WORLD › WORLD CUP
17.06.2026 20:00
AT&T Stadium
Referee: Clement Turpin, France
England
Match Timeline
Croatia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
H. Kane
England
⚽
36'
M. Baturina · Assist: P. Sucic
Croatia
⚽
42'
H. Kane · Assist: D. Rice
England
⚽
45'
P. Musa · Assist: I. Perisic
Croatia
⚽
47'
J. Bellingham · Assist: E. Anderson
England
🔄
58'
L. Modric ↔ M. Kovacic
Croatia
🔄
66'
L. Vuskovic ↔ M. Pasalic
Croatia
🔄
66'
P. Musa ↔ I. Matanovic
Croatia
🔄
72'
D. Rice ↔ M. Rogers
England
🔄
72'
N. Madueke ↔ B. Saka
England
🔄
72'
A. Gordon ↔ M. Rashford
England
🔄
78'
M. Pasalic ↔ A. Kramaric
Croatia
🔄
78'
M. Baturina ↔ N. Vlasic
Croatia
🔄
80'
J. Bellingham ↔ D. Spence
England
⚽
85'
M. Rashford · Assist: B. Saka
England
🔄
87'
J. Stones ↔ M. Guehi
England

England vs Croatia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
England Win 41%
Draw 20.3%
Croatia Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
England1.45
Croatia0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
England England
WWDLW
5 GF / 2 GA
Croatia Croatia
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
5.25
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

England England 4 matches
Croatia Croatia 4 matches
England Statistic Croatia
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
5 Goals For 5
2 Goals Against 7
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
1 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
5.25 Shots On Goal 2
20.75 Total Shots 8
9.25 Corners 3.25
69.3% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, England won 3 times, Croatia won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from England's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: England 4-2-3-1 / Croatia 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: England wins 3, draws 1, Croatia wins 1

Standings

Group L
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W L W W W
2 3 2 0 1 5:5 0 6
L W W L
3 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L L D W
4 3 0 0 3 0:4 -4 0
L L L
Round of 32