SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
09.05.2026 14:00
Falkirk Stadium
Referee: R. Lee
Falkirk
Match Timeline
Hibernian
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
J. Campbell · Assist: J. Obita
Hibernian
20'
J. Campbell · Assist: M. Boyle
Hibernian
🔄
37'
L. McCann ↔ L. Henderson
Falkirk
40'
J. Obita · Assist: F. Passlack
Hibernian
🔄
59'
K. Wilson ↔ B. Parkinson
Falkirk
🔄
59'
F. Yeats ↔ B. Broggio
Falkirk
🟨
61'
Josh Campbell
Hibernian
🔄
64'
J. Campbell ↔ J. Newell
Hibernian
🔄
70'
F. Lissah ↔ E. Ross
Falkirk
🔄
70'
D. Tait ↔ H. Cartwright
Falkirk
72'
B. Broggio · Assist: B. Spencer
Falkirk
🔄
75'
M. Boyle ↔ A. Suto
Hibernian
🔄
75'
M. Chaiwa ↔ K. Andrews
Hibernian
🔄
90+3'
O. Elding ↔ C. Cadden
Hibernian

Falkirk vs Hibernian Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Falkirk Win 42.3%
Draw 22.7%
Hibernian Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkirk1.31
Hibernian1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Falkirk Falkirk
WWDLW
47 GF / 51 GA
Hibernian Hibernian
WLDWL
63 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
18
BTTS Yes
23
19
Over 2.5
23
3.97
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Falkirk Falkirk 35 matches
Hibernian Hibernian 41 matches
Falkirk Statistic Hibernian
14 Wins 14
7 Draws 14
14 Losses 13
47 Goals For 63
51 Goals Against 52
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
18 BTTS Yes 23
25 Over 1.5 33
19 Over 2.5 23
11 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 10
3.97 Shots On Goal 4.22
12.23 Total Shots 11.29
4.69 Corners 4.51
50.7% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Hibernian's more proactive style and Falkirk's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Falkirk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Hibernian in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hibernian having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Hibernian. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Falkirk Analysis

Falkirk sit 6 with 49 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 47:51 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Stewart (8 goals), C. Miller (6 goals), B. Broggio (4 goals), with creative support from C. Miller (9 assists), E. Williams (3 assists), Leon McCann (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hibernian Analysis

Hibernian approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 51 points from 35 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 53:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. McGrath (8 goals), K. Bowie (8 goals), M. Boyle (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Mulligan (5 assists), N. Cadden (5 assists), J. McGrath (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Falkirk won 2 times, Hibernian won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:27 from Falkirk's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Falkirk 4-2-3-1 / Hibernian 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Falkirk wins 2, draws 6, Hibernian wins 7

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round