ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
18.04.2026 14:00
St James Park
Referee: K. Dowle
Exeter City
Match Timeline
Stockport County
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Mothersille
Stockport County
🟨
16'
Adetayo Edun
Stockport County
29'
J. Stokes · Assist: M. Mothersille
Stockport County
35'
R. Cole
Exeter City
🔄
46'
T. Edun ↔ O. Bailey
Stockport County
🔄
56'
K. McDonald ↔ E. Brierley
Exeter City
🔄
60'
A. Sidibeh ↔ T. Olaofe
Stockport County
🔄
60'
M. Mothersille ↔ L. Barry
Stockport County
🔄
62'
C. Mendes ↔ T. Tuterov
Exeter City
70'
T. Tuterov · Assist: I. Niskanen
Exeter City
🔄
71'
J. Stokes ↔ L. Fiorini
Stockport County
🔄
75'
E. James ↔ J. Magennis
Exeter City
🔄
75'
C. Cummins ↔ J. Aitchison
Exeter City
🔄
75'
R. Cole ↔ L. Woodhouse
Exeter City
77'
O. Bailey
Stockport County
🔄
90+4'
J. Diamond ↔ L. Bate
Stockport County
90'
J. Bycroft · Assist: D. Andrew
Exeter City

Exeter City vs Stockport County Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
50.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Exeter City Win 19.4%
Draw 10.8%
Stockport County Win 69.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Exeter City1.18
Stockport County1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Exeter City Exeter City
WWDLW
54 GF / 65 GA
Stockport County Stockport County
WLDWL
64 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
18
BTTS Yes
25
21
Over 2.5
25
3.2
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Exeter City Exeter City 46 matches
Stockport County Stockport County 43 matches
Exeter City Statistic Stockport County
14 Wins 21
11 Draws 11
21 Losses 11
54 Goals For 64
65 Goals Against 51
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
18 BTTS Yes 25
30 Over 1.5 34
21 Over 2.5 25
12 Over 3.5 9
15 Clean Sheets 13
16 Failed To Score 8
3.2 Shots On Goal 4.38
10 Total Shots 12.36
4.67 Corners 4.81
49.6% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Stockport County's more proactive style and Exeter City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stockport County. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Exeter City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Stockport County in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stockport County having the stronger overall control. Stockport County carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 70 points while Exeter City sit 21 on 47, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Exeter City Analysis

Exeter City sit 21 with 47 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 20 defeats with a 47:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Wareham (19 goals), J. Magennis (6 goals), R. Cole (6 goals), with creative support from I. Niskanen (12 assists), Jack Aitchison (4 assists), R. Cole (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stockport County Analysis

Stockport County come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 70 points after 41 matches. With 20 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 59:50, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Wootton (20 goals), N. Lowe (7 goals), O. Norwood (7 goals), with creative support from O. Norwood (9 assists), Jack Diamond (7 assists), B. Osborn (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Exeter City won 0 times, Stockport County won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:8 from Exeter City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Exeter City 4-2-3-1 / Stockport County 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Exeter City wins 0, draws 1, Stockport County wins 3

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two