Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
92.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.2%
|
- |
Everton
Liverpool
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Everton
33 matches
Liverpool
48 matches
| Everton | Statistic | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 25 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 16 |
| 40 | Goals For | 86 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 61 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 29 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 5.44 |
| 11.15 | Total Shots | 16.65 |
| 4.18 | Corners | 6.23 |
| 43.6% | Ball Possession | 58.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Liverpool seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Liverpool. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
So far, Everton have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 47 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while the 39:37 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Beto (7 goals), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (7 goals), I. Ndiaye (6 goals), with creative support from J. Garner (6 assists), J. Grealish (6 assists), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. Although they are without C. Alcaraz, J. Grealish, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Liverpool come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 52 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, while the 52:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Ekitike (11 goals), C. Gakpo (6 goals), M. Salah (6 goals), with creative support from M. Salah (6 assists), H. Ekitike (4 assists), C. Gakpo (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Alisson, S. Bajcetic, C. Bradley unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Everton won 2 times, Liverpool won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:25 from Everton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Everton
4
6
5
4
1
4
Lineups
Everton
Tottenham
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Crystal Palace
Everton
Manchester City
Everton
West Ham
Everton
Brentford
Everton
Chelsea
Everton
Arsenal
Everton
Burnley
Everton
Newcastle
Everton
Manchester United
Everton
Bournemouth
Everton
Fulham
Everton
Brighton
Everton
Leeds
Everton
Aston Villa
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Wolves
Everton
Brentford
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Brentford
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Chelsea
Liverpool
Manchester United
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Fulham
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Tottenham
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
West Ham
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Sunderland
Liverpool
Manchester City
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Manchester City
Everton
Chelsea
Everton
Burnley
Everton
Manchester United
Everton
Bournemouth
Everton
Leeds
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Wolves
Everton
Brentford
Everton
Arsenal
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Newcastle
Everton
Fulham
Everton
Tottenham
Everton
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Everton
Aston Villa
Everton
Brighton
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Manchester United
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Sunderland
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Marseille
Liverpool
Arsenal
Liverpool
Fulham
Liverpool
Tottenham
Liverpool
Inter
Liverpool
Leeds
Liverpool
West Ham
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brentford
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Liverpool
Away
|
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Everton
Home
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|