WORLD CONMEBOL LIBERTADORES
30.04.2026 00:30
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
Referee: P. Maza
Estudiantes L.P.
Match Timeline
Flamengo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
T. Palacios
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
21'
G. de Arrascaeta ↔ J. Carrascal
Flamengo
33'
Luiz Araujo · Assist: Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
🟨
38'
F. Farias
Estudiantes L.P.
55'
G. Carrillo
Estudiantes L.P.
🟥
62'
A. Medina
Estudiantes L.P.
🟥
62'
L. Jardim
Flamengo
🟨
62'
Emerson Royal
Flamengo
🟨
62'
T. Palacios
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
70'
Luiz Araujo ↔ G. Plata
Flamengo
🟨
74'
Gabriel Neves
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
74'
F. Farias ↔ E. Cetre
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
81'
Samuel Lino ↔ S. Niguez
Flamengo
🔄
81'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Pedro
Flamengo
🟨
85'
L. Piovi
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
86'
G. Carrillo ↔ A. Gaich
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
86'
Gabriel Neves ↔ A. Castro
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
87'
T. Palacios ↔ B. Aguirre
Estudiantes L.P.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes L.P. Win 44%
Draw 14.8%
Flamengo Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes L.P.1.11
Flamengo1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WWDLW
24 GF / 9 GA
Flamengo Flamengo
WLDWL
30 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
5.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 18 matches
Flamengo Flamengo 14 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Statistic Flamengo
10 Wins 10
5 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
24 Goals For 30
9 Goals Against 11
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 5.57
13.88 Total Shots 14.93
4.29 Corners 4
53.2% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 1 times, Flamengo won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Estudiantes L.P.'s perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1 / Flamengo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estudiantes L.P. wins 1, draws 1, Flamengo wins 2

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:2 12 16
W W D W W
2 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
W L D D W
3 6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
L W W L D
4 6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1
L L D L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals