UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Gaddafi Arena
Entebbe UPPC
Match Timeline
Calvary
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
I. Bugembe
Entebbe UPPC
42'
A. Kigozi
Entebbe UPPC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
62.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Entebbe UPPC Win 93.4%
Draw 6.6%
Calvary Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Entebbe UPPC1.06
Calvary0.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Entebbe UPPC Entebbe UPPC
WWDLW
21 GF / 19 GA
Calvary Calvary
WLDWL
10 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
0.42
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
6
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Entebbe UPPC Entebbe UPPC 25 matches
Calvary Calvary 24 matches
Entebbe UPPC Statistic Calvary
11 Wins 2
7 Draws 7
7 Losses 15
21 Goals For 10
19 Goals Against 33
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 0.42
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
6 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Entebbe UPPC's more proactive style and Calvary's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Calvary having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Calvary. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Entebbe UPPC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Entebbe UPPC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 40 points compared to Calvary in 16 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Entebbe UPPC Analysis

With 40 points from 25 games and a place of 7, Entebbe UPPC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 21:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Kigozi (10 goals), F. Tumwine (2 goals), I. Mubiru (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Calvary Analysis

With 13 points from 25 games and a place of 16, Calvary still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats with a 10:36 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Olaboro (5 goals), S. Oriokot (2 goals), E. Ojok (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Entebbe UPPC won 2 times, Calvary won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Entebbe UPPC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: Entebbe UPPC wins 2, draws 0, Calvary wins 0
Last matches: Entebbe UPPC
23.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
BUL
4
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Police
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
07.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Vipers
0
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
0
1
L
16.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Buhimba Saints
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
0
2
L
10.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
1
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
21.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
1
0
W
18.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
1
0
W
11.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
2
0
W
Last matches: Calvary
23.05.26
Pre
Calvary
NEC
2
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Calvary
UPDF
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Calvary
URA
1
1
D
06.05.26
Pre
Calvary
Police
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Calvary
KCCA
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Kitara
0
0
D
15.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Lugazi
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Calvary
Vipers
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pre
Calvary
Maroons
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Calvary
BUL
1
5
L
18.02.26
Pre
Calvary
Express
0
0
D
12.02.26
Pre
Calvary
Mbarara City
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Calvary
Kitara
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
Calvary
URA
0
0
D
21.01.26
Pre
Calvary
Police
0
2
L
07.01.26
Pre
Calvary
BUL
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Calvary
SC Villa
0
1
L
13.12.25
Pre
Calvary
Mbarara City
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Calvary
Vipers
0
0
D
H2H: Entebbe UPPC vs Calvary
29.04.26
H2H
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
2
0
W
07.11.25
H2H
Calvary
Entebbe UPPC
2
4
W
Last matches: Entebbe UPPC
23.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
BUL
4
0
W
07.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
0
0
D
17.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
1
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
18.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
1
0
W
11.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
2
0
W
19.11.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Police
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Vipers
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
1
0
W
01.10.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
2
1
W
26.09.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Buhimba Saints
0
1
L
H2H at home: Entebbe UPPC
29.04.26
H2H
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
2
0
W
Last matches: Calvary
19.05.26
Pre
Calvary
UPDF
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Calvary
URA
1
1
D
22.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Kitara
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Calvary
Vipers
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Calvary
BUL
1
5
L
12.02.26
Pre
Calvary
Mbarara City
0
1
L
21.01.26
Pre
Calvary
Police
0
2
L
17.12.25
Pre
Calvary
SC Villa
0
1
L
04.12.25
Pre
Calvary
Express
0
4
L
25.11.25
Pre
Calvary
NEC
0
1
L
31.10.25
Pre
Calvary
KCCA
2
4
L
22.10.25
Pre
Calvary
Maroons
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pre
Calvary
Buhimba Saints
0
2
L
26.09.25
Pre
Calvary
Lugazi
1
3
L
H2H away: Calvary
29.04.26
H2H
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
2
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League