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--.--.---- --:--
Estrela
FT
3 - 1
Arouca
Estádio José Gomes
Referee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Estrela
Match Timeline
Arouca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
26'
Alex Pinto
Arouca
🟥
28'
Alex Pinto
Arouca
⚽
29'
Kikas · Assist: I. Stoica
Estrela
⚽
34'
A. Marcus · Assist: I. Stoica
Estrela
🟨
45'
Oumar Ngom
Estrela
🟨
51'
Espen Van Ee
Arouca
🟨
51'
Naïs Djouahra
Arouca
⚽
59'
T. Fukui
Arouca
🔄
62'
E. van Ee ↔ Pedro Santos
Arouca
VAR
66'
Taichi Fukui
Arouca
🟥
68'
Taichi Fukui
Arouca
🔄
68'
Jovane ↔ Rodrigo Pinho
Estrela
🔄
73'
Otavio ↔ Robinho
Estrela
🔄
73'
O. Ngom ↔ J. Encada
Estrela
🔄
73'
A. Trezza ↔ H. Lee
Arouca
🔄
82'
Kikas ↔ L. Antonetti
Estrela
🔄
82'
I. Stoica ↔ J. Meireles
Estrela
🔄
82'
D. Nandin ↔ I. Barbero
Arouca
🟨
85'
Pedro Santos
Arouca
⚽
89'
Rodrigo Pinho · Assist: J. Meireles
Estrela
🟨
90+7'
Hyun-ju Lee
Arouca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arouca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.78
Arouca1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
13 GF / 18 GA
Arouca Arouca
WLDWL
13 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.83
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
8
3.58
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 12 matches
Arouca Arouca 12 matches
Estrela Statistic Arouca
2 Wins 2
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 7
13 Goals For 13
18 Goals Against 34
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.83
5 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 0
6 Failed To Score 6
3.58 Shots On Goal 2.75
11.42 Total Shots 8.83
3.5 Corners 3.33
49.8% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 2 times, Arouca won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Estrela's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Estrela 3-4-3 / Arouca 4-3-3
H2H summary: Estrela wins 2, draws 1, Arouca wins 3
Stats
Estrela Estrela
Arouca Arouca
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 3
16 Shots insidebox 6
8 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
454 Total passes 264
395 Passes accurate 198
3.27 expected_goals 0.48
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 2 🟥

Lineups

Estrela
Formation
Arouca
R. Ribeiro
R. Ribeiro
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick
Bernardo Schappo
Bernardo Schappo
Otavio
↓
Otavio
S. Cabral
S. Cabral
P. Moreira
P. Moreira
O. Ngom
↓
O. Ngom
I. Stoica
🎯 ↓
I. Stoica
A. Marcus
⚽
A. Marcus
Kikas
⚽ ↓
Kikas
Jovane
↓
Jovane
N. Mantl
N. Mantl
Alex Pinto
Alex Pinto
O. Fayed
O. Fayed
B. Popovic
B. Popovic
A. Dante
A. Dante
Puche
Puche
E. van Ee
↓
E. van Ee
T. Fukui
⚽
T. Fukui
A. Trezza
↓
A. Trezza
D. Nandin
↓
D. Nandin
N. Djouahra
N. Djouahra
Estrela 3-4-3
Starting XI
40
R. Ribeiro
G
30
Luan Patrick
D
14
Bernardo Schappo
D
83
Otavio
↓ 73'
D
55
S. Cabral
M
19
P. Moreira
M
6
O. Ngom
↓ 73' 🟨 45'
M
10
I. Stoica
🎯 29' 🎯 34' ↓ 82'
M
99
A. Marcus
⚽ 34'
F
98
Kikas
⚽ 29' ↓ 82'
F
11
Jovane
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
7
L. Antonetti
↑ 82'
F
8
Robinho
↑ 73'
M
9
Rodrigo Pinho
⚽ 89' ↑ 68'
F
17
J. Encada
↑ 73'
D
18
J. Meireles
🎯 89' ↑ 82'
F
63
A. Sola
M
79
A. Chernev
D
89
J. Gastao
F
22
D. Grilo
G
Arouca 4-3-3
Starting XI
58
N. Mantl
G
78
Alex Pinto
🟥 28'
D
66
O. Fayed
D
5
B. Popovic
D
44
A. Dante
D
11
Puche
M
22
E. van Ee
↓ 62' 🟨 51'
M
21
T. Fukui
⚽ 59' 🟥 68'
M
19
A. Trezza
↓ 73'
F
23
D. Nandin
↓ 82'
F
7
N. Djouahra
🟨 51'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Valido
G
4
M. Rocha
D
8
D. Simao
M
10
P. Gozalbez
M
14
H. Lee
↑ 73' 🟨 90+7'
M
16
A. Sola
D
17
I. Barbero
↑ 82'
F
24
B. Mansilla
F
89
Pedro Santos
↑ 62' 🟨 85'
M
Last matches: Estrela
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Vitória SC
1
2
L
Last matches: Arouca
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
3
2
W
H2H: Estrela vs Arouca
19.04.26
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
L
07.12.25
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
W
19.04.25
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
L
09.12.24
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
2
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
Arouca
Estrela
0
0
D
28.12.23
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
1
4
L
Last matches: Estrela
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
0
5
L
06.01.26
Fri
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
3
3
D
20.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
09.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
H2H at home: Estrela
07.12.25
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
W
09.12.24
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
2
1
W
28.12.23
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
1
4
L
Last matches: Arouca
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Arouca
AVS
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
0
D
07.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
4
L
25.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
0
5
L
20.09.25
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
2
1
W
H2H away: Arouca
07.12.25
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
L
09.12.24
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
2
1
L
28.12.23
H2H
Estrela
Arouca
1
4
W