PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: K. Ortega
FC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
Sporting Cristal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
Sporting Cristal
24'
Y. Yotun · Assist: L. Abram
Sporting Cristal
🟨
25'
Brandon Palacios
FC Cajamarca
🔄
35'
L. Iberico ↔ Gabriel
Sporting Cristal
🔄
46'
C. Meza ↔ J. Betancourt
FC Cajamarca
VAR
56'
Sebastián Enciso
FC Cajamarca
🟨
59'
Ricardo Lagos
FC Cajamarca
🟨
60'
Luis Abram
Sporting Cristal
🔄
61'
J. Gonzalez ↔ M. Tavara
Sporting Cristal
62'
H. Barcos · Assist: S. Enciso
FC Cajamarca
🟨
72'
Miguel Araujo
Sporting Cristal
🔄
75'
G. Cazonatti ↔ C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
76'
I. Avila ↔ M. Rodriguez
Sporting Cristal
🔄
76'
Y. Yotun ↔ I. Wisdom
Sporting Cristal
80'
J. Betancourt · Assist: H. Barcos
FC Cajamarca
🟨
81'
Jonathan Betancourt
FC Cajamarca
🟨
82'
Mauricio Arrasco
FC Cajamarca
🔄
89'
B. Palacios ↔ S. Pineau
FC Cajamarca
🟨
90+5'
Axel Moyano
FC Cajamarca
🟨
90+2'
Mateo Rodríguez
Sporting Cristal
🔄
90+2'
M. Arrasco ↔ A. Moyano
FC Cajamarca
🔄
90+6'
S. Enciso ↔ F. Ocas
FC Cajamarca
90'
S. Pineau · Assist: R. Lagos
FC Cajamarca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Cajamarca Win 74%
Draw 0%
Sporting Cristal Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cajamarca1.35
Sporting Cristal1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
WWDLW
20 GF / 26 GA
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WLDWL
34 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
9
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
14
2.71
Shots on Goal
4.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 15 matches
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 23 matches
FC Cajamarca Statistic Sporting Cristal
4 Wins 8
3 Draws 6
8 Losses 9
20 Goals For 34
26 Goals Against 32
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
9 BTTS Yes 15
11 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 8
0 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 3
2.71 Shots On Goal 4.64
8 Total Shots 14.45
2.71 Corners 5.32
40.7% Ball Possession 57.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sporting Cristal. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FC Cajamarca Analysis

With 12 points from 14 games and a place of 17, FC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 18:25, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Barcos (8 goals), B. Palacios (4 goals), A. Rodriguez (2 goals), with creative support from T. Andrade (3 assists), H. Barcos (1 assists), A. Rodriguez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Sporting Cristal have collected 16 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 23:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Vizeu (5 goals), L. Iberico (4 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotun (5 assists), I. Avila (3 assists), S. Gonzalez (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, FC Cajamarca won 1 times, Sporting Cristal won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from FC Cajamarca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1 / Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Cajamarca wins 1, draws 0, Sporting Cristal wins 0
Stats
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
6 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 9
5 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Goal 8
6 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 8
6 Goalkeeper Saves 7
328 Total passes 414
255 Passes accurate 347
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Cajamarca
Formation
Sporting Cristal
S. Aspajo
S. Aspajo
C. Gomez
C. Gomez
A. Rodas
A. Rodas
M. Almiron
M. Almiron
R. Lagos
🎯
R. Lagos
J. G. Orejuela
J. G. Orejuela
S. Enciso
🎯
S. Enciso
C. Meza
C. Meza
B. Palacios
B. Palacios
M. Arrasco
M. Arrasco
H. Barcos
🎯
H. Barcos
D. Enriquez
D. Enriquez
L. Sosa
L. Sosa
M. Araujo
M. Araujo
L. Abram
🎯
L. Abram
Cristiano
Cristiano
J. Gonzalez
J. Gonzalez
G. Cazonatti
G. Cazonatti
Y. Yotun
Y. Yotun
M. Castro
M. Castro
I. Avila
I. Avila
L. Iberico
L. Iberico
FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
S. Aspajo
G
44
C. Gomez
14
A. Rodas
D
22
M. Almiron
D
13
R. Lagos
🎯 90' 🟨 59'
D
18
J. G. Orejuela
M
31
S. Enciso
🎯 62' ↓ 90+6'
M
20
C. Meza
↓ 46'
M
17
B. Palacios
↓ 89' 🟨 25'
M
11
M. Arrasco
↓ 90+2' 🟨 82'
M
9
H. Barcos
⚽ 62' 🎯 80'
F
Substitutes
1
C. Mosquera
G
25
E. Paucar
M
8
A. Moyano
↑ 90+2' 🟨 90+5'
M
7
S. Pineau
⚽ 90' ↑ 89'
F
19
S. Peralta
27
J. Betancourt
⚽ 80' ↑ 46'
4
J. A. Rosell Delgado
D
29
F. Ocas
↑ 90+6'
F
30
J. C. Vega
D
Sporting Cristal 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
D. Enriquez
G
8
L. Sosa
D
20
M. Araujo
🟨 72'
D
96
L. Abram
🎯 24' 🟨 60'
D
90
Cristiano
D
18
J. Gonzalez
↓ 61' 🟨 22'
M
55
G. Cazonatti
↓ 75'
M
19
Y. Yotun
⚽ 24' ↓ 76'
M
23
M. Castro
M
11
I. Avila
↓ 76'
F
16
L. Iberico
↓ 35'
F
Substitutes
33
C. Bautista
14
C. Benavente
F
25
M. Tavara
↑ 61'
M
97
M. Rodriguez
↑ 76' 🟨 90+2'
F
26
I. Wisdom
↑ 76'
M
27
Gabriel
↑ 35'
M
32
L. Diaz
D
28
D. Otoya
F
21
C. Cabellos
↑ 75'
M
Last matches: FC Cajamarca
31.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
0
3
L
13.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
3
4
L
06.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
09.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
3
3
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
1
W
Last matches: Sporting Cristal
31.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
2
3
L
28.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
ADT
2
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
2
2
D
29.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
1
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
1
2
L
09.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
3
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
3
1
W
04.03.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
H2H: FC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal
15.05.26
H2H
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
3
1
W
Last matches: FC Cajamarca
31.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
3
2
W
18.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
09.02.26
Pri
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Cajamarca
ADT
2
1
W
H2H at home: FC Cajamarca
15.05.26
H2H
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
3
1
W
Last matches: Sporting Cristal
31.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
2
3
L
28.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
21.05.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Junior
2
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
1
4
L
16.04.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
04.03.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
18.02.26
CON
Sporting Cristal
2 de Mayo
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
H2H away: Sporting Cristal
15.05.26
H2H
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
3
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)