SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Referee: G. Cuadra
Elche
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
N. Gonzalez · Assist: R. Mendoza
Atletico Madrid
18'
D. Affengruber · Assist: Tete Morente
Elche
🟥
30'
Thiago Almada
Atletico Madrid
33'
Andre Silva
Elche
34'
N. Gonzalez · Assist: R. Le Normand
Atletico Madrid
🟨
36'
Clément Lenglet
Atletico Madrid
VAR
36'
Nicolás González
Atletico Madrid
🟨
38'
Julio Díaz
Atletico Madrid
🟨
45+4'
Buba Sangare
Elche
🟨
45+4'
Aleix Febas
Elche
🔄
46'
R. Le Normand ↔ N. Molina
Atletico Madrid
🔄
46'
J. Diaz ↔ M. Pubill
Atletico Madrid
🔄
60'
Buba Sangare ↔ V. Chust
Elche
🔄
62'
A. Baena ↔ G. Simeone
Atletico Madrid
🔄
62'
R. Mendoza ↔ A. Griezmann
Atletico Madrid
🔄
62'
O. Vargas ↔ P. Barrios
Atletico Madrid
🔄
67'
Tete Morente ↔ Josan
Elche
🔄
67'
R. Mir ↔ A. Rodriguez
Elche
🔄
67'
M. Neto ↔ L. Cepeda
Elche
75'
Andre Silva · Assist: D. Affengruber
Elche
🔄
82'
L. Petrot ↔ P. Bigas
Elche

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70%
-
Probability Distribution
Elche Win 41.2%
Draw 9.2%
Atletico Madrid Win 49.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Elche1.31
Atletico Madrid1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Elche Elche
WWDLW
47 GF / 50 GA
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
100 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.96
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
23
BTTS Yes
30
21
Over 2.5
32
3.68
Shots on Goal
5.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Elche Elche 35 matches
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 51 matches
Elche Statistic Atletico Madrid
10 Wins 28
11 Draws 9
14 Losses 14
47 Goals For 100
50 Goals Against 65
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.96
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
23 BTTS Yes 30
27 Over 1.5 42
21 Over 2.5 32
14 Over 3.5 20
9 Clean Sheets 16
5 Failed To Score 6
3.68 Shots On Goal 5.41
10.56 Total Shots 13.57
3.62 Corners 6
55.9% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atletico Madrid's more proactive style and Elche's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Elche expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Atletico Madrid in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Madrid having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Madrid carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 57 points while Elche sit 18 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Madrid.

Elche Analysis

Elche sit 18 with 32 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 39:47, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Mir (8 goals), Andre Silva (7 goals), A. Rodriguez (5 goals), with creative support from M. Neto (5 assists), A. Rodriguez (4 assists), G. Valera (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with G. Diangana, A. Boayar, M. Aguado unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Atletico Madrid Analysis

