Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
65.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Emelec
17 matches
Barcelona SC
31 matches
| Emelec | Statistic | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 13 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 11 |
| 14 | Goals For | 30 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.12 | Shots On Goal | 3.59 |
| 10.94 | Total Shots | 12.41 |
| 4.82 | Corners | 3.81 |
| 48.1% | Ball Possession | 48.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Barcelona SC's more proactive style and Emelec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Barcelona SC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emelec expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Barcelona SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barcelona SC having the stronger overall control. Barcelona SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 29 points while Emelec sit 11 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Emelec have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 13:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (4 goals), Romario Caicedo (2 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (1 goals), with creative support from Angelo Mina (2 assists), Francisco Pizzini (2 assists), Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 29 points from 17 games, Barcelona SC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a 20:13 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), with creative support from Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Milton Celiz (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Emelec won 2 times, Barcelona SC won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:20 from Emelec's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Lineups
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Macara
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Macara
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
Argentinos JRS
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 49:20 | 29 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 35 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Barcelona SC
Away
|
20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 34 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19:16 | 3 | 28 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 28 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21:20 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 26 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Emelec
Home
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 24 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 19:21 | -2 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 23 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 7:25 | -18 | 13 |
L
L
D
L
W
|