ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Referee: C. Kavanagh
Everton
Match Timeline
Liverpool
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Jordan Pickford
Everton
VAR
28'
Jake O'Brien
Everton
29'
M. Salah · Assist: C. Gakpo
Liverpool
54'
Beto · Assist: K. Dewsbury-Hall
Everton
🔄
58'
G. Mamardashvili ↔ F. Woodman
Liverpool
🔄
72'
A. Isak ↔ R. Ngumoha
Liverpool
🔄
73'
Beto ↔ T. Barry
Everton
🔄
80'
D. McNeil ↔ T. George
Everton
🔄
84'
F. Wirtz ↔ A. Mac Allister
Liverpool
🔄
84'
C. Gakpo ↔ J. Frimpong
Liverpool
🔄
86'
A. Robertson ↔ M. Kerkez
Liverpool
🔄
87'
J. Branthwaite ↔ M. Keane
Everton
🟨
90+12'
James Garner
Everton
90'
V. van Dijk · Assist: D. Szoboszlai
Liverpool

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Everton Win 47.4%
Draw 7.9%
Liverpool Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton1.23
Liverpool1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Everton Everton
WWDLW
40 GF / 38 GA
Liverpool Liverpool
WLDWL
86 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
15
BTTS Yes
25
12
Over 2.5
29
3.67
Shots on Goal
5.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Everton Everton 33 matches
Liverpool Liverpool 48 matches
Everton Statistic Liverpool
13 Wins 25
9 Draws 7
11 Losses 16
40 Goals For 86
38 Goals Against 61
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
15 BTTS Yes 25
25 Over 1.5 38
12 Over 2.5 29
5 Over 3.5 16
11 Clean Sheets 16
9 Failed To Score 9
3.67 Shots On Goal 5.44
11.15 Total Shots 16.65
4.18 Corners 6.23
43.6% Ball Possession 58.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Liverpool seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Liverpool. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Everton Analysis

So far, Everton have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 47 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while the 39:37 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Beto (7 goals), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (7 goals), I. Ndiaye (6 goals), with creative support from J. Garner (6 assists), J. Grealish (6 assists), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. Although they are without C. Alcaraz, J. Grealish, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Liverpool Analysis

Liverpool come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 52 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, while the 52:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Ekitike (11 goals), C. Gakpo (6 goals), M. Salah (6 goals), with creative support from M. Salah (6 assists), H. Ekitike (4 assists), C. Gakpo (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Alisson, S. Bajcetic, C. Bradley unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Everton won 2 times, Liverpool won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:25 from Everton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Everton 4-2-3-1 / Liverpool 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Everton 2, Liverpool 7
H2H summary: Everton wins 2, draws 4, Liverpool wins 9
Stats
Everton Everton
Liverpool Liverpool
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
1 Corner Kicks 6
8 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 0
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
377 Total passes 498
288 Passes accurate 413
0.79 expected_goals 1.45
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Everton
Formation
Liverpool
J. Pickford
J. Pickford
J. O'Brien
J. O'Brien
J. Tarkowski
J. Tarkowski
J. Branthwaite
J. Branthwaite
V. Mykolenko
V. Mykolenko
I. Gueye
I. Gueye
J. Garner
J. Garner
D. McNeil
D. McNeil
K. Dewsbury-Hall
🎯
K. Dewsbury-Hall
I. Ndiaye
I. Ndiaye
Beto
Beto
G. Mamardashvili
G. Mamardashvili
C. Jones
C. Jones
I. Konate
I. Konate
V. van Dijk
V. van Dijk
A. Robertson
A. Robertson
D. Szoboszlai
🎯
D. Szoboszlai
R. Gravenberch
R. Gravenberch
M. Salah
M. Salah
F. Wirtz
F. Wirtz
C. Gakpo
🎯
C. Gakpo
A. Isak
A. Isak
Everton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pickford
🟨 22'
G
15
J. O'Brien
D
6
J. Tarkowski
D
32
J. Branthwaite
↓ 87'
D
16
V. Mykolenko
D
27
I. Gueye
M
37
J. Garner
🟨 90+12'
M
7
D. McNeil
↓ 80'
M
22
K. Dewsbury-Hall
🎯 54'
M
10
I. Ndiaye
M
9
Beto
⚽ 54' ↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
12
M. Travers
G
2
N. Patterson
D
24
C. Alcaraz
M
20
T. Dibling
M
19
T. George
↑ 80'
F
11
T. Barry
↑ 73'
F
5
M. Keane
↑ 87'
D
42
T. Iroegbunam
M
34
M. Rohl
M
Liverpool 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
G. Mamardashvili
↓ 58'
G
17
C. Jones
D
5
I. Konate
D
4
V. van Dijk
⚽ 90'
D
26
A. Robertson
↓ 86'
D
8
D. Szoboszlai
🎯 90'
M
38
R. Gravenberch
M
11
M. Salah
⚽ 29'
M
7
F. Wirtz
↓ 84'
M
18
C. Gakpo
🎯 29' ↓ 84'
M
9
A. Isak
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
41
A. Pecsi
G
28
F. Woodman
↑ 58'
G
14
F. Chiesa
F
10
A. Mac Allister
↑ 84'
M
30
J. Frimpong
↑ 84'
D
6
M. Kerkez
↑ 86'
D
42
T. Nyoni
M
73
R. Ngumoha
↑ 72'
F
Last matches: Everton
24.05.26
Pre
Everton
Tottenham
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Everton
Sunderland
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
Everton
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
04.05.26
Pre
Everton
Manchester City
3
3
D
25.04.26
Pre
Everton
West Ham
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Everton
Brentford
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Everton
Chelsea
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Everton
Arsenal
0
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Everton
Burnley
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Everton
Newcastle
3
2
W
23.02.26
Pre
Everton
Manchester United
0
1
L
10.02.26
Pre
Everton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Everton
Fulham
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Everton
Brighton
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pre
Everton
Leeds
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pre
Everton
Aston Villa
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Everton
Sunderland
1
1
D
07.01.26
Pre
Everton
Wolves
1
1
D
04.01.26
Pre
Everton
Brentford
2
4
L
30.12.25
Pre
Everton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
Last matches: Liverpool
24.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Brentford
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Aston Villa
2
4
L
09.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Chelsea
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Manchester United
2
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
3
1
W
14.04.26
UEF
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Liverpool
Fulham
2
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
04.04.26
FA
Liverpool
Manchester City
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Liverpool
Brighton
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Liverpool
Galatasaray
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Liverpool
Tottenham
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Liverpool
Galatasaray
0
1
L
06.03.26
FA
Liverpool
Wolves
3
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Liverpool
Wolves
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
West Ham
5
2
W
22.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Liverpool
Brighton
3
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Sunderland
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Manchester City
1
2
L
H2H: Everton vs Liverpool
19.04.26
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
1
2
L
20.09.25
H2H
Liverpool
Everton
2
1
L
02.04.25
H2H
Liverpool
Everton
1
0
L
12.02.25
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
2
2
D
24.04.24
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
2
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Liverpool
Everton
2
0
L
13.02.23
H2H
Liverpool
Everton
2
0
L
03.09.22
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
0
0
D
24.04.22
H2H
Liverpool
Everton
2
0
L
01.12.21
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
1
4
L
20.02.21
H2H
Liverpool
Everton
0
2
W
17.10.20
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
2
2
D
21.06.20
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
0
0
D
05.01.20
H2H
Liverpool
Everton
1
0
L
04.12.19
H2H
Liverpool
Everton
5
2
L
Last matches: Everton
17.05.26
Pre
Everton
Sunderland
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Everton
Manchester City
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pre
Everton
Chelsea
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Everton
Burnley
2
0
W
23.02.26
Pre
Everton
Manchester United
0
1
L
10.02.26
Pre
Everton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
26.01.26
Pre
Everton
Leeds
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Everton
Sunderland
1
1
D
07.01.26
Pre
Everton
Wolves
1
1
D
04.01.26
Pre
Everton
Brentford
2
4
L
20.12.25
Pre
Everton
Arsenal
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Everton
Nottingham Forest
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Everton
Newcastle
1
4
L
08.11.25
Pre
Everton
Fulham
2
0
W
26.10.25
Pre
Everton
Tottenham
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pre
Everton
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
29.09.25
Pre
Everton
West Ham
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pre
Everton
Aston Villa
0
0
D
24.08.25
Pre
Everton
Brighton
2
0
W
H2H at home: Everton
19.04.26
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
1
2
L
12.02.25
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
2
2
D
24.04.24
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
2
0
W
03.09.22
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
0
0
D
01.12.21
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
1
4
L
17.10.20
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
2
2
D
21.06.20
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
0
0
D
Last matches: Liverpool
15.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Aston Villa
2
4
L
03.05.26
Pre
Liverpool
Manchester United
2
3
L
08.04.26
UEF
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
04.04.26
FA
Liverpool
Manchester City
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Liverpool
Brighton
1
2
L
10.03.26
UEF
Liverpool
Galatasaray
0
1
L
06.03.26
FA
Liverpool
Wolves
3
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Liverpool
Wolves
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Liverpool
Sunderland
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Liverpool
Bournemouth
2
3
L
21.01.26
UEF
Liverpool
Marseille
3
0
W
08.01.26
Pre
Liverpool
Arsenal
0
0
D
04.01.26
Pre
Liverpool
Fulham
2
2
D
20.12.25
Pre
Liverpool
Tottenham
2
1
W
09.12.25
UEF
Liverpool
Inter
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Liverpool
Leeds
3
3
D
30.11.25
Pre
Liverpool
West Ham
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Liverpool
Manchester City
0
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
Liverpool
Brentford
2
3
L
H2H away: Liverpool
19.04.26
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
1
2
W
12.02.25
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
2
2
D
24.04.24
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
2
0
L
03.09.22
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
0
0
D
01.12.21
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
1
4
W
17.10.20
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
2
2
D
21.06.20
H2H
Everton
Liverpool
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L

Missing Players

Everton 2 missing
-
C. Alcaraz
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
J. Grealish
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
Liverpool 7 missing
-
Alisson
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
S. Bajcetic
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
C. Bradley
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
W. Endo
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
G. Leoni
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
H. Ekitike
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
J. Gomez
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT