PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
05.09.2026 14:30
Estádio José Gomes
Referee: Vitor Ferreira, Portugal
Estrela
Match Timeline
Famalicao
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
David Grilo
Estrela
2'
G. Koutsias · Assist: M. De Amorim
Famalicao
🟨
29'
Max Scholze
Estrela
🔄
32'
E. Pedro Vanga ↔ Robinho
Estrela
🔄
46'
I. Stoica ↔ B. Souza
Estrela
🟨
53'
Robinho
Estrela
57'
L. Antonetti · Assist: B. Souza
Estrela
🟨
66'
Marcos Peña
Famalicao
🔄
68'
R. Beney ↔ Gil Dias
Famalicao
🔄
68'
M. Pena ↔ P. Santos
Famalicao
69'
M. Scholze
Estrela
🔄
75'
Pedro Bondo ↔ L. Meyer
Famalicao
🔄
75'
Sorriso ↔ O. Aranda
Famalicao
80'
G. Koutsias
Famalicao
🔄
81'
M. Scholze ↔ J. Encada
Estrela
🔄
82'
G. Koutsias ↔ U. Abubakar
Famalicao
🔄
89'
↔ Joan Jordan
Estrela
🔄
89'
L. Antonetti ↔ Alisson Souza
Estrela
🟨
90'
Leny Meyer
Famalicao

Estrela vs Famalicao Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds 2.98
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
2.98
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.28
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.1%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 64.4%
Draw 4.8%
Famalicao Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.32
Famalicao1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
19 GF / 12 GA
Famalicao Famalicao
WLDWL
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.44
7
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
2
4.67
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 10 matches
Famalicao Famalicao 9 matches
Estrela Statistic Famalicao
5 Wins 3
4 Draws 4
1 Losses 2
19 Goals For 9
12 Goals Against 4
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.44
7 BTTS Yes 2
9 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 4
4.67 Shots On Goal 2.75
10.67 Total Shots 9
2.67 Corners 6.5
49% Ball Possession 60.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 2 times, Famalicao won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Estrela's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / Famalicao 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 2, draws 3, Famalicao wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 15:2 13 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 21:4 17 16
W W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
D W W W W
4 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
W W D W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
L D W L W
6 5 2 3 0 11:9 2 9
W D W D D
7 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W W L D L
8 4 2 1 1 6:5 1 7
L W W D
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L L D W W
10 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L D W W
11 6 1 2 3 8:11 -3 5
W L D L D
12 6 0 4 2 5:7 -2 4
D D D L L
13 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L W L
14 6 1 1 4 7:11 -4 4
L L L L W
15 5 1 1 3 4:12 -8 4
L L W L D
16 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 3
L L W L L
17 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
D L L L D
18 6 0 1 5 1:15 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2