VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
22.08.2026 20:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Merida
Referee: M. Rosales
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Match Timeline
Puerto Cabello
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
J. Ramos · Assist: J. Marchan
Puerto Cabello
🟨
45+3'
E. Sarago
Puerto Cabello
🔄
46'
J. Marchan ↔ L. Casiani
Puerto Cabello
🟨
49'
G. Bortagaray
Puerto Cabello
🔄
51'
A. Pena ↔ R. Chacon
Estudiantes de Merida FC
60'
J. Hernandez · Assist: C. Rivas
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🟨
67'
D. Matheus
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
68'
D. Matheus ↔ C. Caicedo
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
73'
A. Ponce ↔ J. Hernandez
Puerto Cabello
🟨
78'
C. Caicedo
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
82'
J. Castillo ↔ E. Pernia
Puerto Cabello
🟨
85'
G. Melendez
Puerto Cabello
🟨
85'
W. S. Ramirez Holguin
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
85'
C. Rivas ↔ A. Montero
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
85'
J. Hernandez ↔ J. Moreno
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
87'
R. D. Flores Barrios ↔ L. Cova
Puerto Cabello
🟨
89'
C. Rodriguez
Estudiantes de Merida FC

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.2%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 50.2%
Draw 15.6%
Puerto Cabello Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.1
Puerto Cabello1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WWDLW
27 GF / 31 GA
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
WLDWL
36 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 23 matches
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 27 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Statistic Puerto Cabello
9 Wins 13
3 Draws 6
11 Losses 8
27 Goals For 36
31 Goals Against 27
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 16
16 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Puerto Cabello having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Puerto Cabello. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

Estudiantes de Merida FC are currently 6 in the standings with 20 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 21:18 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Puerto Cabello Analysis

Puerto Cabello sit 8 with 17 points after 13 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 4 times, Puerto Cabello won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from Estudiantes de Merida FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes de Merida FC 4-3-3 / Puerto Cabello 4-3-3
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 4, draws 3, Puerto Cabello wins 6

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 5 3 41:19 22 53
W W W W W
2 24 14 5 5 41:26 15 47
W D L W W
3 24 12 7 5 36:22 14 43
L L L W D
4 24 11 5 8 36:31 5 38
D W W D D
5 24 9 10 5 35:22 13 37
D W W W L
6 24 9 10 5 34:24 10 37
L W D D D
7 24 9 9 6 31:23 8 36
W D L D D
8 23 10 5 8 32:29 3 35
L W L D W
9 24 5 11 8 24:31 -7 26
D L L W D
10 24 7 4 13 26:35 -9 25
D W W L W
11 24 6 7 11 24:35 -11 25
L L L D L
12 24 7 4 13 30:46 -16 25
D W D L W
13 23 3 5 15 20:43 -23 14
L W L L W
14 24 3 5 16 21:45 -24 14
D L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2