J. Hall
M. Sofo
↓
M. Sofo
FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
18
R. Celentano
G
24
K. Smith
↓ 89'
D
88
A. Chirila
D
11
S. Gidi
D
20
P. Bucha
🎯 40' ↓ 61'
M
22
G. Valenzuela
M
27
T. Anunga
M
29
B. J. Ramirez Leon
↓ 79' 🟨 31'
M
10
Evander
F
17
K. Mboma
↓ 61'
F
9
K. Denkey
⚽ 40' ⚽ 45' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
93
F. Mrozek
G
13
E. Louro
G
66
E. Echenique
↑ 61'
F
99
A. Jabbari
↑ 79'
F
3
G. Flores
↑ 89'
D
37
S. Jimenez
M
19
S. Chirila
M
16
T. Barlow
↑ 61'
F
55
A. Lajhar
↑ 79'
D
New York Red Bulls 4-3-3 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
34
E. Horvath
G
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
D
12
D. Nealis
D
26
T. Parker
D
23
J. Masanka Bungi
↓ 46' 🟨 18'
D
48
R. Donkor
↓ 85'
M
15
A. Mehmeti
🟨 78'
M
4
G. Berggren
↓ 62'
M
7
C. Cowell
↓ 73'
F
16
J. Hall
F
37
M. Sofo
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
77
J. McCarthy
G
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
F
6
R. Voloder
D
79
R. Mosquera
↑ 73'
F
11
J. Ruvalcaba
↑ 62'
F
39
N. Benedetti
↑ 85'
M
56
M. Dos Santos
↑ 46'
D
10
E. Forsberg
↑ 62'
M
20
J. Mina
D
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
22.07.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
3
W
10.07.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
3
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
6
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
3
3
D
13.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
3
5
L
09.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
22.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
4
L
22.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
4
3
W
20.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
15.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
1
6
L
13.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
9
0
W
21.02.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
19.02.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
4
0
W
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
22.07.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
1
3
L
24.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
09.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
1
6
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
0
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
3
1
W
H2H: FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls
25.04.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
L
04.10.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
0
1
W
23.02.25
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
0
W
20.07.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
3
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
11.11.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
0
0
D
04.11.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
30.10.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
04.10.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
12.07.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
1
2
W
23.05.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
15.10.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
1
2
W
20.08.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
09.07.22
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
22.07.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
3
W
10.07.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
3
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
6
2
W
13.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
3
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
22.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
4
3
W
13.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
9
0
W
21.02.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Detroit City
1
0
W
H2H at home: FC Cincinnati
25.04.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
23.02.25
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
11.11.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
0
0
D
30.10.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
04.10.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
09.07.22
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
22.07.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
1
3
L
24.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
2
1
W
09.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2
2
D
21.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
1
6
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
1
1
D
22.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
H2H away: New York Red Bulls
25.04.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
0
L
23.02.25
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
0
L
06.04.24
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
2
W
11.11.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
0
0
D
30.10.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
3
0
L
04.10.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
2
W
09.07.22
H2H
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D

Missing Players

FC Cincinnati 4 missing
-
K. Fletcher
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Robinson
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
O. Nwobodo
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
M. Miazga
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
New York Red Bulls 3 missing
-
J. Che
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Marcucci
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Harper
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT