England
Match Timeline
Croatia
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
Yes
1 agree /
0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
79.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
England Win 41%
Draw 20.3%
Croatia Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
England1.45
Croatia0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
England
WWDLW
5 GF / 2 GA
Croatia
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
5.25
Shots on Goal
2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
England
4 matches
Croatia
4 matches
| England | Statistic | Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 5 | Goals For | 5 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.25 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 20.75 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 9.25 | Corners | 3.25 |
| 69.3% | Ball Possession | 43.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, England won 3 times, Croatia won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from England's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: England 4-2-3-1 / Croatia 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: England wins 3, draws 1, Croatia wins 1
Stats
England
Croatia
Shots on Goal
11
11
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
England
Formation
Croatia
J. Pickford
R. James
E. Konsa
J. Stones
N. O'Reilly
E. Anderson
D. Rice
N. Madueke
J. Bellingham
A. Gordon
H. Kane
D. Livakovic
J. Sutalo
L. Vuskovic
J. Gvardiol
J. Stanisic
L. Modric
M. Pasalic
I. Perisic
P. Sucic
M. Baturina
P. Musa
England
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pickford
G
24
R. James
D
2
E. Konsa
D
5
J. Stones
D
↓ 87'
3
N. O'Reilly
D
8
E. Anderson
M
🎯 47'
4
D. Rice
M
🎯 42'
↓ 72'
20
N. Madueke
M
↓ 72'
10
J. Bellingham
M
⚽ 47'
↓ 80'
18
A. Gordon
M
↓ 72'
9
H. Kane
F
⚽ 12'
⚽ 42'
Substitutes
13
D. Henderson
G
23
J. Trafford
G
14
J. Henderson
M
15
D. Burn
D
19
O. Watkins
F
17
M. Rogers
M
↑ 72'
7
B. Saka
F
🎯 85'
↑ 72'
16
K. Mainoo
M
22
I. Toney
F
11
M. Rashford
F
⚽ 85'
↑ 72'
21
E. Eze
M
6
M. Guehi
D
↑ 87'
25
D. Spence
D
↑ 80'
26
J. Quansah
D
Croatia
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
D. Livakovic
G
6
J. Sutalo
D
22
L. Vuskovic
D
↓ 66'
4
J. Gvardiol
D
2
J. Stanisic
M
10
L. Modric
M
↓ 58'
15
M. Pasalic
M
↓ 78'
14
I. Perisic
M
🎯 45'
17
P. Sucic
F
🎯 36'
16
M. Baturina
F
⚽ 36'
↓ 78'
26
P. Musa
F
⚽ 45'
↓ 66'
Substitutes
23
D. Kotarski
G
12
I. Pandur
G
9
A. Kramaric
F
↑ 78'
11
A. Budimir
F
5
D. Caleta-Car
D
13
N. Vlasic
M
↑ 78'
7
N. Moro
M
25
M. Erlic
D
18
K. Jakic
M
3
M. Pongracic
D
21
L. Sucic
M
24
M. Pasalic
F
↑ 66'
20
I. Matanovic
F
↑ 66'
8
M. Kovacic
M
↑ 58'
19
T. Fruk
M
Last matches: England
15.07.26
Wor
England
Argentina
1
2
L
11.07.26
Wor
England
Norway
2
1
W
06.07.26
Wor
England
Mexico
3
2
W
01.07.26
Wor
England
Congo DR
2
1
W
27.06.26
Wor
England
Panama
2
0
W
23.06.26
Wor
England
Ghana
0
0
D
10.06.26
Fri
England
Costa Rica
3
0
W
06.06.26
Fri
England
New Zealand
1
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
England
Japan
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
England
Uruguay
1
1
D
16.11.25
Wor
England
Albania
2
0
W
13.11.25
Wor
England
Serbia
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
England
Latvia
5
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
England
Serbia
5
0
W
06.09.25
Wor
England
Andorra
2
0
W
07.06.25
Wor
England
Andorra
1
0
W
24.03.25
Wor
England
Latvia
3
0
W
21.03.25
Wor
England
Albania
2
0
W
17.11.24
UEF
England
Rep. Of Ireland
5
0
W
14.11.24
UEF
England
Greece
3
0
W
Last matches: Croatia
02.07.26
Wor
Croatia
Portugal
1
2
L
27.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Ghana
2
1
W
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
07.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Slovenia
2
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Belgium
0
2
L
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
14.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
3
1
W
12.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
3
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
08.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
4
0
W
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
5
1
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
2
0
W
18.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
15.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
3
3
D
H2H: England vs Croatia
17.06.26
H2H
England
Croatia
4
2
W
13.06.21
H2H
England
Croatia
1
0
W
18.11.18
H2H
England
Croatia
2
1
W
12.10.18
H2H
Croatia
England
0
0
D
11.07.18
H2H
Croatia
England
2
1
L
Last matches: England
15.07.26
Wor
England
Argentina
1
2
L
01.07.26
Wor
England
Congo DR
2
1
W
23.06.26
Wor
England
Ghana
0
0
D
10.06.26
Fri
England
Costa Rica
3
0
W
06.06.26
Fri
England
New Zealand
1
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
England
Japan
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
England
Uruguay
1
1
D
13.11.25
Wor
England
Serbia
2
0
W
06.09.25
Wor
England
Andorra
2
0
W
24.03.25
Wor
England
Latvia
3
0
W
21.03.25
Wor
England
Albania
2
0
W
17.11.24
UEF
England
Rep. Of Ireland
5
0
W
10.10.24
UEF
England
Greece
1
2
L
10.09.24
UEF
England
Finland
2
0
W
H2H at home: England
17.06.26
H2H
England
Croatia
4
2
W
13.06.21
H2H
England
Croatia
1
0
W
18.11.18
H2H
England
Croatia
2
1
W
Last matches: Croatia
02.07.26
Wor
Croatia
Portugal
1
2
L
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
15.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
3
3
D
05.09.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
2
L
H2H away: Croatia
17.06.26
H2H
England
Croatia
4
2
L
13.06.21
H2H
England
Croatia
1
0
L
18.11.18
H2H
England
Croatia
2
1
L