UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
12.05.2026 12:30
Arena Livyi Bereg
Referee: O. Afanasyev
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Match Timeline
Polessya
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
V. Luchkevych ↔ V. Tanchyk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
⚽
49'
Joaquinete · Assist: A. Lipovuz
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
⚽
54'
V. Tanchyk · Assist: O. Klymets
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
55'
M. Bragaru ↔ O. Nazarenko
Polessya
🔄
55'
O. Fedor ↔ O. Filippov
Polessya
🔄
55'
M. Gayduchyk ↔ I. Krasnopir
Polessya
⚽
59'
N. Coch
Polessya
🔄
60'
O. Gutsulyak ↔ L. Emerllahu
Polessya
⚽
64'
O. Nazarenko · Assist: I. Krasnopir
Polessya
🔄
68'
A. Lipovuz ↔ M. Myronyuk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
68'
G. Maisuradze ↔ M. Kravchenko
Polessya
🔄
84'
I. Kyryukhantsev ↔ V. Supryaga
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
⚽
89'
Joaquinete
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🟨
90'
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Polessya
🔄
90+9'
V. Sydun ↔ K. Kovalets
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
🔄
90+9'
Joaquinete ↔ A. Oliveira
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Win 23.8%
Draw 7.9%
Polessya Win 68.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.07
Polessya1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
WWDLW
32 GF / 42 GA
Polessya Polessya
WLDWL
58 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
11
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
17
2.36
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 27 matches
Polessya Polessya 33 matches
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Statistic Polessya
7 Wins 19
6 Draws 4
14 Losses 10
32 Goals For 58
42 Goals Against 29
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
11 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 16
10 Failed To Score 8
2.36 Shots On Goal 3.6
6.8 Total Shots 9.87
2.36 Corners 3.63
27.5% Ball Possession 37%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Polessya's more proactive style and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Polessya. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Polessya in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Polessya having the stronger overall control. Polessya look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Polessya carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 55 points while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 12 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Analysis

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 12 with 27 points after 27 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 32:42 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through V. Sydun (7 goals), Joaquinete (6 goals), Carlos Rojas (3 goals), with creative support from Joaquinete (6 assists), Mykola Myronyuk (4 assists), Carlos Rojas (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Polessya Analysis

Polessya come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 55 points after 27 matches. With 17 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:18, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Gayduchyk (9 goals), O. Gutsulyak (8 goals), Eduard Sarapiyy (5 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (6 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), Oleksandr Andriyevskyi (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi won 1 times, Polessya won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-2-3-1 / Polessya 4-3-3
H2H summary: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins 1, draws 2, Polessya wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga