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--.--.---- --:--
Estrela
FT
4 - 2
Al-Nassr
Referee: J. R. Verissimo
Estrela
Match Timeline
Al-Nassr
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
S. Serra
Estrela
⚽
25'
L. Antonetti · Assist: A. Marcus
Estrela
🟨
38'
Angelo
Al-Nassr
🔄
46'
A. Sufyani ↔ R. Al Ghamdi
Al-Nassr
🟥
52'
Bento
Al-Nassr
🔄
52'
S. Haqawi ↔ A. Al Otaibi
Al-Nassr
🟨
54'
M. Simakan
Al-Nassr
⚽
62'
A. Marcus · Assist: M. Scholze
Estrela
🔄
63'
Leo Linck ↔ D. Pinto
Estrela
🔄
63'
Luan Patrick ↔ S. Lekovic
Estrela
🔄
63'
M. Maran ↔ A. Al Hamdan
Al-Nassr
🔄
63'
S. Al Najei ↔ A. Al Khaibari
Al-Nassr
🔄
64'
Bernardo Schappo ↔ A. Chernev
Estrela
🔄
64'
I. Stoica ↔ B. Souza
Estrela
🔄
64'
Rafa Soares ↔ J. Encada
Estrela
🔄
64'
S. Serra ↔ Robinho
Estrela
🔄
64'
A. Marcus ↔ Alisson Souza
Estrela
🔄
64'
M. Simakan ↔ I. Martinez
Al-Nassr
🔄
74'
S. Al Nasser ↔ A. Al Jaber
Al-Nassr
🔄
74'
N. Al Sharari ↔ A. Aman
Al-Nassr
🔄
75'
G. Doue ↔ S. van Hooijdonk
Estrela
🔄
75'
L. Antonetti ↔ T. Moustier
Estrela
🔄
75'
A. Al Hassan ↔ A. M. Almas
Al-Nassr
⚽
77'
S. van Hooijdonk
Estrela
⚽
79'
A. Al Hamdan · Assist: R. Al Ghamdi
Al-Nassr
🔄
81'
↔ D. Grilo
Estrela
🔄
81'
L. Zvonarek ↔ E. Pedro Vanga
Estrela
🔄
81'
M. Scholze ↔ N. Malaca
Estrela
🔄
84'
Angelo ↔ H. Abdulkareem
Al-Nassr
⚽
89'
H. Abdulkareem · Assist: R. Al Ghamdi
Al-Nassr
🟨
90+4'
T. Moustier
Estrela
⚽
90'
B. Souza
Estrela

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 43.2%
Draw 13.5%
Al-Nassr Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.2
Al-Nassr1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
8 GF / 4 GA
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 6 matches
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 matches
Estrela Statistic Al-Nassr
3 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
8 Goals For 3
4 Goals Against 2
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 1 times, Al-Nassr won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Estrela's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-3-3 / Al-Nassr 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 1, draws 0, Al-Nassr wins 0

