Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
82.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Estoril
Benfica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estoril
33 matches
Benfica
47 matches
| Estoril | Statistic | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 28 |
| 9 | Draws | 12 |
| 14 | Losses | 7 |
| 53 | Goals For | 87 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 20 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.53 |
| 11.52 | Total Shots | 16.04 |
| 4.45 | Corners | 6.62 |
| 52.8% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Benfica's more proactive style and Estoril's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Benfica. Benfica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 77 points while Estoril sit 9 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Estoril have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estoril expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Benfica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Benfica having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 39 points from 33 games and a place of 9, Estoril still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats with a 53:54 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Y. Begraoui (20 goals), João Carvalho (6 goals), Alejandro Marqués (4 goals), with creative support from João Carvalho (11 assists), Jordan Holsgrove (7 assists), R. Guitane (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Benfica come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 77 points after 33 matches. With 22 wins, 11 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 71:24, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Pavlidis (22 goals), A. Schjelderup (7 goals), F. Ivanovic (6 goals), with creative support from A. Schjelderup (5 assists), L. Barreiro (5 assists), V. Pavlidis (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 11 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Estoril won 0 times, Benfica won 13 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:33 from Estoril's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Estoril
6
8
8
7
2
4
Lineups
Estoril
Alverca
Estoril
SC Braga
Estoril
Famalicao
Estoril
Moreirense
Estoril
FC Porto
Estoril
Arouca
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estoril
Nacional
Estoril
Casa Pia
Estoril
Sporting CP
Estoril
GIL Vicente
Estoril
AVS
Estoril
Tondela
Estoril
Santa Clara
Estoril
Guimaraes
Estoril
Estrela
Estoril
Benfica
Estoril
Alverca
Estoril
SC Braga
Estoril
Famalicao
Benfica
SC Braga
Benfica
Famalicao
Benfica
Moreirense
Benfica
Sporting CP
Benfica
Nacional
Benfica
Casa Pia
Benfica
Guimaraes
Benfica
Arouca
Benfica
FC Porto
Benfica
GIL Vicente
Benfica
Real Madrid
Benfica
AVS
Benfica
Real Madrid
Benfica
Santa Clara
Benfica
Alverca
Benfica
Tondela
Benfica
Real Madrid
Benfica
Estrela
Benfica
Juventus
Benfica
Rio Ave
Estoril
Famalicao
Estoril
FC Porto
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estoril
Casa Pia
Estoril
GIL Vicente
Estoril
Tondela
Estoril
Guimaraes
Estoril
Alverca
Estoril
SC Braga
Estoril
Moreirense
Estoril
Arouca
Estoril
Nacional
Estoril
Sporting CP
Estoril
AVS
Estoril
Santa Clara
Estoril
Estrela
Benfica
Famalicao
Benfica
Sporting CP
Benfica
Casa Pia
Benfica
Arouca
Benfica
GIL Vicente
Benfica
Real Madrid
Benfica
Santa Clara
Benfica
Tondela
Benfica
Juventus
Benfica
Rio Ave
Benfica
SC Braga
Benfica
Moreirense
Benfica
Nacional
Benfica
Ajax
Benfica
Guimaraes
Benfica
Newcastle
Benfica
FC Porto
Benfica
Chelsea
Benfica
AVS
Benfica
Alverca