Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Excelsior Win 44.5%
Draw 4.4%
PSV Eindhoven Win 51.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior2.92
PSV Eindhoven2.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excelsior
WWDLW
22 GF / 7 GA
PSV Eindhoven
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
3.67
Average Goals Scored
3
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
4
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
9
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Excelsior
6 matches
PSV Eindhoven
5 matches
| Excelsior | Statistic | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 22 | Goals For | 15 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 3.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 18 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 54% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 0 times, PSV Eindhoven won 15 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:50 from Excelsior's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-3-3 / PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Excelsior wins 0, draws 0, PSV Eindhoven wins 15
Last matches: Excelsior
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
01.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
02.08.26
Sup
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
28.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Villarreal
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Union St. Gilloise
7
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Raków Częstochowa
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Antwerp
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
6
1
W
11.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
4
3
W
22.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
L
07.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
3
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
3
1
W
13.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
3
0
W
H2H: Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven
10.01.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
5
1
L
27.09.25
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
14.01.25
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
5
4
L
02.04.24
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
L
13.01.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
3
1
L
08.04.23
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
4
0
L
28.08.22
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
6
L
02.03.19
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
L
07.12.18
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
6
0
L
26.09.18
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
0
4
L
07.02.18
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
1
0
L
26.11.17
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
14.01.17
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
2
0
L
24.09.16
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
27.01.16
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
Last matches: Excelsior
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
05.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
0
W
27.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
1
0
W
16.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Excelsior
27.09.25
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
02.04.24
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
L
28.08.22
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
6
L
02.03.19
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
L
26.09.18
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
0
4
L
26.11.17
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
24.09.16
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
27.01.16
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
10.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar
1
3
L
28.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
3
1
W
13.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
2
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
0
3
L
17.01.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
21.12.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
2
1
W
06.12.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
2
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Liverpool
4
1
W
22.11.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
1
0
W
09.11.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
5
1
W
04.11.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
26.10.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
3
2
W
04.10.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
4
0
W
01.10.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
27.09.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
2
1
W
13.09.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
5
3
W
H2H away: PSV Eindhoven
27.09.25
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
W
02.04.24
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
W
28.08.22
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
6
W
02.03.19
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
0
2
W
26.09.18
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
0
4
W
26.11.17
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
W
24.09.16
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
W
27.01.16
H2H
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
W
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Excelsior
Home
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
PSV Eindhoven
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie