Exeter City vs Stockport County Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
69.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
50.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.4%
|
- |
Exeter City
Stockport County
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Exeter City
46 matches
Stockport County
43 matches
| Exeter City | Statistic | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 21 |
| 11 | Draws | 11 |
| 21 | Losses | 11 |
| 54 | Goals For | 64 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.49 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.2 | Shots On Goal | 4.38 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 12.36 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 4.81 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 53.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Stockport County's more proactive style and Exeter City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stockport County. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Exeter City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Stockport County in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stockport County having the stronger overall control. Stockport County carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 70 points while Exeter City sit 21 on 47, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Exeter City sit 21 with 47 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 20 defeats with a 47:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Wareham (19 goals), J. Magennis (6 goals), R. Cole (6 goals), with creative support from I. Niskanen (12 assists), Jack Aitchison (4 assists), R. Cole (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Stockport County come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 70 points after 41 matches. With 20 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 59:50, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Wootton (20 goals), N. Lowe (7 goals), O. Norwood (7 goals), with creative support from O. Norwood (9 assists), Jack Diamond (7 assists), B. Osborn (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Exeter City won 0 times, Stockport County won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:8 from Exeter City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Stockport County
Away
|
46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 |
Exeter City
Home
|
46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|