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Lugo
NS
Ourense CF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.01
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
79.2%
1.83 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.1%
2.01 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Lugo Win 20.9%
Draw 32%
Ourense CF Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lugo1.4
Ourense CF1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lugo Lugo
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Ourense CF Ourense CF
WLDWL
1 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lugo Lugo 3 matches
Ourense CF Ourense CF 1 matches
Lugo Statistic Ourense CF
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
3 Goals For 1
3 Goals Against 2
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Lugo won 2 times, Ourense CF won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Lugo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (79.2%)
Predicted formations: Lugo - / Ourense CF 4-4-2
H2H summary: Lugo wins 2, draws 0, Ourense CF wins 3
Last matches: Lugo
15.08.26
Fri
Lugo
Coruxo
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Lugo
Deportivo La Coruna
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Lugo
Celta de Vigo II
1
1
D
Last matches: Ourense CF
15.08.26
Fri
Ourense CF
Pontevedra
1
2
L
18.12.25
Cop
Ourense CF
Athletic Club
0
1
L
03.12.25
Cop
Ourense CF
Girona
2
1
W
28.10.25
Cop
Ourense CF
Oviedo
4
2
W
H2H: Lugo vs Ourense CF
11.04.26
H2H
Ourense CF
Lugo
4
2
L
21.12.25
H2H
Lugo
Ourense CF
2
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Lugo
Ourense CF
0
2
L
11.01.25
H2H
Ourense CF
Lugo
2
1
L
23.07.22
H2H
Ourense CF
Lugo
0
3
W
Last matches: Lugo
15.08.26
Fri
Lugo
Coruxo
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lugo
Celta de Vigo II
1
1
D
H2H at home: Lugo
21.12.25
H2H
Lugo
Ourense CF
2
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Lugo
Ourense CF
0
2
L
Last matches: Ourense CF
15.08.26
Fri
Ourense CF
Pontevedra
1
2
L
H2H away: Ourense CF
21.12.25
H2H
Lugo
Ourense CF
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Lugo
Ourense CF
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.83
Draw 3.39
Away 3.53
ASIAN HANDICAP
Home -1.25 2.77
Away -1.25 1.36
Home -1 2.46
Away -1 1.45
Home -0.75 2.06
Away -0.75 1.66
Home -0.5 1.83
Away -0.5 1.88
Home -0.25 1.61
Away -0.25 2.16
Home +0 1.38
Away +0 2.70
Home +0.25 1.29
Away +0.25 3.08
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.31
Under 2.0 3.01
Over 2.25 1.50
Under 2.25 2.34
Over 2.5 1.69
Under 2.5 2.01
Over 2.75 1.89
Under 2.75 1.82
Over 3.5 2.68
Under 3.5 1.38
Over 3.0 2.17
Under 3.0 1.60
Over 3.25 2.42
Under 3.25 1.47
GOALS OVER/UNDER FIRST HALF
Over 1.5 2.46
Under 1.5 1.46
Over 1.75 3.03
Under 1.75 1.30
Over 0.75 1.41
Under 0.75 2.56
Over 1.0 1.64
Under 1.0 2.08
Over 1.25 2.07
Under 1.25 1.67
TOTAL - HOME
Over 1.5 1.79
Under 1.5 1.90
ASIAN HANDICAP FIRST HALF
Home -0.75 2.88
Away -0.75 1.33
Home -0.5 2.29
Away -0.5 1.53
Home -0.25 1.88
