NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
De Oude Meerdijk
Referee: S. Shukrula
Emmen
Match Timeline
De Graafschap
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Daniël Beukers
Emmen
🟨
37'
Chiel Sunder
Emmen
🟨
42'
Djenahro Nunumete
Emmen
🔄
46'
C. Ostergaard ↔ A. Hojabrpour
Emmen
46'
R. Kongolo · Assist: A. Hojabrpour
Emmen
🔄
60'
I. El Kadiri ↔ C. El Allachi
De Graafschap
🔄
60'
N. Martens ↔ L. Schoppema
De Graafschap
🔄
60'
J. Meerstadt ↔ M. Smits
De Graafschap
🔄
70'
J. Simons ↔ N. Kaninda
De Graafschap
🔄
73'
C. Sunder ↔ V. Besuijen
Emmen
🔄
73'
S. van Manen ↔ N. Emeran
Emmen
🔄
84'
K. Symons ↔ T. Braem
De Graafschap
🔄
90+1'
L. Unbehaun ↔ K. Norder
Emmen
🔄
90+1'
R. Postema ↔ J. Kade
Emmen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Emmen Win 33.2%
Draw 8.2%
De Graafschap Win 58.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Emmen1.54
De Graafschap1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Emmen Emmen
WWDLW
57 GF / 72 GA
De Graafschap De Graafschap
WLDWL
74 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
2
1.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
23
BTTS Yes
27
24
Over 2.5
25
4.7
Shots on Goal
7.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Emmen Emmen 37 matches
De Graafschap De Graafschap 37 matches
Emmen Statistic De Graafschap
11 Wins 18
9 Draws 9
17 Losses 10
57 Goals For 74
72 Goals Against 57
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
23 BTTS Yes 27
30 Over 1.5 33
24 Over 2.5 25
20 Over 3.5 20
5 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 5
4.7 Shots On Goal 7.11
13.49 Total Shots 17.65
5.54 Corners 6.59
52.1% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by De Graafschap's more proactive style and Emmen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. De Graafschap carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 63 points while Emmen sit 15 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward De Graafschap. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emmen expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and De Graafschap in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward De Graafschap having the stronger overall control.

Emmen Analysis

Emmen sit 15 with 42 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 55:70, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Postema (24 goals), Pascal Mulder (5 goals), F. Evina (4 goals), with creative support from R. Postema (7 assists), Lukas Larsen (4 assists), D. Nunumete (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

De Graafschap Analysis

De Graafschap approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 63 points after 37 outings. The return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 71:56, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Reuven Niemeijer (20 goals), B. Boersma (11 goals), K. Kwint (7 goals), with creative support from Jevon Simons (6 assists), I. El Kadiri (5 assists), Fedde de Jong (5 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Emmen won 6 times, De Graafschap won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Emmen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Emmen 4-3-1-2 / De Graafschap 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Emmen wins 6, draws 3, De Graafschap wins 5
Stats
Emmen Emmen
De Graafschap De Graafschap
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 6
10 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 2
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 11
5 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Goalkeeper Saves 5
350 Total passes 495
257 Passes accurate 419
2.96 expected_goals 1.13
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Emmen
Formation
De Graafschap
L. Unbehaun
L. Unbehaun
D. Beukers
D. Beukers
C. Ostergaard
C. Ostergaard
J. Mukeh
J. Mukeh
D. Nunumete
D. Nunumete
R. Kongolo
R. Kongolo
C. Staring
C. Staring
S. van Manen
S. van Manen
F. Quispel
F. Quispel
C. Sunder
C. Sunder
R. Postema
R. Postema
T. Wieggers
T. Wieggers
N. Martens
N. Martens
S. Bultman
S. Bultman
T. Kok
T. Kok
K. Symons
K. Symons
J. Meerstadt
J. Meerstadt
T. Gijselhart
T. Gijselhart
J. Simons
J. Simons
F. de Jong
F. de Jong
I. El Kadiri
I. El Kadiri
N. Eggens
N. Eggens
Emmen 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
38
L. Unbehaun
↓ 90+1'
G
22
D. Beukers
🟨 12'
D
4
C. Ostergaard
↓ 46'
D
2
J. Mukeh
D
21
D. Nunumete
🟨 42'
D
25
R. Kongolo
⚽ 46'
M
6
C. Staring
M
14
S. van Manen
↓ 73'
M
12
F. Quispel
M
15
C. Sunder
↓ 73'
9
R. Postema
↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
16
K. Norder
↑ 90+1'
G
26
D. Otten
M
20
J. Kade
↑ 90+1'
M
30
A. Hojabrpour
🎯 46' ↑ 46'
M
10
V. Besuijen
↑ 73'
F
23
N. Emeran
↑ 73'
F
De Graafschap 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Wieggers
G
2
N. Martens
↓ 60'
D
18
S. Bultman
D
15
T. Kok
D
21
K. Symons
↓ 84'
D
24
J. Meerstadt
↓ 60'
M
8
T. Gijselhart
M
7
J. Simons
↓ 70'
M
22
F. de Jong
M
11
I. El Kadiri
↓ 60'
M
9
N. Eggens
F
Substitutes
25
R. Jonkers
G
31
S. Bouwman
G
19
C. El Allachi
↑ 60'
M
5
L. Schoppema
↑ 60'
D
6
M. Smits
↑ 60'
M
35
K. Tang
M
30
N. Hartgers
M
20
T. Braem
↑ 84'
M
17
N. Kaninda
↑ 70'
F
Last matches: Emmen
17.04.26
Eer
Emmen
Roda
2
2
D
10.04.26
Eer
Emmen
Waalwijk
0
5
L
06.04.26
Eer
Emmen
MVV
2
1
W
03.04.26
Eer
Emmen
Vitesse
3
3
D
28.03.26
Eer
Emmen
FC Eindhoven
0
1
L
24.03.26
Eer
Emmen
Cambuur
2
4
L
20.03.26
Eer
Emmen
VVV Venlo
2
2
D
13.03.26
Eer
Emmen
ADO Den Haag
0
1
L
09.03.26
Eer
Emmen
Jong AZ
3
2
W
02.03.26
Eer
Emmen
Jong Utrecht
1
0
W
27.02.26
Eer
Emmen
Willem II
0
3
L
23.02.26
Eer
Emmen
Jong Ajax
0
0
D
20.02.26
Eer
Emmen
Jong PSV U21
2
3
L
13.02.26
Eer
Emmen
Dordrecht
0
1
L
30.01.26
Eer
Emmen
Den Bosch
1
1
D
17.01.26
Eer
Emmen
FC OSS
0
4
L
20.12.25
Eer
Emmen
Almere City FC
2
4
L
12.12.25
Eer
Emmen
Helmond Sport
4
1
W
05.12.25
Eer
Emmen
ADO Den Haag
1
2
L
28.11.25
Eer
Emmen
Jong AZ
4
2
W
Last matches: De Graafschap
09.05.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
2
2
D
06.05.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ere
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
1
3
L
17.04.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Cambuur
3
1
W
11.04.26
Eer
De Graafschap
VVV Venlo
3
3
D
06.04.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Jong AZ
5
0
W
03.04.26
Eer
De Graafschap
FC Eindhoven
2
2
D
28.03.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Willem II
2
0
W
22.03.26
Eer
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag
1
2
L
14.03.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Dordrecht
2
1
W
08.03.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Vitesse
1
4
L
27.02.26
Eer
De Graafschap
MVV
3
3
D
20.02.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Jong Utrecht
1
0
W
13.02.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Jong PSV U21
2
1
W
06.02.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Jong Ajax
4
0
W
31.01.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Helmond Sport
0
0
D
26.01.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Den Bosch
1
1
D
23.01.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Waalwijk
2
4
L
18.01.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
0
2
L
20.12.25
Eer
De Graafschap
FC OSS
3
2
W
H2H: Emmen vs De Graafschap
24.04.26
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
1
0
W
05.09.25
H2H
De Graafschap
Emmen
2
3
W
24.01.25
H2H
De Graafschap
Emmen
4
0
L
25.11.24
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
3
0
W
10.05.24
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
2
1
W
31.10.23
H2H
De Graafschap
Emmen
2
0
L
25.08.23
H2H
De Graafschap
Emmen
0
1
W
19.07.22
H2H
De Graafschap
Emmen
3
2
L
19.07.22
H2H
De Graafschap
Emmen
0
0
D
01.04.22
H2H
De Graafschap
Emmen
1
1
D
27.08.21
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
0
2
L
23.04.19
H2H
De Graafschap
Emmen
1
0
L
31.08.18
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
1
1
D
16.02.18
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
5
2
W
29.09.17
H2H
De Graafschap
Emmen
2
2
D
Last matches: Emmen
06.04.26
Eer
Emmen
MVV
2
1
W
24.03.26
Eer
Emmen
Cambuur
2
4
L
20.03.26
Eer
Emmen
VVV Venlo
2
2
D
13.03.26
Eer
Emmen
ADO Den Haag
0
1
L
02.03.26
Eer
Emmen
Jong Utrecht
1
0
W
27.02.26
Eer
Emmen
Willem II
0
3
L
23.02.26
Eer
Emmen
Jong Ajax
0
0
D
20.02.26
Eer
Emmen
Jong PSV U21
2
3
L
12.12.25
Eer
Emmen
Helmond Sport
4
1
W
28.11.25
Eer
Emmen
Jong AZ
4
2
W
22.11.25
Eer
Emmen
Roda
1
1
D
02.11.25
Eer
Emmen
Waalwijk
2
2
D
11.10.25
Eer
Emmen
FC Eindhoven
6
0
W
30.09.25
Eer
Emmen
Vitesse
2
4
L
19.09.25
Eer
Emmen
Dordrecht
2
0
W
12.09.25
Eer
Emmen
FC OSS
1
1
D
29.08.25
Eer
Emmen
Den Bosch
3
1
W
17.08.25
Eer
Emmen
Almere City FC
1
4
L
H2H at home: Emmen
24.04.26
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
1
0
W
25.11.24
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
3
0
W
10.05.24
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
2
1
W
27.08.21
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
0
2
L
31.08.18
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
1
1
D
16.02.18
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
5
2
W
Last matches: De Graafschap
06.05.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ere
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
1
3
L
11.04.26
Eer
De Graafschap
VVV Venlo
3
3
D
03.04.26
Eer
De Graafschap
FC Eindhoven
2
2
D
28.03.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Willem II
2
0
W
27.02.26
Eer
De Graafschap
MVV
3
3
D
13.02.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Jong PSV U21
2
1
W
31.01.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Helmond Sport
0
0
D
18.01.26
Eer
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
0
2
L
20.12.25
Eer
De Graafschap
FC OSS
3
2
W
08.12.25
Eer
De Graafschap
Jong Utrecht
3
2
W
04.12.25
Eer
De Graafschap
Vitesse
2
1
W
25.11.25
Eer
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag
2
3
L
09.11.25
Eer
De Graafschap
Waalwijk
4
1
W
31.10.25
Eer
De Graafschap
Den Bosch
2
1
W
11.10.25
Eer
De Graafschap
Cambuur
0
2
L
03.10.25
Eer
De Graafschap
Jong Ajax
2
2
D
26.09.25
Eer
De Graafschap
Dordrecht
1
1
D
22.09.25
Eer
De Graafschap
Jong AZ
3
1
W
15.08.25
Eer
De Graafschap
Roda
0
1
L
H2H away: De Graafschap
24.04.26
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
1
0
L
25.11.24
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
3
0
L
10.05.24
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
2
1
L
27.08.21
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
0
2
W
31.08.18
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
1
1
D
16.02.18
H2H
Emmen
De Graafschap
5
2
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8 38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14
Emmen Home
38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L