SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
18.09.2026 17:00
Falcon Alkoholfri Arena

Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Falkenbergs FF Win 45.7%
Draw 17.4%
Ostersunds FK Win 37%
Expected Goals (xG)
Falkenbergs FF1.75
Ostersunds FK1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF
WWDLW
72 GF / 41 GA
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK
WLDWL
40 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
2.12
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
24
BTTS Yes
18
24
Over 2.5
13
2.45
Shots on Goal
1.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 34 matches
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK 31 matches
Falkenbergs FF Statistic Ostersunds FK
20 Wins 12
7 Draws 10
7 Losses 9
72 Goals For 40
41 Goals Against 37
2.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
24 BTTS Yes 18
30 Over 1.5 23
24 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 8
1 Failed To Score 7
2.45 Shots On Goal 1.9
3.82 Total Shots 3.67
2.77 Corners 3.33
30.1% Ball Possession 31%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ostersunds FK. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Falkenbergs FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ostersunds FK in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ostersunds FK having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Falkenbergs FF Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 41 points from 23 games, Falkenbergs FF bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 44:33, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Albin Andersson (1 goals), Oskar Lindberg (1 goals), Hugo Komano (1 goals), with creative support from Melker Nilsson (2 assists), Albin Andersson (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Ostersunds FK Analysis

Ostersunds FK arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 39 points after 23 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 32:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Falkenbergs FF won 2 times, Ostersunds FK won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from Falkenbergs FF's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Falkenbergs FF 4-4-2 / Ostersunds FK 5-4-1
H2H summary: Falkenbergs FF wins 2, draws 2, Ostersunds FK wins 7

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 4 4 45:15 30 52
D W D W W
2 24 13 5 6 46:33 13 44
W W L W L
3 23 10 9 4 32:24 8 39
D W D D D
4 23 11 5 7 39:30 9 38
L D W L D
5 24 9 9 6 37:32 5 36
D W W L W
6 23 9 8 6 36:35 1 35
L W L W D
7 23 9 7 7 31:25 6 34
L W D D D
8 23 10 3 10 34:34 0 33
L L D W W
9 23 8 6 9 36:32 4 30
L W D D L
10 23 8 5 10 36:44 -8 29
W L D L D
11 24 7 7 10 31:33 -2 28
L W D L D
12 23 7 5 11 30:41 -11 26
W D W D D
13 23 4 11 8 27:33 -6 23
L L L D L
14 23 5 8 10 24:34 -10 23
W L D W D
15 23 5 7 11 36:44 -8 22
D L L L D
16 23 5 1 17 16:47 -31 16
L W W L D
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