Away -0.25 1.81
Home +0 1.44
Away +0 2.53
Home +0.25 1.27
Away +0.25 3.19
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5 1.68
Under 0.5 1.98
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5 2.28
Under 0.5 1.51
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.83
Draw 3.39
Away 3.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.31
Under 2.0 3.01
Over 2.25 1.50
Under 2.25 2.34
Over 2.5 1.69
Under 2.5 2.01
Over 2.75 1.89
Under 2.75 1.82
Over 3.5 2.68
Under 3.5 1.38
Over 3.0 2.17
Under 3.0 1.60
Over 3.25 2.42
Under 3.25 1.47
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.80
Draw 3.60
Away 3.60
HOME/AWAY
Home 1.40
Away 2.75
ASIAN HANDICAP
Home -0.5 1.85
Away -0.5 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.70
Under 2.5 2.10
HT/FT DOUBLE
Home/Draw 15.00
Home/Away 34.00
Draw/Away 8.50
Draw/Draw 6.00
Home/Home 2.88
Draw/Home 5.00
Away/Home 23.00
Away/Draw 15.00
Away/Away 6.00
EXACT SCORE
1:0 8.50
2:0 10.00
2:1 9.00
3:0 15.00
3:1 15.00
3:2 23.00
4:0 29.00
4:1 29.00
0:0 13.00
1:1 7.50
2:2 15.00
0:1 13.00
0:2 21.00
0:3 41.00
1:2 13.00
1:3 29.00
2:3 34.00
3:3 41.00
0:4 81.00
1:4 51.00
2:4 67.00
4:2 41.00
1:5 151.00
2:5 151.00
3:4 101.00
5:0 51.00
5:1 51.00
5:2 67.00
6:0 126.00
6:1 101.00
6:2 151.00
4:3 67.00
5:3 151.00
4:4 151.00
DOUBLE CHANCE
Home/Draw 1.22
Home/Away 1.22
Draw/Away 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.38
Draw 2.30
Away 4.00
TEAM TO SCORE FIRST
No goal 13.00
Home 1.62
Away 2.30
ASIAN HANDICAP FIRST HALF
Home -0.25 2.00
Away -0.25 1.80
DOUBLE CHANCE - FIRST HALF
Home/Draw 1.22
Home/Away 1.57
Draw/Away 1.53
ODD/EVEN
Odd 1.98
Even 1.88
ODD/EVEN - FIRST HALF
Odd 2.00
Even 1.80
CORRECT SCORE - FIRST HALF
1:0 4.00
2:0 9.50
2:1 19.00
3:0 29.00
3:1 41.00
3:2 101.00
4:0 81.00
4:1 126.00
0:0 3.20
1:1 7.50
2:2 41.00
0:1 6.00
0:2 21.00
0:3 51.00
1:2 26.00
1:3 67.00
2:3 151.00
GOAL LINE
Over 2.75 1.90
Under 2.75 1.90
ODD/EVEN - SECOND HALF
Odd 1.91
Even 1.80
GOAL LINE (1ST HALF)
Over 1.25 2.08
Under 1.25 1.72
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.80
Draw 3.60
Away 3.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.38
Draw 2.30
Away 4.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.70
Under 2.5 2.10
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.84
Draw 3.60
Away 3.93
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.11
Draw 2.57
Away 3.82
ASIAN HANDICAP
Home -1.25 2.78
Away -1.25 1.37
Home -1 2.47
Away -1 1.46
Home -0.75 2.00
Away -0.75 1.65
Home -0.25 1.60
Away -0.25 2.21
Home +0 1.37
Away +0 2.91
Home +0.25 1.26
Away +0.25 3.20
Home -2 5.40
Away -2 1.09
Home +1 1.03
Away +1 7.30
Home -1.75 3.84
Away -1.75 1.18
Home -1.5 3.08
Away -1.5 1.28
Home +1.5 1.02
Away +1.5 8.30
Home -2.5 6.15
Away -2.5 1.06
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Under 1.5 3.82
Over 1.75 1.23
Under 1.75 3.42
Over 2.0 1.30
Under 2.0 2.97
Over 2.25 1.53
Under 2.25 2.37
Over 2.5 1.72
Under 2.5 2.03
Over 2.75 1.89
Under 2.75 1.83
Over 3.5 2.69
Under 3.5 1.36
Over 0.5 1.00
Under 0.5 10.60
Over 1.0 1.00
