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Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds 4.43
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.89
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.5%
4.43 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.89 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 34.4%
Draw 12.1%
Metropolitanos FC Win 53.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.03
Metropolitanos FC1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WWDLW
37 GF / 42 GA
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC
WLDWL
50 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
17
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 32 matches
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 31 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Statistic Metropolitanos FC
11 Wins 19
6 Draws 7
15 Losses 5
37 Goals For 50
42 Goals Against 26
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
17 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Metropolitanos FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Metropolitanos FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 53 points while Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 8 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes de Merida FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Metropolitanos FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Metropolitanos FC having the stronger overall control. Metropolitanos FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

Estudiantes de Merida FC are currently 8 in the standings with 36 points from 24 matches. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 33:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Metropolitanos FC Analysis

Metropolitanos FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 53 points after 24 matches. The return of 16 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 41:19, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 0 times, Metropolitanos FC won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:8 from Estudiantes de Merida FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes de Merida FC 4-3-3 / Metropolitanos FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 0, draws 0, Metropolitanos FC wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 5 3 45:19 26 56
W W W W W
2 25 15 5 5 45:27 18 50
W W D L W
3 25 12 8 5 36:22 14 44
D L L L W
4 25 10 10 5 36:22 14 40
W D W W W
5 25 10 9 6 32:23 9 39
W W D L D
6 25 9 11 5 34:24 10 38
D L W D D
7 25 11 5 9 37:35 2 38
L D W W D
8 25 10 6 9 34:32 2 36
L D L W L
9 25 6 11 8 28:32 -4 29
W D L L W
10 25 8 4 13 28:36 -8 28
W D W W L
11 25 6 7 12 25:39 -14 25
L L L L D
12 25 7 4 14 30:50 -20 25
L D W D L
13 25 3 6 16 21:45 -24 15
L D L W L
14 25 3 5 17 21:46 -25 14
L D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2