ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
St James Park
Referee: K. Dowle
Exeter City
Match Timeline
Stockport County
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Mothersille
Stockport County
🟨
16'
Adetayo Edun
Stockport County
29'
J. Stokes · Assist: M. Mothersille
Stockport County
35'
R. Cole
Exeter City
🔄
46'
T. Edun ↔ O. Bailey
Stockport County
🔄
56'
K. McDonald ↔ E. Brierley
Exeter City
🔄
60'
A. Sidibeh ↔ T. Olaofe
Stockport County
🔄
60'
M. Mothersille ↔ L. Barry
Stockport County
🔄
62'
C. Mendes ↔ T. Tuterov
Exeter City
70'
T. Tuterov · Assist: I. Niskanen
Exeter City
🔄
71'
J. Stokes ↔ L. Fiorini
Stockport County
🔄
75'
E. James ↔ J. Magennis
Exeter City
🔄
75'
C. Cummins ↔ J. Aitchison
Exeter City
🔄
75'
R. Cole ↔ L. Woodhouse
Exeter City
77'
O. Bailey
Stockport County
🔄
90+4'
J. Diamond ↔ L. Bate
Stockport County
90'
J. Bycroft · Assist: D. Andrew
Exeter City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
50.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Exeter City Win 19.4%
Draw 10.8%
Stockport County Win 69.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Exeter City1.18
Stockport County1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Exeter City Exeter City
WWDLW
54 GF / 65 GA
Stockport County Stockport County
WLDWL
64 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
18
BTTS Yes
25
21
Over 2.5
25
3.2
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Exeter City Exeter City 46 matches
Stockport County Stockport County 43 matches
Exeter City Statistic Stockport County
14 Wins 21
11 Draws 11
21 Losses 11
54 Goals For 64
65 Goals Against 51
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
18 BTTS Yes 25
30 Over 1.5 34
21 Over 2.5 25
12 Over 3.5 9
15 Clean Sheets 13
16 Failed To Score 8
3.2 Shots On Goal 4.38
10 Total Shots 12.36
4.67 Corners 4.81
49.6% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Stockport County's more proactive style and Exeter City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stockport County. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Exeter City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Stockport County in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stockport County having the stronger overall control. Stockport County carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 70 points while Exeter City sit 21 on 47, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Exeter City Analysis

Exeter City sit 21 with 47 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 20 defeats with a 47:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Wareham (19 goals), J. Magennis (6 goals), R. Cole (6 goals), with creative support from I. Niskanen (12 assists), Jack Aitchison (4 assists), R. Cole (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stockport County Analysis

Stockport County come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 70 points after 41 matches. With 20 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 59:50, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Wootton (20 goals), N. Lowe (7 goals), O. Norwood (7 goals), with creative support from O. Norwood (9 assists), Jack Diamond (7 assists), B. Osborn (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Exeter City won 0 times, Stockport County won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:8 from Exeter City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Exeter City 4-2-3-1 / Stockport County 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Exeter City wins 0, draws 1, Stockport County wins 3
Stats
Exeter City Exeter City
Stockport County Stockport County
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
11
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 6
8 Fouls 5
4 Offsides 3
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Goal 11
3 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 5
13 Shots insidebox 17
2 Shots outsidebox 3
8 Goalkeeper Saves 5
307 Total passes 578
195 Passes accurate 469
3.09 expected_goals 3.69
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Exeter City
Formation
Stockport County
J. Bycroft
J. Bycroft
J. McMillan
J. McMillan
E. James
E. James
P. Sweeney
P. Sweeney
D. Andrew
🎯
D. Andrew
C. Cummins
C. Cummins
K. McDonald
K. McDonald
I. Niskanen
🎯
I. Niskanen
R. Cole
R. Cole
C. Mendes
C. Mendes
J. Wareham
J. Wareham
C. Addai
C. Addai
R. Dixon
R. Dixon
K. Wootton
K. Wootton
E. Pye
E. Pye
T. Edun
T. Edun
O. Norwood
O. Norwood
B. Osborn
B. Osborn
J. Diamond
J. Diamond
J. Stokes
J. Stokes
M. Mothersille
🎯
M. Mothersille
A. Sidibeh
A. Sidibeh
Exeter City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
J. Bycroft
⚽ 90'
G
2
J. McMillan
D
40
E. James
↓ 75'
D
26
P. Sweeney
D
21
D. Andrew
🎯 90'
D
45
C. Cummins
↓ 75'
M
29
K. McDonald
↓ 56'
M
14
I. Niskanen
🎯 70'
M
12
R. Cole
⚽ 35' ↓ 75'
M
7
C. Mendes
↓ 62'
M
9
J. Wareham
F
Substitutes
32
F. Phillips
27
J. Magennis
↑ 75'
F
10
J. Aitchison
↑ 75'
F
6
E. Brierley
↑ 56'
M
17
A. Higgins
20
L. Woodhouse
↑ 75'
M
28
T. Tuterov
⚽ 70' ↑ 62'
Stockport County 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
34
C. Addai
G
12
R. Dixon
19
K. Wootton
D
15
E. Pye
D
14
T. Edun
↓ 46' 🟨 16'
D
26
O. Norwood
M
23
B. Osborn
M
7
J. Diamond
↓ 90+4'
M
28
J. Stokes
⚽ 29' ↓ 71'
M
11
M. Mothersille
⚽ 9' 🎯 29' ↓ 60'
M
29
A. Sidibeh
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
1
B. Hinchliffe
G
27
O. Bailey
⚽ 77' ↑ 46'
M
4
L. Bate
↑ 90+4'
M
9
T. Olaofe
↑ 60'
F
18
L. Fiorini
↑ 71'
M
20
L. Barry
↑ 60'
F
45
C. Grogan
D
Last matches: Exeter City
02.05.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Doncaster
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Blackpool
0
1
L
28.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
L
10.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
5
L
21.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Peterborough
3
3
D
17.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wycombe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Northampton
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Rotherham
0
4
L
27.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Reading
2
2
D
24.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Port Vale
3
1
W
Last matches: Stockport County
24.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bolton
1
4
L
13.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
2
0
W
09.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Barnsley
3
1
W
28.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Port Vale
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Peterborough
3
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
15.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bolton
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Wycombe
3
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Luton
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Northampton
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Lincoln
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Burton Albion
0
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Wigan
4
2
W
17.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bradford
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Plymouth
2
1
W
H2H: Exeter City vs Stockport County
18.04.26
H2H
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
18.10.25
H2H
Stockport County
Exeter City
1
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Exeter City
Stockport County
0
2
L
07.12.24
H2H
Stockport County
Exeter City
2
0
L
Last matches: Exeter City
02.05.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Doncaster
3
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
L
10.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wycombe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Northampton
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Rotherham
0
4
L
17.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stevenage
3
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
1
0
W
20.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
3
0
W
09.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
06.12.25
FA
Exeter City
Wycombe
4
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
1
1
D
23.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
0
W
11.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Reading
1
1
D
27.09.25
Lea
Exeter City
Huddersfield
0
1
L
13.09.25
Lea
Exeter City
Port Vale
0
2
L
H2H at home: Exeter City
18.04.26
H2H
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
05.04.25
H2H
Exeter City
Stockport County
0
2
L
Last matches: Stockport County
24.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bolton
1
4
L
09.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Barnsley
3
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bolton
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Luton
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Lincoln
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Burton Albion
0
3
L
17.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bradford
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Blackpool
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Cardiff
1
1
D
04.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Reading
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Northampton
0
0
D
20.12.25
Lea
Stockport County
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Stockport County
Doncaster
2
0
W
20.11.25
Lea
Stockport County
Peterborough
0
3
L
01.11.25
FA
Stockport County
Tranmere
3
1
W
27.10.25
Lea
Stockport County
Port Vale
3
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Stockport County
Huddersfield
2
1
W
H2H away: Stockport County
18.04.26
H2H
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
05.04.25
H2H
Exeter City
Stockport County
0
2
W

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two