UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Livyi Bereg
Referee: O. Afanasyev
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Match Timeline
Polessya
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
V. Luchkevych ↔ V. Tanchyk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
49'
Joaquinete · Assist: A. Lipovuz
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
54'
V. Tanchyk · Assist: O. Klymets
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
55'
M. Bragaru ↔ O. Nazarenko
Polessya
🔄
55'
O. Fedor ↔ O. Filippov
Polessya
🔄
55'
M. Gayduchyk ↔ I. Krasnopir
Polessya
59'
N. Coch
Polessya
🔄
60'
O. Gutsulyak ↔ L. Emerllahu
Polessya
64'
O. Nazarenko · Assist: I. Krasnopir
Polessya
🔄
68'
A. Lipovuz ↔ M. Myronyuk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
68'
G. Maisuradze ↔ M. Kravchenko
Polessya
🔄
84'
I. Kyryukhantsev ↔ V. Supryaga
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
89'
Joaquinete
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🟨
90'
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Polessya
🔄
90+9'
V. Sydun ↔ K. Kovalets
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
90+9'
Joaquinete ↔ A. Oliveira
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Win 23.8%
Draw 7.9%
Polessya Win 68.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.07
Polessya1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
WWDLW
32 GF / 42 GA
Polessya Polessya
WLDWL
58 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
11
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
17
2.36
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 27 matches
Polessya Polessya 33 matches
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Statistic Polessya
7 Wins 19
6 Draws 4
14 Losses 10
32 Goals For 58
42 Goals Against 29
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
11 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 16
10 Failed To Score 8
2.36 Shots On Goal 3.6
6.8 Total Shots 9.87
2.36 Corners 3.63
27.5% Ball Possession 37%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Polessya's more proactive style and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Polessya. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Polessya in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Polessya having the stronger overall control. Polessya look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Polessya carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 55 points while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 12 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Analysis

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 12 with 27 points after 27 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 32:42 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through V. Sydun (7 goals), Joaquinete (6 goals), Carlos Rojas (3 goals), with creative support from Joaquinete (6 assists), Mykola Myronyuk (4 assists), Carlos Rojas (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Polessya Analysis

Polessya come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 55 points after 27 matches. With 17 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:18, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Gayduchyk (9 goals), O. Gutsulyak (8 goals), Eduard Sarapiyy (5 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (6 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), Oleksandr Andriyevskyi (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi won 1 times, Polessya won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-2-3-1 / Polessya 4-3-3
H2H summary: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins 1, draws 2, Polessya wins 2
Stats
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Polessya Polessya
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
11
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
9
3 Corner Kicks 9
7 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 0
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 29
7 Shots on Goal 11
3 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 9
6 Shots insidebox 17
7 Shots outsidebox 12
10 Goalkeeper Saves 4
348 Total passes 576
281 Passes accurate 502
2.42 expected_goals 5.03
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Formation
Polessya
N. Fedotov
N. Fedotov
I. Kyryukhantsev
I. Kyryukhantsev
S. Grygorashchuk
S. Grygorashchuk
N. Coch
N. Coch
O. Klymets
🎯
O. Klymets
A. Lipovuz
🎯
A. Lipovuz
E. Zaporozhets
E. Zaporozhets
V. Luchkevych
V. Luchkevych
J. Ceberio
J. Ceberio
Joaquinete
⚽ 2
Joaquinete
V. Sydun
V. Sydun
G. Bushchan
G. Bushchan
G. Maisuradze
G. Maisuradze
I. Krasniqi
I. Krasniqi
E. Sarapiy
E. Sarapiy
B. Mykhaylichenko
B. Mykhaylichenko
O. Andriyevski
O. Andriyevski
R. Babenko
R. Babenko
O. Gutsulyak
O. Gutsulyak
O. Fedor
O. Fedor
M. Bragaru
M. Bragaru
M. Gayduchyk
M. Gayduchyk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
71
N. Fedotov
G
70
I. Kyryukhantsev
↓ 84'
D
3
S. Grygorashchuk
D
77
N. Coch
⚽ 59'
D
97
O. Klymets
🎯 54'
D
28
A. Lipovuz
🎯 49' ↓ 68'
M
5
E. Zaporozhets
M
67
V. Luchkevych
↓ 46'
M
39
J. Ceberio
M
9
Joaquinete
⚽ 49' ⚽ 89' ↓ 90+9'
M
20
V. Sydun
↓ 90+9'
F
Substitutes
21
V. Supryaga
↑ 84'
M
6
K. Kovalets
↑ 90+9'
F
8
M. Myronyuk
↑ 68'
M
15
D. Holub
11
S. Krystin
M
34
V. Tanchyk
⚽ 54' ↑ 46'
M
2
A. Oliveira
↑ 90+9'
M
7
A. Matkevych
F
17
Y. Demchenko
M
22
V. Krystin
D
37
A. Vavshko
G
31
O. Bilyk
G
Polessya 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
21
G. Bushchan
G
31
G. Maisuradze
↓ 68'
D
16
I. Krasniqi
D
5
E. Sarapiy
D
15
B. Mykhaylichenko
🟨 90'
D
18
O. Andriyevski
M
8
R. Babenko
M
11
O. Gutsulyak
↓ 60'
M
27
O. Fedor
↓ 55'
M
45
M. Bragaru
↓ 55'
M
89
M. Gayduchyk
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
98
D. Talko
G
1
O. Kudryk
G
4
M. Kravchenko
↑ 68'
M
7
O. Nazarenko
⚽ 64' ↑ 55'
M
9
O. Filippov
↑ 55'
M
14
L. Emerllahu
↑ 60'
M
19
V. Shepelev
M
22
V. Veleten
M
29
B. Tomandzoto
M
30
B. Lednev
M
35
K. Koberniuk
D
95
I. Krasnopir
🎯 64' ↑ 55'
F
Last matches: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
17.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zalaegerszegi TE
0
1
L
16.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
13.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Bukovyna
4
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3
1
W
28.06.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Nyva Vinnytsya
4
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
SK Poltava
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Obolon'-Brovar
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Veres Rivne
3
3
D
27.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Oleksandria
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kudrivka
1
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kryvbas KR
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kolos Kovalivka
4
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Dynamo Kyiv
0
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
Last matches: Polessya
23.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Sabah FA
4
1
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Oleksandria
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kudrivka
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kryvbas KR
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Dynamo Kyiv
1
2
L
H2H: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya
12.05.26
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Polessya
3
2
W
23.11.25
H2H
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
17.07.24
H2H
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
2
D
22.10.22
H2H
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3
0
L
03.09.22
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Polessya
1
2
L
Last matches: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
04.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Bukovyna
4
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
SK Poltava
0
0
D
27.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Oleksandria
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kudrivka
1
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kolos Kovalivka
4
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
12.02.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Pakhtakor
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
FK Tobol Kostanay
3
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
ASA Targu Mures
3
1
W
02.02.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Fratria
3
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kolos Kovalivka II
1
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D
07.11.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Obolon'-Brovar
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Veres Rivne
2
3
L
03.10.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
21.09.25
Pre
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Kryvbas KR
4
5
L
H2H at home: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
12.05.26
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Polessya
3
2
W
03.09.22
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Polessya
1
2
L
Last matches: Polessya
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
18.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kudrivka
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Polessya
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Polessya
Kolos Kovalivka
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Zbrojovka Brno
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Toronto FC
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Granada CF
4
3
W
06.02.26
Fri
Polessya
BK Hacken
5
1
W
19.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pre
Polessya
Oleksandria
3
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
4
0
W
H2H away: Polessya
12.05.26
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Polessya
3
2
L
03.09.22
H2H
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Polessya
1
2
W

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga