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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
22.08.2026 18:45
Stade de l'Aube
Referee: Marc Bollengier, France
Estac Troyes
Match Timeline
Paris FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
L. Koleosho ↔ M. Simon
Paris FC
🔄
55'
Y. Titi ↔ N. Donkor
Estac Troyes
🟨
56'
Michel Diaz
Estac Troyes
🟨
62'
Otávio
Paris FC
🔄
63'
R. Matondo ↔ M. Lopez
Paris FC
🟨
69'
Mouhamed Diop
Estac Troyes
🔄
75'
K. Diawara ↔ A. Mille
Estac Troyes
🔄
76'
I. Gomis ↔ A. Phliponeau
Estac Troyes
🔄
79'
L. Sinayoko ↔ O. Sissoko
Paris FC
🔄
81'
P. Pagis ↔ P. Zabi
Paris FC
🔄
86'
R. Ripart ↔ Y. Kone
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes vs Paris FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estac Troyes Win 63.5%
Draw 4.3%
Paris FC Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estac Troyes2.28
Paris FC1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
WWDLW
14 GF / 5 GA
Paris FC Paris FC
WLDWL
7 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 6 matches
Paris FC Paris FC 5 matches
Estac Troyes Statistic Paris FC
4 Wins 1
2 Draws 2
0 Losses 2
14 Goals For 7
5 Goals Against 11
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Estac Troyes won 1 times, Paris FC won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:20 from Estac Troyes's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Estac Troyes 4-3-3 / Paris FC 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Estac Troyes 2, Paris FC 4
H2H summary: Estac Troyes wins 1, draws 4, Paris FC wins 9

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 10:5 5 14
D W D W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W L W W D
3 6 4 1 1 12:10 2 13
W L W W W
4 6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L W D W W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W W W L D
7 6 2 2 2 12:9 3 8
W L L W D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
W L D W L
9 6 2 2 2 5:7 -2 8
W W L D L
10 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
11 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W W
12 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L W D L W
13 6 2 0 4 9:8 1 6
W L L L L
14 6 1 3 2 10:12 -2 6
L W D D L
15 6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D W D L D
16 6 2 0 4 8:16 -8 6
L W W L L
17 6 1 1 4 4:13 -9 4
L L L L W
18 6 0 2 4 4:8 -4 2
L L D L D
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation