RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Fakel Stadium
Referee: Sergey Ivanov, Russia
Fakel
Match Timeline
FC Orenburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
D. Rybchinskiy
FC Orenburg
🔄
46'
A. Bagamaev ↔ N. Giorgobiani
Fakel
51'
D. Puebla · Assist: D. Puebla
FC Orenburg
🔄
64'
A. Sutormin ↔ I. Yurganov
Fakel
🔄
64'
R. Netfullin ↔ B. Magomedov
Fakel
🟨
67'
J. Palacios
FC Orenburg
🔄
70'
D. Rybchinskiy ↔ A. Kasadzhikov
FC Orenburg
🔄
78'
G. Guzina ↔ Alexandre Jesus
FC Orenburg
🔄
78'
D. Puebla ↔ J. Gonzalez
FC Orenburg
🟨
79'
A. Tataev
FC Orenburg
🔄
79'
I. Alshin ↔ B. Pusi
Fakel
🟨
80'
D. Todorovic
Fakel
🔄
90+3'
J. Gonzalez ↔ O. Minatulaev
FC Orenburg
🔄
90+3'
E. Nazarenko ↔ I. Ivashchenko
FC Orenburg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds 2.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.85
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.17
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
2.55
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.85
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.17
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.05
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.60
Probability Distribution
Fakel Win 55.8%
Draw 5.7%
FC Orenburg Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fakel1.28
FC Orenburg1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fakel Fakel
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
2.25
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fakel Fakel 15 matches
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 14 matches
Fakel Statistic FC Orenburg
4 Wins 8
6 Draws 2
5 Losses 4
22 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 14
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
2.25 Shots On Goal 4
11.25 Total Shots 15.25
6.5 Corners 3.75
49.8% Ball Possession 40.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 5 times, FC Orenburg won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Fakel's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Fakel 5-4-1 / FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fakel 2, FC Orenburg 0
H2H summary: Fakel wins 5, draws 2, FC Orenburg wins 7
Stats
Fakel Fakel
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 2
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 8
1 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
346 Total passes 265
234 Passes accurate 156
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fakel
Formation
FC Orenburg
Daniil Frolkin
Daniil Frolkin
Darko Todorović
Darko Todorović
Albert Gabaraev
Albert Gabaraev
Matvey Bardachev
Matvey Bardachev
Yuriy Zhuravlev
Yuriy Zhuravlev
Ilnur Alshin
Ilnur Alshin
Abdula Bagamaev
Abdula Bagamaev
Vyacheslav Yakimov
Vyacheslav Yakimov
Ravil Netfullin
Ravil Netfullin
Alexey Sutormin
Alexey Sutormin
Axel Gnapi
Axel Gnapi
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
Maxime Sivis
Maxime Sivis
Jhon Palacios
Jhon Palacios
Aleksey Tataev
Aleksey Tataev
Emil Tsenov
Emil Tsenov
Ruslan Kul
Ruslan Kul
Evgeniy Bolotov
Evgeniy Bolotov
Damián Puebla
🎯
Damián Puebla
Egor Nazarenko
Egor Nazarenko
Dmitry Rybchinskiy
Dmitry Rybchinskiy
Gedeon Guzina
Gedeon Guzina
Fakel 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
Daniil Frolkin
G
55
Darko Todorović
🟨 80'
D
5
Albert Gabaraev
D
53
Matvey Bardachev
D
44
Yuriy Zhuravlev
D
10
Ilnur Alshin
↓ 79'
D
8
Abdula Bagamaev
↓ 46'
M
23
Vyacheslav Yakimov
M
52
Ravil Netfullin
↓ 64'
M
11
Alexey Sutormin
↓ 64'
M
9
Axel Gnapi
F
Substitutes
99
Nikolay Giorgobiani
↑ 46'
M
20
Igor Yurganov
↑ 64'
D
97
Butta Magomedov
↑ 64'
M
19
Belajdi Pusi
↑ 79'
F
96
Igor Obukhov
G
35
Vyacheslav Dorovskikh
G
22
Houdaifa El Mahasni
D
17
Anton Kovalev
M
18
Kirill Simonov
M
93
Merabi Uridia
F
25
Aleksandr Belyaev
F
FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
G
24
Maxime Sivis
D
6
Jhon Palacios
🟨 67'
D
5
Aleksey Tataev
🟨 79'
D
26
Emil Tsenov
D
78
Ruslan Kul
M
57
Evgeniy Bolotov
M
8
Damián Puebla
⚽ 51' 🎯 51' ↓ 78'
M
11
Egor Nazarenko
↓ 90+3'
M
20
Dmitry Rybchinskiy
↓ 70' 🟨 35'
M
30
Gedeon Guzina
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
77
Andrey Kasadzhikov
↑ 70'
F
7
Jersson González
↑ 78' ↓ 90+3'
F
19
Alexandre Jesus
↑ 78'
F
63
Omar Minatulaev
↑ 90+3'
M
65
Ivan Ivashchenko
↑ 90+3'
M
95
Andrey Khodanovich
G
2
Stanislav Poroykov
D
59
Maksim Syshchenko
D
38
Artem Kasimov
D
3
Danila Vedernikov
D
80
Mikhail Pykhcheev
M
21
Benjamín Bosch
F
Last matches: Fakel
15.08.26
Pre
Fakel
CSKA Moscow
0
1
L
10.08.26
Pre
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pre
Fakel
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Orenburg
14.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
0
3
L
26.07.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
2
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
2
1
W
25.06.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
FK Neftekhimik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akron
2
0
W
H2H: Fakel vs FC Orenburg
15.03.25
H2H
FC Orenburg
Fakel
1
0
L
24.08.24
H2H
Fakel
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
31.03.24
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
0
0
D
21.10.23
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
1
2
W
21.09.23
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
0
0
D
29.08.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
0
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
1
3
W
28.10.22
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
4
1
L
13.11.21
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
1
0
L
31.07.21
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
0
2
W
27.02.21
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
1
2
W
05.09.20
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
0
2
W
18.11.17
H2H
Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh
5
0
L
05.08.17
H2H
Fakel Voronezh
Orenburg
0
1
W
Last matches: Fakel
10.08.26
Pre
Fakel
Akhmat
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
H2H at home: Fakel
24.08.24
H2H
Fakel
FC Orenburg
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Orenburg
09.08.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
FC Rostov
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
3
3
D
13.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
05.12.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
0
1
L
29.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
CSKA Moscow
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
2
5
L
13.09.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
1
3
L
17.08.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akron
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pre
FC Orenburg
Baltika
2
3
L
H2H away: FC Orenburg
24.08.24
H2H
Fakel
FC Orenburg
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.87
Draw 3.24
Home 2.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.58
Draw 2.13
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 1.75 1.46
Over 2.0 1.61
Over 2.25 1.91
Over 2.5 2.17
Over 2.75 2.53
Over 3.5 3.92
Under 1.5 3.10
Under 1.75 2.73
Under 2.0 2.33
Under 2.25 1.93
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.5 1.25
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.98
Draw 3.32
Home 2.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.62
Draw 1.99
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.22
Draw 2.34
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.20
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 1.75 1.45
Over 2.0 1.60
Over 2.25 1.99
Over 2.5 2.28
Over 2.75 2.50
Over 3.0 3.16
Over 3.25 3.48
Over 3.5 3.92
Over 3.75 4.92
Over 4.0 7.20
Over 4.25 7.50
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 0.5 8.20
Under 0.75 7.50
Under 1.0 6.70
Under 1.25 3.90
Under 1.5 2.90
Under 1.75 2.57
Under 2.0 2.20
Under 2.25 1.95
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 2.75 1.47
Under 3.0 1.31
Under 3.25 1.24
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 3.75 1.11
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:4 5 12
W W W W
2 4 3 0 1 12:2 10 9
W L W W
3 4 3 0 1 8:4 4 9
W L W W
4 4 3 0 1 9:6 3 9
W L W W
5 4 2 2 0 4:2 2 8
W D D W
6 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
L W W L
7 4 1 2 1 4:6 -2 5
D D L W
8 4 1 2 1 5:6 -1 5
D D W L
9 4 1 2 1 6:5 1 5
D D W L
10 4 1 1 2 4:6 -2 4
L W L D
11 4 1 1 2 7:11 -4 4
D W L L
12 4 0 3 1 3:4 -1 3
D D L D
13 4 0 2 2 2:4 -2 2
L D L D
14 4 0 2 2 2:7 -5 2
L L D D
15 4 0 2 2 4:10 -6 2
D D L L
16
Fakel Home
4 0 1 3 3:6 -3 1
L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL

Missing Players

Fakel 2 missing
-
S. Magkeev
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Turishchev
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
FC Orenburg 0 missing
No missing players data