Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
56.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Emelec
Macara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Emelec
14 matches
Macara
16 matches
| Emelec | Statistic | Macara |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 10 | Goals For | 16 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.14 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 13.21 |
| 5.07 | Corners | 5.21 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emelec expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Macara in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Macara having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Macara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Macara.
Emelec are currently 13 in the standings with 16 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 10:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luca Klimowicz (2 goals), R. Caicedo (2 goals), I. Guerrico (1 goals), with creative support from A. Mina (2 assists), Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), I. Guerrico (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Macara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 19 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 14:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Franco Posse (4 goals), F. Paz (3 goals), M. Tello (2 goals), with creative support from F. Paz (2 assists), J. Klinger (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Emelec won 5 times, Macara won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Emelec's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Emelec
4
2
3
3
1
4
Lineups
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Libertad
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
FBC Melgar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 58:22 | 36 | 61 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Macara
Away
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 41 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:21 | 18 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 35 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 23:20 | 3 | 35 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 29 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Emelec
Home
|
24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 20:32 | -12 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 15:24 | -9 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|