ROMANIA LIGA I
--.--.---- --:--
Stadionul Municipal
Referee: R. Negara
FC Botosani
Match Timeline
Oţelul
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Ştefan Bodişteanu
FC Botosani
🔄
46'
Aldair ↔ A. Friday
FC Botosani
🔄
46'
Conrado ↔ Kazu
Oţelul
🔄
57'
S. Bodisteanu ↔ A. Dumiter
FC Botosani
60'
A. Ciobanu
Oţelul
🔄
61'
B. Paz ↔ N. Pedro
Oţelul
🔄
61'
G. Debeljuh ↔ Patrick
Oţelul
🟨
69'
Ștefan Bană
Oţelul
🔄
71'
E. Papa ↔ L. De Vega
FC Botosani
🔄
72'
Z. Mitrov ↔ S. Panoiu
FC Botosani
🔄
72'
S. Bana ↔ D. Bordun
Oţelul
🔄
85'
C. Petro ↔ M. Kovtalyuk
FC Botosani
🔄
86'
A. Ciobanu ↔ Andrezinho
Oţelul
90'
A. Dumiter · Assist: L. De Vega
FC Botosani

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.4%
-
Probability Distribution
FC Botosani Win 67.2%
Draw 14.9%
Oţelul Win 17.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Botosani1.27
Oţelul1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Botosani FC Botosani
WWDLW
47 GF / 41 GA
Oţelul Oţelul
WLDWL
45 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
17
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
17
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Botosani FC Botosani 35 matches
Oţelul Oţelul 35 matches
FC Botosani Statistic Oţelul
14 Wins 13
9 Draws 8
12 Losses 14
47 Goals For 45
41 Goals Against 41
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
17 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 13
4.4 Shots On Goal 4.2
13.74 Total Shots 13.51
4.77 Corners 4.4
53.9% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Oţelul. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Oţelul arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

FC Botosani Analysis

From their first 30 matches, FC Botosani have collected 42 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 37:29 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Mailat (11 goals), H. Ongenda (7 goals), M. Kovtalyuk (6 goals), with creative support from H. Ongenda (7 assists), S. Mailat (5 assists), Z. Mitrov (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Oţelul Analysis

Oţelul sit 10 with 41 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 39:32, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Conrado Buchanelli Holz (7 goals), Paulinho (7 goals), Pedro Nuno (6 goals), with creative support from Andrezinho (3 assists), S. Bana (3 assists), Joao Paulo (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, FC Botosani won 2 times, Oţelul won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from FC Botosani's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: FC Botosani 4-2-3-1 / Oţelul 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Botosani wins 2, draws 4, Oţelul wins 3
Stats
FC Botosani FC Botosani
Oţelul Oţelul
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 19
3 Offsides 2
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 4
1 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 6
1 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
352 Total passes 302
274 Passes accurate 224
0.49 expected_goals 1.17
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Botosani
Formation
Oţelul
L. Kukic
L. Kukic
C. Petro
C. Petro
A. Miron
A. Miron
E. Diaw
E. Diaw
R. Cret
R. Cret
Aldair
Aldair
E. Papa
E. Papa
S. Bodisteanu
S. Bodisteanu
H. Ongenda
H. Ongenda
Z. Mitrov
Z. Mitrov
S. Mailat
S. Mailat
C. Dur-Bozoanca
C. Dur-Bozoanca
M. Zhelev
M. Zhelev
D. Zivulic
D. Zivulic
P. Iacob
P. Iacob
Conrado
Conrado
A. Ciobanu
A. Ciobanu
J. Lameira
J. Lameira
S. Bana
S. Bana
B. Paz
B. Paz
Luan
Luan
G. Debeljuh
G. Debeljuh
FC Botosani 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Kukic
G
28
C. Petro
↓ 85'
D
4
A. Miron
D
23
E. Diaw
D
5
R. Cret
D
8
Aldair
↓ 46'
M
67
E. Papa
↓ 71'
M
10
S. Bodisteanu
↓ 57' 🟨 41'
M
26
H. Ongenda
M
11
Z. Mitrov
↓ 72'
M
7
S. Mailat
F
Substitutes
94
S. Tomache
G
30
A. Tiganasu
D
12
A. Friday
↑ 46'
M
20
A. Bota
M
37
M. Bordeianu
M
21
L. De Vega
🎯 90' ↑ 71'
M
25
M. Kovtalyuk
↑ 85'
F
17
S. Panoiu
↑ 72'
M
6
R. Suta
D
41
A. Dumiter
⚽ 90' ↑ 57'
F
33
G. David
M
73
N. Ilas
D
Oţelul 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Dur-Bozoanca
G
2
M. Zhelev
D
31
D. Zivulic
D
6
P. Iacob
D
97
Conrado
↓ 46'
D
17
A. Ciobanu
⚽ 60' ↓ 86'
M
8
J. Lameira
M
11
S. Bana
↓ 72' 🟨 69'
M
80
B. Paz
↓ 61'
M
99
Luan
M
96
G. Debeljuh
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Paharnicu
G
22
G. Ursu
G
27
N. Pedro
↑ 61'
M
7
Andrezinho
↑ 86'
F
20
D. Sandu
F
9
Patrick
↑ 61'
F
88
Kazu
↑ 46'
D
4
Ne Lopes
D
16
D. Neicu
D
14
A. Rus
D
24
D. Bordun
↑ 72'
M
15
D. Neicu
F
Last matches: FC Botosani
17.07.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FC Voluntari
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Ludogorets
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
27.06.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1
3
L
25.06.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Dunfermline
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FCSB
3
4
L
16.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Csikszereda
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Farul Constanta
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Metaloglobus
3
2
W
11.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FCSB
3
2
W
22.03.26
Lig
FC Botosani
AFC Hermannstadt
0
3
L
16.03.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Unirea Slobozia
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
AFC Hermannstadt
1
3
L
20.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Universitatea Cluj
1
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Metaloglobus
3
0
W
05.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FCSB
1
2
L
Last matches: Oţelul
24.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
2
2
D
18.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
FC Bacau
3
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
18.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
5
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
02.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
17.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
0
4
L
04.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
0
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Cluj
0
4
L
20.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
2
2
D
14.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
1
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
1
4
L
05.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
02.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
0
D
26.01.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
3
0
W
H2H: FC Botosani vs Oţelul
25.04.26
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
1
1
D
02.02.26
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
0
D
14.09.25
H2H
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
1
W
14.04.25
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
1
L
08.11.24
H2H
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
0
D
15.07.24
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
2
3
L
12.05.24
H2H
Oţelul
FC Botosani
2
0
L
22.12.23
H2H
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
2
W
19.08.23
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Botosani
27.06.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1
3
L
25.06.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Dunfermline
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Metaloglobus
3
2
W
03.04.26
Lig
FC Botosani
FCSB
3
2
W
16.03.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Unirea Slobozia
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
1
L
20.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Universitatea Cluj
1
3
L
08.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Metaloglobus
3
0
W
02.02.26
Lig
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
0
D
11.01.26
Fri
FC Botosani
Farul Constanta
1
0
W
19.12.25
Lig
FC Botosani
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
08.12.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Rapid
0
0
D
24.11.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
1
D
27.10.25
Lig
FC Botosani
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
06.10.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
2
1
W
19.09.25
Lig
FC Botosani
FCSB
3
1
W
31.08.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Universitatea Craiova
1
1
D
23.08.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Csikszereda
3
1
W
11.08.25
Lig
FC Botosani
Arges Pitesti
3
1
W
H2H at home: FC Botosani
25.04.26
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
1
1
D
02.02.26
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
0
D
14.04.25
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
1
L
15.07.24
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
2
3
L
19.08.23
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
0
D
Last matches: Oţelul
24.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
18.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
5
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
0
4
L
23.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
1
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Cluj
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
1
0
W
05.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
02.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
10.01.26
Fri
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
0
0
D
13.12.25
Lig
Oţelul
Rapid
2
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Oţelul
Dinamo Bucuresti
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lig
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
0
D
02.11.25
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
3
1
W
19.10.25
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
4
0
W
28.09.25
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
0
1
L
01.09.25
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
1
1
D
18.08.25
Lig
Oţelul
Arges Pitesti
0
2
L
04.08.25
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
0
0
D
H2H away: Oţelul
25.04.26
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
1
1
D
02.02.26
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
0
D
14.04.25
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
1
W
15.07.24
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
2
3
W
19.08.23
H2H
FC Botosani
Oţelul
0
0
D

Standings

Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 2 2 14:7 7 39
W W D D L
2 9 4 2 3 13:9 4 37
W W L D L
3 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 35
W W D D W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 33
L L D D D
5 9 5 2 2 11:8 3 33
W L W D W
6 9 2 3 4 9:15 -6 25
L D D L D
7 9 1 3 5 8:11 -3 25
W D L L D
8 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 25
L W W D D
9 9 2 3 4 11:13 -2 22
L D D D L
10 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 16
W D D D L
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation