Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
85.6%
|
1.69 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.68 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.18 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FBC Melgar
23 matches
Sporting Cristal
29 matches
| FBC Melgar | Statistic | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 13 |
| 39 | Goals For | 42 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.82 |
| 14.06 | Total Shots | 14.61 |
| 4.83 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 53.7% | Ball Possession | 56.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights FBC Melgar's more proactive style and Sporting Cristal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sporting Cristal.
FBC Melgar approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 28 points after 17 outings. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Bernardo Cuesta (5 goals), Jhonny Vidales (5 goals), Nicolás Quagliata (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Quagliata (7 assists), Matías Zegarra (3 assists), Bernardo Cuesta (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Sporting Cristal sit 12 with 19 points after 17 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 28:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), Yoshimar Yotún (2 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (4 assists), Maxloren Castro (1 assists), Gabriel Santana (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FBC Melgar won 8 times, Sporting Cristal won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from FBC Melgar's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
FBC Melgar
8
4
12
5
8
2
Lineups
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
ADT
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
ADT
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Macara
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
Junior
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sporting Cristal
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
2 de Mayo
Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
Home
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 |
Sporting Cristal
Away
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
W
D
L
D
L
|