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03.10.2026 16:00
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: Paweł Raczkowski, Poland
Estonia
Match Timeline
Luxembourg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
Rasmus Peetson
Estonia
🟨
29'
Enes Mahmutovic
Luxembourg
🟨
44'
Jürgen Henn
Estonia
🔄
62'
Aiman Dardari ↔ Hamza Kadamani
Luxembourg
🔄
62'
Enzo dos Santos ↔ Sebastien Thill
Luxembourg
🔄
66'
Mattias Männilaan ↔ karel mustmaa
Estonia
🟨
68'
Omar Natami
Luxembourg
🔄
72'
Kevor Palumets ↔ Markus Soomets
Estonia
🔄
73'
Vincent Thill ↔ Timothé Rupil
Luxembourg
🟨
73'
Märten Kuusk
Estonia
🟨
78'
Vahid Selimović
Luxembourg
🔄
80'
Mattias Käit ↔ Mihkel Ainsalu
Estonia
🟨
82'
Karol Mets
Estonia
🔄
83'
Florian Bohnert ↔ Mathias Olesen
Luxembourg
🔄
83'
Enes Mahmutovic ↔ Eldin Dzogovic
Luxembourg
🟨
84'
Leandro Barreiro
Luxembourg
🟨
85'
Eldin Dzogovic
Luxembourg
🟨
87'
Mathias Olesen
Luxembourg
🟨
88'
Markus Poom
Estonia

Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.8%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estonia Win 19.8%
Draw 19.4%
Luxembourg Win 60.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estonia0.8
Luxembourg0.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estonia Estonia
D D
1 GF / 1 GA
Luxembourg Luxembourg
L W W L
3 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
1
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estonia Estonia 2 matches
Luxembourg Luxembourg 4 matches
Estonia Statistic Luxembourg
0 Wins 2
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
1 Goals For 3
1 Goals Against 5
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 2
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
3.5 Shots On Goal 2.25
7 Total Shots 7.5
4.5 Corners 2.5
41% Ball Possession 39.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.6%)
Predicted formations: Estonia 4-1-4-1 / Luxembourg 4-1-4-1

Standings

League C - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:1 6 8
D W W D
2 4 1 3 0 2:1 1 6
D W D D
3 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L D L
4 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
L L L W
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs