NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
24.04.2026 18:00
De Oude Meerdijk
Referee: S. Shukrula
Emmen
Match Timeline
De Graafschap
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Daniël Beukers
Emmen
🟨
37'
Chiel Sunder
Emmen
🟨
42'
Djenahro Nunumete
Emmen
🔄
46'
C. Ostergaard ↔ A. Hojabrpour
Emmen
46'
R. Kongolo · Assist: A. Hojabrpour
Emmen
🔄
60'
I. El Kadiri ↔ C. El Allachi
De Graafschap
🔄
60'
N. Martens ↔ L. Schoppema
De Graafschap
🔄
60'
J. Meerstadt ↔ M. Smits
De Graafschap
🔄
70'
J. Simons ↔ N. Kaninda
De Graafschap
🔄
73'
C. Sunder ↔ V. Besuijen
Emmen
🔄
73'
S. van Manen ↔ N. Emeran
Emmen
🔄
84'
K. Symons ↔ T. Braem
De Graafschap
🔄
90+1'
L. Unbehaun ↔ K. Norder
Emmen
🔄
90+1'
R. Postema ↔ J. Kade
Emmen

Emmen vs De Graafschap Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Emmen Win 33.2%
Draw 8.2%
De Graafschap Win 58.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Emmen1.54
De Graafschap1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Emmen Emmen
WWDLW
57 GF / 72 GA
De Graafschap De Graafschap
WLDWL
74 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
2
1.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
23
BTTS Yes
27
24
Over 2.5
25
4.7
Shots on Goal
7.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Emmen Emmen 37 matches
De Graafschap De Graafschap 37 matches
Emmen Statistic De Graafschap
11 Wins 18
9 Draws 9
17 Losses 10
57 Goals For 74
72 Goals Against 57
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
23 BTTS Yes 27
30 Over 1.5 33
24 Over 2.5 25
20 Over 3.5 20
5 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 5
4.7 Shots On Goal 7.11
13.49 Total Shots 17.65
5.54 Corners 6.59
52.1% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by De Graafschap's more proactive style and Emmen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. De Graafschap carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 63 points while Emmen sit 15 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward De Graafschap. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emmen expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and De Graafschap in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward De Graafschap having the stronger overall control.

Emmen Analysis

Emmen sit 15 with 42 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 55:70, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Postema (24 goals), Pascal Mulder (5 goals), F. Evina (4 goals), with creative support from R. Postema (7 assists), Lukas Larsen (4 assists), D. Nunumete (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

De Graafschap Analysis

De Graafschap approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 63 points after 37 outings. The return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 71:56, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Reuven Niemeijer (20 goals), B. Boersma (11 goals), K. Kwint (7 goals), with creative support from Jevon Simons (6 assists), I. El Kadiri (5 assists), Fedde de Jong (5 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Emmen won 6 times, De Graafschap won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Emmen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Emmen 4-3-1-2 / De Graafschap 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Emmen wins 6, draws 3, De Graafschap wins 5

Standings

Eerste Divisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8 38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14
Emmen Home
38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L
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