Lineups

Estrela
Formation
Al-Nassr
Leo Linck
↓
Leo Linck
M. Scholze
🎯 ↓
M. Scholze
Luan Patrick
↓
Luan Patrick
Bernardo Schappo
↓
Bernardo Schappo
Rafa Soares
↓
Rafa Soares
S. Serra
↓
S. Serra
G. Doue
↓
G. Doue
A. Marcus
⚽ 🎯 ↓
A. Marcus
L. Zvonarek
↓
L. Zvonarek
I. Stoica
↓
I. Stoica
L. Antonetti
⚽ ↓
L. Antonetti
Bento
Bento
S. Al Nasser
↓
S. Al Nasser
M. Simakan
↓
M. Simakan
N. Al Sharari
↓
N. Al Sharari
S. Al Najdi
S. Al Najdi
S. Al Najei
↓
S. Al Najei
A. Al Hassan
↓
A. Al Hassan
A. Sufyani
↓
A. Sufyani
Angelo
↓
Angelo
S. Haqawi
↓
S. Haqawi
M. Maran
↓
M. Maran
Estrela 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
Leo Linck
↓ 63'
21
M. Scholze
🎯 62' ↓ 81'
30
Luan Patrick
↓ 63'
4
Bernardo Schappo
↓ 64'
55
Rafa Soares
↓ 64'
78
S. Serra
↓ 64' 🟨 17'
39
G. Doue
↓ 75'
99
A. Marcus
⚽ 62' 🎯 25' ↓ 64'
14
L. Zvonarek
↓ 81'
10
I. Stoica
↓ 64'
37
L. Antonetti
⚽ 25' ↓ 75'
Substitutes
22
D. Grilo
↑ 81'
51
D. Pinto
↑ 63'
9
S. van Hooijdonk
⚽ 77' ↑ 75'
79
A. Chernev
↑ 64'
5
S. Lekovic
↑ 63'
28
T. Moustier
↑ 75' 🟨 90+4'
88
T. Pinto
93
B. Souza
⚽ 90' ↑ 64'
81
E. Pedro Vanga
↑ 81'
17
J. Encada
↑ 64'
6
K. Jansson
8
Robinho
↑ 64'
80
Alisson Souza
↑ 64'
23
G. Tunguliiadi
91
H. Poniewas
75
N. Malaca
↑ 81'
Al-Nassr 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
Bento
🟥 52'
6
S. Al Nasser
↓ 74'
3
M. Simakan
↓ 64' 🟨 54'
4
N. Al Sharari
↓ 74'
83
S. Al Najdi
14
S. Al Najei
↓ 63'
19
A. Al Hassan
↓ 75'
94
A. Sufyani
↓ 46'
20
Angelo
↓ 84' 🟨 38'
60
S. Haqawi
↓ 52'
16
M. Maran
↓ 63'
Substitutes
53
A. Al Otaibi
↑ 52'
2
S. Al Ghannam
9
A. Al Hamdan
⚽ 79' ↑ 63'
18
A. Al Jaber
↑ 74'
8
H. Abdulkareem
⚽ 89' ↑ 84'
70
A. Aman
↑ 74'
56
R. Al Ghamdi
🎯 79' 🎯 89' ↑ 46'
26
I. Martinez
↑ 64'
21
K. Coman
17
A. Al Khaibari
↑ 63'
80
Wesley
50
A. M. Almas
↑ 75'
Last matches: Estrela
15.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Vitória SC
1
2
L
Last matches: Al-Nassr
15.08.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
3
0
W
04.08.26
Fri
Al-Nassr
Almeria
0
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Al-Nassr
Mérida AD
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Al-Nassr
Benfica B
1
2
L
21.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Damac
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
1
D
07.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
4
2
W
03.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
29.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
5
2
W
14.03.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
5
0
W
07.03.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
NEOM
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
3
1
W
25.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
5
0
W
21.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
4
0
W
14.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
2
0
W
06.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
2
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
H2H: Estrela vs Al-Nassr
01.08.26
H2H
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
Last matches: Estrela
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
0
5
L
06.01.26
Fri
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
3
3
D
20.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
H2H at home: Estrela
01.08.26
H2H
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
Last matches: Al-Nassr
28.07.26
Fri
Al-Nassr
Mérida AD
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Al-Nassr
Benfica B
1
2
L
07.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
4
2
W
03.05.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat
5
0
W
28.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fayha
3
1
W
25.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Najma
5
0
W
14.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Fateh
2
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Kholood
3
0
W
21.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Damac
2
1
W
12.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
3
L
02.01.26
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
3
L
30.12.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ettifaq
2
2
D
08.11.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
NEOM
3
1
W
25.10.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Hazm
2
0
W
26.09.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
2
0
W
29.08.25
Pro
Al-Nassr
Al Taawon
5
0
W
H2H away: Al-Nassr
01.08.26
H2H
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
L