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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
22.08.2026 12:30
Fakel Stadium
Referee: Sergey Ivanov, Russia
Fakel
Match Timeline
FC Orenburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Dmitry Rybchinskiy
FC Orenburg
🔄
46'
A. Bagamaev ↔ N. Giorgobiani
Fakel
VAR
50'
Dmitry Rybchinskiy
FC Orenburg
⚽
51'
Damián Puebla
FC Orenburg
🔄
64'
A. Sutormin ↔ I. Yurganov
Fakel
🔄
64'
R. Netfullin ↔ B. Magomedov
Fakel
🟨
67'
Jhon Palacios
FC Orenburg
🔄
70'
D. Rybchinskiy ↔ A. Kasadzhikov
FC Orenburg
🔄
78'
G. Guzina ↔ Alexandre Jesus
FC Orenburg
🔄
78'
D. Puebla ↔ J. Gonzalez
FC Orenburg
🟨
79'
Aleksey Tataev
FC Orenburg
🔄
79'
I. Alshin ↔ B. Pusi
Fakel
🟨
80'
Darko Todorović
Fakel
🔄
90+3'
E. Nazarenko ↔ I. Ivashchenko
FC Orenburg
🔄
90+3'
↔ O. Minatulaev
FC Orenburg

Fakel vs FC Orenburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fakel Win 55.8%
Draw 5.7%
FC Orenburg Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fakel1.28
FC Orenburg1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fakel Fakel
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
2.25
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fakel Fakel 15 matches
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 14 matches
Fakel Statistic FC Orenburg
4 Wins 8
6 Draws 2
5 Losses 4
22 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 14
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
2.25 Shots On Goal 4
12.25 Total Shots 15.25
6.25 Corners 3.75
49.8% Ball Possession 40.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 5 times, FC Orenburg won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Fakel's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Fakel 5-4-1 / FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fakel 2, FC Orenburg 0
H2H summary: Fakel wins 5, draws 2, FC Orenburg wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 15:8 7 22
W W W W W
2 10 6 4 0 18:9 9 22
W W D W D
3 10 7 0 3 22:11 11 21
W W W L W
4 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L D D D W
5 10 6 2 2 17:8 9 20
D W W L D
6 10 2 6 2 12:12 0 12
L D D D W
7 10 2 6 2 11:10 1 12
W D L D D
8 10 3 3 4 14:12 2 12
D L D L W
9 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
L L L W L
10 10 2 6 2 14:15 -1 12
D D W D D
11 10 2 5 3 13:13 0 11
D L W D D
12 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
13 10 2 4 4 13:11 2 10
W D L W L
14 10 1 5 4 11:19 -8 8
L W D D D
15 10 1 2 7 10:25 -15 5
L D L L L
16
Fakel Home
10 0 3 7 6:18 -12 3
L L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL