JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
15.08.2026 09:55
City Light Stadium
Referee: Masuya Ueda, Japan
Fagiano Okayama
Match Timeline
V-varen Nagasaki
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
Dudu Giusti ↔ I. Arai
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
46'
R. Yamasaki ↔ Thiago
V-varen Nagasaki
54'
Lucao · Assist: E. Miyamoto
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
H. Yamaguchi ↔ T. Matsumoto
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
65'
Lucao ↔ Leo Gaucho
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
65'
M. Sekiguchi ↔ S. Yoneda
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
74'
Yoneda Shunya
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
75'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ J. Nishikawa
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
76'
A. Esaka ↔ K. Ichimi
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
81'
Y. Iwasaki ↔ R. Kou
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
90'
K. Shirai ↔ I. Shu
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
90'
E. Miyamoto ↔ I. Fujita
Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fagiano Okayama Win 66%
Draw 12.6%
V-varen Nagasaki Win 21.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fagiano Okayama1
V-varen Nagasaki2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WWDLW
1 GF / 2 GA
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WLDWL
2 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1 matches
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 1 matches
Fagiano Okayama Statistic V-varen Nagasaki
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
1 Goals For 2
2 Goals Against 1
1 Avg Goals Scored 2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 4
17 Total Shots 16
8 Corners 7
50% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 6 times, V-varen Nagasaki won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Fagiano Okayama's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1 / V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Fagiano Okayama wins 6, draws 4, V-varen Nagasaki wins 5

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 19:6 13 17
D W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 2 1 19:6 13 14
W L W D D
5 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
W W D W W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L D
7 7 3 3 1 13:9 4 12
W W L W D
8 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
D W D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:11 -5 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
L D W D W
12 7 3 0 4 13:17 -4 9
L W W W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
W L D L L
14 7 2 1 4 9:14 -5 7
W L D L L
15 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L L D D L
16 7 2 0 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L W W
17 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
18 7 1 1 5 9:11 -2 4
L D L L L
19 7 0 4 3 3:9 -6 4
D D L L D
20 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
D W L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League