Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
91.8%
|
- |
Emmen
De Graafschap
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Emmen
37 matches
De Graafschap
37 matches
| Emmen | Statistic | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 18 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 17 | Losses | 10 |
| 57 | Goals For | 74 |
| 72 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.54 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 20 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.7 | Shots On Goal | 7.11 |
| 13.49 | Total Shots | 17.65 |
| 5.54 | Corners | 6.59 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 55.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by De Graafschap's more proactive style and Emmen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. De Graafschap carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 63 points while Emmen sit 15 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward De Graafschap. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emmen expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and De Graafschap in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward De Graafschap having the stronger overall control.
Emmen sit 15 with 42 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 55:70, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Postema (24 goals), Pascal Mulder (5 goals), F. Evina (4 goals), with creative support from R. Postema (7 assists), Lukas Larsen (4 assists), D. Nunumete (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
De Graafschap approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 63 points after 37 outings. The return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 71:56, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Reuven Niemeijer (20 goals), B. Boersma (11 goals), K. Kwint (7 goals), with creative support from Jevon Simons (6 assists), I. El Kadiri (5 assists), Fedde de Jong (5 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Emmen won 6 times, De Graafschap won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Emmen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Emmen
6
6
5
7
4
4
Lineups
Emmen
Roda
Emmen
Waalwijk
Emmen
MVV
Emmen
Vitesse
Emmen
FC Eindhoven
Emmen
Cambuur
Emmen
VVV Venlo
Emmen
ADO Den Haag
Emmen
Jong AZ
Emmen
Jong Utrecht
Emmen
Willem II
Emmen
Jong Ajax
Emmen
Jong PSV U21
Emmen
Dordrecht
Emmen
Den Bosch
Emmen
FC OSS
Emmen
Almere City FC
Emmen
Helmond Sport
Emmen
ADO Den Haag
Emmen
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Cambuur
De Graafschap
VVV Venlo
De Graafschap
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
FC Eindhoven
De Graafschap
Willem II
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
Dordrecht
De Graafschap
Vitesse
De Graafschap
MVV
De Graafschap
Jong Utrecht
De Graafschap
Jong PSV U21
De Graafschap
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap
Den Bosch
De Graafschap
Waalwijk
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
FC OSS
Emmen
MVV
Emmen
Cambuur
Emmen
VVV Venlo
Emmen
ADO Den Haag
Emmen
Jong Utrecht
Emmen
Willem II
Emmen
Jong Ajax
Emmen
Jong PSV U21
Emmen
Helmond Sport
Emmen
Jong AZ
Emmen
Roda
Emmen
Waalwijk
Emmen
FC Eindhoven
Emmen
Vitesse
Emmen
Dordrecht
Emmen
FC OSS
Emmen
Den Bosch
Emmen
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
VVV Venlo
De Graafschap
FC Eindhoven
De Graafschap
Willem II
De Graafschap
MVV
De Graafschap
Jong PSV U21
De Graafschap
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
FC OSS
De Graafschap
Jong Utrecht
De Graafschap
Vitesse
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
Waalwijk
De Graafschap
Den Bosch
De Graafschap
Cambuur
De Graafschap
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
Dordrecht
De Graafschap
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
Roda
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
De Graafschap
Away
|
38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
Emmen
Home
|
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|