Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
58.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3%
|
- |
Express
NEC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Express
23 matches
NEC
23 matches
| Express | Statistic | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 3 |
| 22 | Goals For | 25 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.7 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between NEC's more proactive style and Express's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. NEC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward NEC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors NEC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Express have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 29 points from 23 matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 21:23 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. K. Ssenoga (8 goals), R. Basangwa (5 goals), H. Asiimwe (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, NEC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 40 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 24:16 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Dhata (3 goals), J. Seremba (2 goals), M. Kizza (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Express won 2 times, NEC won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Express's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.
Lineups
Express
Vipers
Express
Lugazi
Express
Kitara
Express
Buhimba Saints
Express
Mbarara City
Express
BUL
Express
UPDF
Express
Police
Express
URA
Express
KCCA
Express
SC Villa
Express
Maroons
Express
Calvary
Express
Entebbe UPPC
Express
NEC
Express
Kitara
Express
Buhimba Saints
Express
SC Villa
Express
Maroons
Express
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
Calvary
NEC
SC Villa
NEC
Kitara
NEC
BUL
NEC
Mbarara City
NEC
Maroons
NEC
URA
NEC
Police
NEC
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
Lugazi
NEC
UPDF
NEC
Vipers
NEC
KCCA
NEC
Express
NEC
Buhimba Saints
NEC
Kitara
NEC
Lugazi
NEC
UPDF
NEC
KCCA
NEC
Vipers
Express
Lugazi
Express
Kitara
Express
BUL
Express
Police
Express
URA
Express
Maroons
Express
Entebbe UPPC
Express
Buhimba Saints
Express
SC Villa
Express
Calvary
Express
Vipers
Express
Mbarara City
Express
KCCA
Express
UPDF
NEC
Calvary
NEC
Kitara
NEC
BUL
NEC
Police
NEC
Lugazi
NEC
Vipers
NEC
Buhimba Saints
NEC
UPDF
NEC
KCCA
NEC
Maroons
NEC
SC Villa
NEC
Mbarara City
NEC
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
URA
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
NEC
Away
|
30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
Express
Home
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|