ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
--.--.---- --:--
Excursionistas Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Excursionistas Win 72.2%
Draw 4.2%
Argentino de Merlo Win 23.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excursionistas1.31
Argentino de Merlo0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WWDLW
45 GF / 23 GA
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WLDWL
30 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
13
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Excursionistas Excursionistas 30 matches
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 31 matches
Excursionistas Statistic Argentino de Merlo
16 Wins 10
8 Draws 9
6 Losses 12
45 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 32
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Excursionistas's more proactive style and Argentino de Merlo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Excursionistas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 56 points compared to Argentino de Merlo in 11 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Argentino de Merlo. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Argentino de Merlo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Excursionistas Analysis

Placed 1 with 56 points from 30 outings, Excursionistas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 45:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

So far, Argentino de Merlo have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 39 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 30:30 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas won 3 times, Argentino de Merlo won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from Excursionistas's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Excursionistas wins 3, draws 6, Argentino de Merlo wins 6
Last matches: Excursionistas
15.08.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere
5
3
W
08.08.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Brown DE Adrogue
0
1
L
31.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
2
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
14.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
2
0
W
10.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
04.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Dock Sud
1
3
L
27.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
5
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Camioneros
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
San Martín Burzaco
2
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
27.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
2
2
D
22.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Liniers
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Real Pilar
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Ituzaingó
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Arsenal Sarandi
0
1
L
Last matches: Argentino de Merlo
15.08.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Ituzaingó
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Talleres Remedios
2
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere
1
3
L
25.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
0
1
L
18.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
2
2
D
14.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Flandria
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
28.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Comunicaciones
3
2
W
21.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Dock Sud
3
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
2
2
D
06.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Camioneros
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
0
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Liniers
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Real Pilar
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
UAI Urquiza
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
H2H: Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo
14.04.26
H2H
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
1
1
D
28.11.25
H2H
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
4
0
L
21.11.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
3
L
05.07.25
H2H
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
2
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
0
0
D
06.07.24
H2H
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
2
2
D
17.02.24
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
0
0
D
09.09.22
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
06.05.22
H2H
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
1
0
L
08.10.21
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
2
2
D
08.06.21
H2H
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
1
0
L
06.03.20
H2H
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
2
0
L
15.09.19
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
3
1
W
03.07.15
H2H
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
0
1
W
29.04.15
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
2
0
W
Last matches: Excursionistas
15.08.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere
5
3
W
31.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
2
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
27.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
5
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Camioneros
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
San Martín Burzaco
2
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Liniers
4
1
W
08.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
17.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Arsenal Sarandi
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Talleres Remedios
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Brown DE Adrogue
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Dock Sud
1
0
W
21.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
0
1
L
21.10.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere
1
2
L
06.10.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
0
W
22.09.25
Pri
Excursionistas
San Martín Burzaco
4
2
W
H2H at home: Excursionistas
21.11.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
3
L
15.02.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
0
0
D
17.02.24
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
0
0
D
09.09.22
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
08.10.21
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
2
2
D
15.09.19
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
3
1
W
29.04.15
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
2
0
W
Last matches: Argentino de Merlo
08.08.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Talleres Remedios
2
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
0
1
L
14.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Flandria
0
1
L
05.07.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
2
2
D
31.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Real Pilar
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Arsenal Sarandi
0
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Ituzaingó
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere
3
1
W
27.02.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
1
0
W
16.02.26
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Comunicaciones
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cop
Argentino de Merlo
Talleres Cordoba
0
2
L
06.12.25
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
21.11.25
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
3
1
W
04.11.25
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
0
1
L
11.10.25
Pri
Argentino de Merlo
Flandria
0
1
L
H2H away: Argentino de Merlo
21.11.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
3
W
15.02.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
0
0
D
17.02.24
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
0
0
D
09.09.22
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
08.10.21
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
2
2
D
15.09.19
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
3
1
L
29.04.15
H2H
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
2
0
L

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 8 6 45:23 22 56
W L W D D
2 30 16 8 6 33:15 18 56
W L D W W
3 30 15 10 5 35:18 17 55
D W D W W
4 30 15 10 5 33:16 17 55
W L W D D
5 30 14 11 5 39:22 17 53
L D D D W
6 30 14 10 6 36:22 14 52
W W D D W
7 30 12 9 9 33:31 2 45
D D W W L
8 30 12 8 10 33:33 0 44
W W L D D
9 30 11 9 10 36:39 -3 42
L D W L W
10 30 10 10 10 31:29 2 40
D L D L W
11 30 10 9 11 30:30 0 39
D W L L D
12 30 9 11 10 33:45 -12 38
D L D L D
13 30 8 13 9 28:30 -2 37
D L D L L
14 30 8 13 9 26:28 -2 37
W D D D D
15 30 8 12 10 32:31 1 36
L W D D W
16 30 7 11 12 29:35 -6 32
W W D W L
17 30 7 11 12 21:30 -9 32
L W D D D
18 30 7 10 13 19:31 -12 31
L W D W L
19 30 7 8 15 23:36 -13 29
D D L D L
20 30 3 18 9 14:25 -11 27
L D D D L
21 30 5 11 14 24:36 -12 26
L L L D D
22 30 1 10 19 19:47 -28 13
D L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)