Under 1.0 9.20
Over 3.0 2.14
Under 3.0 1.57
Over 4.5 4.90
Under 4.5 1.13
Over 3.25 2.41
Under 3.25 1.45
Over 3.75 3.20
Under 3.75 1.26
Over 4.0 4.25
Under 4.0 1.15
Over 5.5 11.00
Under 5.5 1.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER FIRST HALF
Over 1.5 2.47
Under 1.5 1.44
Over 2.0 4.40
Under 2.0 1.16
Over 2.5 6.00
Under 2.5 1.11
Over 3.5 12.00
Under 3.5 1.02
Over 0.5 1.32
Under 0.5 2.92
Over 0.75 1.45
Under 0.75 2.51
Over 1.0 1.69
Under 1.0 2.02
Over 1.25 2.08
Under 1.25 1.62
Over 4.5 50.00
HT/FT DOUBLE
Home/Draw 13.00
Home/Away 31.00
Draw/Away 8.50
Draw/Draw 5.50
Home/Home 2.88
Draw/Home 5.00
Away/Home 18.00
Away/Draw 13.00
Away/Away 6.00
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Yes 1.62
No 2.12
EXACT SCORE
1:0 7.50
2:0 8.50
2:1 7.50
3:0 13.00
3:1 12.00
3:2 17.00
4:0 29.00
4:1 23.00
0:0 11.00
1:1 6.50
2:2 11.00
0:1 11.00
0:2 17.00
0:3 46.00
1:2 11.00
1:3 23.00
2:3 26.00
3:3 46.00
0:4 100.00
1:4 75.00
2:4 80.00
4:2 41.00
0:5 100.00
0:6 100.00
1:5 100.00
1:6 100.00
2:5 100.00
2:6 100.00
3:4 100.00
5:0 75.00
5:1 65.00
5:2 80.00
6:0 100.00
6:1 100.00
6:2 100.00
4:3 75.00
3:5 100.00
3:6 100.00
4:5 100.00
4:6 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
5:6 100.00
6:3 100.00
6:4 100.00
6:5 100.00
4:4 100.00
7:0 100.00
7:1 100.00
7:2 100.00
7:3 100.00
7:4 100.00
7:5 100.00
7:6 100.00
8:0 100.00
8:1 100.00
8:2 100.00
8:3 100.00
8:4 100.00
8:5 100.00
8:6 100.00
8:7 100.00
9:0 100.00
9:1 100.00
9:2 100.00
9:3 100.00
9:4 100.00
9:5 100.00
9:6 100.00
9:7 100.00
9:8 100.00
10:0 100.00
10:1 100.00
10:2 100.00
10:3 100.00
10:4 100.00
10:5 100.00
10:6 100.00
10:7 100.00
10:8 100.00
10:9 100.00
11:0 100.00
5:5 100.00
6:6 100.00
7:7 100.00
8:8 100.00
9:9 100.00
10:10 100.00
0:7 100.00
0:8 100.00
0:9 100.00
0:10 100.00
0:11 100.00
1:7 100.00
1:8 100.00
1:9 100.00
1:10 100.00
2:7 100.00
2:8 100.00
2:9 100.00
2:10 100.00
3:7 100.00
3:8 100.00
3:9 100.00
3:10 100.00
4:7 100.00
4:8 100.00
4:9 100.00
4:10 100.00
5:7 100.00
5:8 100.00
5:9 100.00
5:10 100.00
6:7 100.00
6:8 100.00
6:9 100.00
6:10 100.00
7:8 100.00
7:9 100.00
7:10 100.00
8:9 100.00
8:10 100.00
9:10 100.00
HIGHEST SCORING HALF
Draw 3.62
1st Half 3.02
2nd Half 1.95
DOUBLE CHANCE
Home/Draw 1.21
Home/Away 1.25
Draw/Away 1.86
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.35
Draw 2.14
Away 4.33
TOTAL - HOME
Over 1.5 1.82
Under 1.5 1.88
Over 2.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.27
Over 3.5 6.80
Under 3.5 1.06
Over 1 1.28
Under 1 3.35
Over 2 2.60
Under 2 1.43
Over 3 6.00
Under 3 1.08
Over 0.5 1.14
Under 0.5 4.70
TOTAL - AWAY
Over 1.5 2.75
Under 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 6.60
Under 2.5 1.06
Over 1 1.85
Under 1 1.85
Over 2 5.50
Under 2 1.10
Over 0.5 1.40
Under 0.5 2.70
ASIAN HANDICAP FIRST HALF
Home -1 5.10
Away -1 1.10
Home -0.25 1.90
Away -0.25 1.75
Home +0 1.42
Away +0 2.53
Home +0.25 1.25
Away +0.25 3.34
DOUBLE CHANCE - FIRST HALF
Home/Draw 1.12
Home/Away 1.53
Draw/Away 1.44
ODD/EVEN
Odd 1.85
Even 1.79
ODD/EVEN - FIRST HALF
Odd 2.01
Even 1.66
HOME ODD/EVEN
