TURKEY › SüPER LIG
09.05.2026 17:00
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Referee: H. U. Meler
Eyüpspor
Match Timeline
Rizespor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
16'
Luccas Claro
Eyüpspor
⚽
18'
U. Bozok
Eyüpspor
⚽
29'
M. Altunbas · Assist: U. Bozok
Eyüpspor
⚽
45'
Lucas Calegari · Assist: U. Bozok
Eyüpspor
🔄
46'
V. Mihaila ↔ H. Dervisoglu
Rizespor
🔄
46'
A. Mocsi ↔ L. Augusto
Rizespor
🔄
46'
I. Olawoyin ↔ M. Sagnan
Rizespor
🔄
63'
I. Taskin ↔ C. Raux Yao
Eyüpspor
🔄
70'
C. Hojer ↔ E. Bulut
Rizespor
🔄
72'
M. Altunbas ↔ L. Pintor
Eyüpspor
🔄
72'
D. Radu ↔ T. Ulvan
Eyüpspor
🔄
74'
A. Sowe ↔ F. Pierrot
Rizespor
🔄
87'
Lucas Calegari ↔ I. Manga
Eyüpspor
🔄
88'
M. Legowski ↔ E. Akbaba
Eyüpspor
⚽
88'
E. Akbaba · Assist: U. Bozok
Eyüpspor

Eyüpspor vs Rizespor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Eyüpspor Win 35.6%
Draw 19.8%
Rizespor Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Eyüpspor1.06
Rizespor1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
WWDLW
26 GF / 45 GA
Rizespor Rizespor
WLDWL
44 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
14
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
18
3.44
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 32 matches
Rizespor Rizespor 32 matches
Eyüpspor Statistic Rizespor
7 Wins 10
8 Draws 10
17 Losses 12
26 Goals For 44
45 Goals Against 46
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
14 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 18
4 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 8
15 Failed To Score 8
3.44 Shots On Goal 3.91
10.5 Total Shots 12.69
3.56 Corners 4.06
49.1% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rizespor.

Eyüpspor Analysis

Eyüpspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 29 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 26:45 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Metehan Altunbaş (5 goals), Umut Bozok (5 goals), Emre Akbaba (3 goals), with creative support from Yalçın Kayan (5 assists), Umut Bozok (2 assists), Jérôme Onguene (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rizespor Analysis

So far, Rizespor have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 40 points from 32 matches. The record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 44:46 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ali Sowe (7 goals), Qazim Laci (7 goals), V. Mihaila (5 goals), with creative support from Qazim Laci (9 assists), Ali Sowe (4 assists), V. Mihaila (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Eyüpspor won 1 times, Rizespor won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Eyüpspor's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Eyüpspor 4-1-4-1 / Rizespor 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Eyüpspor 3, Rizespor 2
H2H summary: Eyüpspor wins 1, draws 1, Rizespor wins 4

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation