Estonia
Match Timeline
Italy
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Estonia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Italy Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estonia1.11
Italy2.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estonia
WWDLW
8 GF / 22 GA
Italy
WLDWL
29 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
2.42
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
3.2
Shots on Goal
7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estonia
11 matches
Italy
12 matches
| Estonia | Statistic | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 3 |
| 8 | Goals For | 29 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.42 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.2 | Shots On Goal | 7 |
| 7.2 | Total Shots | 22.75 |
| 2.8 | Corners | 6.25 |
| 39.2% | Ball Possession | 63% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Estonia won 0 times, Italy won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:12 from Estonia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Estonia 3-4-2-1 / Italy 3-5-2
H2H summary: Estonia wins 0, draws 0, Italy wins 3
Stats
Estonia
Italy
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots on Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
8
8
Blocked Shots
0
0
Blocked Shots
7
7
Lineups
Italy
Formation
Estonia
G. Donnarumma
G. Di Lorenzo
A. Bastoni
R. Calafiori
R. Orsolini
N. Barella
S. Tonali
F. Dimarco
M. Kean
G. Raspadori
M. Retegui
K. Hein
R. Peetson
M. Paskotsi
M. Kuusk
J. Saliste
K. Palumets
M. Soomets
M. Kait
R. R. Shein
R. Saarma
A. Tamm
Italy
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Donnarumma
G
22
G. Di Lorenzo
D
21
A. Bastoni
D
🟨 72'
13
R. Calafiori
D
7
R. Orsolini
M
🎯 38'
↓ 62'
18
N. Barella
M
↓ 78'
🟨 12'
8
S. Tonali
M
3
F. Dimarco
M
🎯 4'
11
M. Kean
F
⚽ 4'
↓ 15'
10
G. Raspadori
F
↓ 62'
9
M. Retegui
F
⚽ 38'
↓ 78'
Substitutes
12
M. Carnesecchi
G
14
G. Vicario
G
2
M. Gabbia
D
4
L. Spinazzola
D
🎯 74'
↑ 62'
5
M. Locatelli
M
6
D. Udogie
D
15
F. Esposito
F
⚽ 74'
↑ 15'
16
B. Cristante
M
↑ 78'
17
D. Frattesi
M
↑ 78'
19
N. Cambiaghi
F
20
A. Cambiaso
D
↑ 62'
🟨 84'
23
G. Mancini
D
Estonia
4-5-1
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Hein
G
6
R. Peetson
D
🟨 59'
13
M. Paskotsi
D
2
M. Kuusk
D
↓ 62'
🟨 29'
3
J. Saliste
D
↓ 46'
10
K. Palumets
M
↓ 46'
🟨 41'
8
M. Soomets
M
4
M. Kait
M
5
R. R. Shein
M
↓ 83'
7
R. Saarma
M
21
A. Tamm
F
↓ 62'
Substitutes
12
M. Igonen
G
22
H. Perk
G
9
I. Yakovlev
11
K. Mustmaa
F
↑ 83'
14
P. Kristal
M
15
R. Sappinen
F
⚽ 76'
↑ 62'
16
J. Tamm
D
17
M. Miller
M
18
K. Mets
D
↑ 62'
19
M. Schjonning-Larsen
D
↑ 46'
20
M. Vetkal
M
23
V. Sinyavskiy
D
↑ 46'
🟨 87'
Last matches: Estonia
13.11.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D
05.09.25
Wor
Estonia
Italy
0
5
L
09.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
0
1
L
06.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
3
L
25.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
3
2
W
22.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
16.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
0
0
D
14.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
11.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
05.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H: Estonia vs Italy
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
L
05.09.25
H2H
Italy
Estonia
5
0
L
11.11.20
H2H
Italy
Estonia
4
0
L
Last matches: Estonia
14.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D
09.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
0
1
L
06.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
3
L
14.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
11.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
H2H at home: Estonia
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
L
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H away: Italy
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
W