Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Fakel Win 0%
Draw 0%
FC Orenburg Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fakel1.33
FC Orenburg1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fakel
WWDLW
20 GF / 15 GA
FC Orenburg
WLDWL
20 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
9
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
3
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fakel
12 matches
FC Orenburg
11 matches
| Fakel | Statistic | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 0 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 20 | Goals For | 20 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 57% | Ball Possession | 41% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 5 times, FC Orenburg won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Fakel's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Fakel 5-3-2 / FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fakel wins 5, draws 2, FC Orenburg wins 7
Last matches: Fakel
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Orenburg
26.07.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
2
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
2
1
W
25.06.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
FK Neftekhimik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akron
2
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Kairat Almaty
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Alashkert
2
1
W
H2H: Fakel vs FC Orenburg
15.03.25
H2H
FC Orenburg
Fakel
1
0
L
24.08.24
H2H
Fakel
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
31.03.24
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
0
0
D
21.10.23
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
1
2
W
21.09.23
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
0
0
D
29.08.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
0
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
1
3
W
28.10.22
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
4
1
L
13.11.21
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
1
0
L
31.07.21
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
0
2
W
27.02.21
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
1
2
W
05.09.20
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
0
2
W
18.11.17
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
5
0
L
05.08.17
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
0
1
W
Last matches: Fakel
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
H2H at home: Fakel
24.08.24
H2H
Fakel
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Orenburg
07.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
3
3
D
13.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
05.12.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
0
1
L
29.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
2
5
L
13.09.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
1
3
L
17.08.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akron
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Baltika
2
3
L
H2H away: FC Orenburg
24.08.24
H2H
Fakel
FC Orenburg
1
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 |
FC Orenburg
Away
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 13 |
Fakel
Home
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
L
|
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL