COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
12.09.2026 20:30
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Envigado
Match Timeline
Leones FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
D. Palacios
Envigado
25'
S. Acuna
Envigado
🟨
37'
S. Montoya
Leones FC
🔄
58'
M. Cuero ↔ J. Nieva
Envigado
🔄
64'
S. Posada ↔ T. Calle
Leones FC
🔄
64'
O. Segura ↔ J. Montoya
Leones FC
🟨
67'
S. Acuna
Envigado
🔄
70'
D. A. Valencia Mosquera ↔ J. Rey
Envigado
🔄
80'
D. Dawson ↔ J. Rodriguez
Envigado
🔄
80'
S. Acuna ↔ S. Salinas
Envigado
85'
I. Lopez Posada
Leones FC
🟨
89'
J. Palacio
Envigado
🟨
90+6'
Y. Rodallega
Envigado
🟨
90+7'
N. Restrepo
Leones FC
🔄
90+2'
S. Montoya ↔ N. Restrepo
Leones FC

Envigado vs Leones FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.19
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
1.68
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.05
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.19
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Envigado Win 56.4%
Draw 16.5%
Leones FC Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Envigado1.48
Leones FC0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Envigado Envigado
WWDLW
41 GF / 28 GA
Leones FC Leones FC
WLDWL
13 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
0.59
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
16
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Envigado Envigado 30 matches
Leones FC Leones FC 22 matches
Envigado Statistic Leones FC
15 Wins 4
7 Draws 6
8 Losses 12
41 Goals For 13
28 Goals Against 36
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 0.59
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
16 BTTS Yes 8
21 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Envigado's more proactive style and Leones FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Leones FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leones FC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Envigado arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 48 points compared to Leones FC in 13 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Envigado Analysis

Envigado sit 4 with 48 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 37:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Leones FC Analysis

With 18 points from 22 games and a place of 13, Leones FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 13:36, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Envigado won 1 times, Leones FC won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Envigado's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
H2H summary: Envigado wins 1, draws 4, Leones FC wins 0

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 9 9 25:30 -5 24
W W D L L
14 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
15 24 4 7 13 15:39 -24 19
L D L L L
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)