Odd 1.86
Even 1.78
GOALS OVER/UNDER - SECOND HALF
Over 1.5 1.89
Under 1.5 1.79
Over 1.75 2.20
Under 1.75 1.55
Over 2.0 2.88
Under 2.0 1.33
Over 0.5 1.19
Under 0.5 4.20
Over 1.0 1.31
Under 1.0 2.97
Over 1.25 1.62
Under 1.25 2.13
CORRECT SCORE - FIRST HALF
1:0 4.00
2:0 9.50
2:1 19.00
3:0 29.00
3:1 41.00
3:2 100.00
4:0 80.00
4:1 100.00
0:0 2.92
1:1 7.50
2:2 41.00
0:1 6.00
0:2 21.00
0:3 50.00
1:2 26.00
1:3 65.00
2:3 100.00
3:3 100.00
0:4 100.00
1:4 100.00
2:4 100.00
4:2 100.00
0:5 100.00
1:5 100.00
2:5 100.00
3:4 100.00
5:0 100.00
5:1 100.00
5:2 100.00
4:3 100.00
3:5 100.00
4:5 100.00
5:3 100.00
5:4 100.00
4:4 100.00
5:5 100.00
DOUBLE CHANCE - SECOND HALF
Home/Draw 1.16
Home/Away 1.36
Draw/Away 1.54
BOTH TEAMS SCORE - FIRST HALF
Yes 3.95
No 1.19
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE - SECOND HALF
Yes 2.92
No 1.34
AWAY ODD/EVEN
Odd 2.01
Even 1.67
ODD/EVEN - SECOND HALF
Odd 1.90
Even 1.75
ASIAN HANDICAP (2ND HALF)
Home -1 3.78
Away -1 1.19
Home -0.25 1.77
Away -0.25 1.87
Home +0 1.41
Away +0 2.56
Home +0.25 1.28
Away +0.25 3.14
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5 1.72
Under 0.5 1.93
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(1ST HALF)
Over 0.5 2.31
Under 0.5 1.50
HOME TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 0.5 1.47
Under 0.5 2.39
AWAY TEAM TOTAL GOALS(2ND HALF)
Over 0.5 1.92
Under 0.5 1.73
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.84
Draw 3.60
Away 3.93
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.35
Draw 2.14
Away 4.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.11
Draw 2.57
Away 3.82
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Under 1.5 3.82
Over 1.75 1.23
Under 1.75 3.42
Over 2.0 1.30
Under 2.0 2.97
Over 2.25 1.53
Under 2.25 2.37
Over 2.5 1.72
Under 2.5 2.03
Over 2.75 1.89
Under 2.75 1.83
Over 3.5 2.69
Under 3.5 1.36
Over 0.5 1.00
Under 0.5 10.60
Over 1.0 1.00
Under 1.0 9.20
Over 3.0 2.14
Under 3.0 1.57
Over 4.5 4.90
Under 4.5 1.13
Over 3.25 2.41
Under 3.25 1.45
Over 3.75 3.20
Under 3.75 1.26
Over 4.0 4.25
Under 4.0 1.15
Over 5.5 11.00
Under 5.5 1.04
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.82
Draw 3.55
Away 3.45
HOME/AWAY
Home 1.38
Away 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Under 1.5 3.80
Over 2.5 1.64
Under 2.5 2.02
Over 3.5 2.60
Under 3.5 1.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER FIRST HALF
Over 1.5 2.30
Under 1.5 1.47
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Yes 1.61
No 2.12
HANDICAP RESULT
Home -1 2.75
Away -1 1.75
Draw -1 3.10
DOUBLE CHANCE
Home/Draw 1.20
Home/Away 1.19
Draw/Away 1.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.30
Draw 2.33
Away 3.90
TOTAL - HOME
Over 1.5 1.71
Under 1.5 1.88
TOTAL - AWAY
Over 0.5 1.34
Under 0.5 2.70
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.82
Draw 3.55
Away 3.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.30
Draw 2.33
Away 3.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Under 1.5 3.80
Over 2.5 1.64
Under 2.5 2.02
Over 3.5 2.60
Under 3.5 1.38