With 57 points from 31 games and a place of 4, Atletico Madrid still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 17 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 51:32 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Sorloth (10 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (6 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), Marcos Llorente (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. Although they are without A. Sorloth, J. M. Gimenez, D. Hancko, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Elche won 2 times, Atletico Madrid won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:25 from Elche's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Elche 3-4-1-2 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Missing players: Elche 1, Atletico Madrid 8
H2H summary: Elche wins 2, draws 1, Atletico Madrid wins 10
Stats
Elche Elche
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
13 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
654 Total passes 259
580 Passes accurate 189
2.78 expected_goals 1.01
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Elche
Formation
Atletico Madrid
M. Dituro
M. Dituro
Buba Sangare
Buba Sangare
D. Affengruber
🎯
D. Affengruber
L. Petrot
L. Petrot
Tete Morente
🎯
Tete Morente
G. Villar
G. Villar
A. Febas
A. Febas
M. Neto
M. Neto
G. Valera
G. Valera
R. Mir
R. Mir
Andre Silva
⚽ 2
Andre Silva
J. Oblak
J. Oblak
J. Bonar
J. Bonar
R. Le Normand
🎯
R. Le Normand
C. Lenglet
C. Lenglet
J. Diaz
J. Diaz
N. Gonzalez
⚽ 2
N. Gonzalez
J. Cardoso
J. Cardoso
R. Mendoza
🎯
R. Mendoza
O. Vargas
O. Vargas
A. Baena
A. Baena
T. Almada
T. Almada
Elche 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
M. Dituro
G
42
Buba Sangare
↓ 60' 🟨 45+4'
D
22
D. Affengruber
⚽ 18' 🎯 75'
D
21
L. Petrot
↓ 82'
D
15
Tete Morente
🎯 18' ↓ 67'
M
12
G. Villar
M
14
A. Febas
🟨 45+4'
M
16
M. Neto
↓ 67'
M
11
G. Valera
M
10
R. Mir
↓ 67'
F
9
Andre Silva
⚽ 33' ⚽ 75'
F
Substitutes
13
I. Pena
G
45
A. Iturbe
G
17
Josan
↑ 67'
M
23
V. Chust
↑ 60'
D
7
Y. Santiago
F
18
J. Donald
D
5
F. Redondo Solari
M
20
A. Rodriguez
↑ 67'
F
6
P. Bigas
↑ 82'
D
3
A. Pedrosa
D
24
L. Cepeda
↑ 67'
F
39
H. Fort
D
Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
J. Oblak
G
32
J. Bonar
D
24
R. Le Normand
🎯 34' ↓ 46'
D
15
C. Lenglet
🟨 36'
D
34
J. Diaz
↓ 46' 🟨 38'
D
23
N. Gonzalez
⚽ 10' ⚽ 34'
M
5
J. Cardoso
M
4
R. Mendoza
🎯 10' ↓ 62'
M
21
O. Vargas
↓ 62'
M
10
A. Baena
↓ 62'
F
11
T. Almada
🟥 30'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Musso
G
16
N. Molina
↑ 46'
D
20
G. Simeone
↑ 62'
F
29
R. Belaid
F
40
A. Puric
D
47
J. Morcillo
M
7
A. Griezmann
↑ 62'
F
8
P. Barrios
↑ 62'
M
18
M. Pubill
↑ 46'
D
30
D. Martinez
D
37
I. Luque
F
61
M. Cubo
F
Last matches: Elche
31.07.26
Fri
Elche
Cordoba
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Elche
Al Ain
2
2
D
24.07.26
Fri
Elche
Johor Darul Takzim FC
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Elche
Kaizer Chiefs
2
1
W
23.05.26
La
Elche
Girona
1
1
D
17.05.26
La
Elche
Getafe
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Elche
Real Betis
1
2
L
09.05.26
La
Elche
Alaves
1
1
D
03.05.26
La
Elche
Celta Vigo
1
3
L
26.04.26
La
Elche
Oviedo
2
1
W
11.04.26
La
Elche
Valencia
1
0
W
03.04.26
La
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Elche
Aston Villa
2
1
W
21.03.26
La
Elche
Mallorca
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Elche
Real Madrid
1
4
L
08.03.26
La
Elche
Villarreal
1
2
L
01.03.26
La
Elche
Espanyol
2
2
D
20.02.26
La
Elche
Athletic Club
1
2
L
13.02.26
La
Elche
Osasuna
0
0
D
07.02.26
La
Elche
Real Sociedad
1
3
L
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
14.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
5
2
W
H2H: Elche vs Atletico Madrid
22.04.26
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
23.08.25
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Elche
1
1
D
15.01.25
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
4
L
14.05.23
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
29.12.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
0
L
11.05.22
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
22.08.21
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Elche
1
0
L
01.05.21
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
19.12.20
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Elche
3
1
L
25.04.15
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Elche
3
0
L
06.12.14
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
18.04.14
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
0
L
30.11.13
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
Last matches: Elche
31.07.26
Fri
Elche
Cordoba
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Elche
Al Ain
2
2
D
24.07.26
Fri
Elche
Johor Darul Takzim FC
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Elche
Kaizer Chiefs
2
1
W
17.05.26
La
Elche
Getafe
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Elche
Alaves
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Elche
Valencia
1
0
W
21.03.26
La
Elche
Mallorca
2
1
W
01.03.26
La
Elche
Espanyol
2
2
D
13.02.26
La
Elche
Osasuna
0
0
D
31.01.26
La
Elche
Barcelona
1
3
L
19.01.26
La
Elche
Sevilla
2
2
D
03.01.26
La
Elche
Villarreal
1
3
L
21.12.25
La
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
4
0
W
07.12.25
La
Elche
Girona
3
0
W
23.11.25
La
Elche
Real Madrid
2
2
D
07.11.25
La
Elche
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
19.10.25
La
Elche
Athletic Club
0
0
D
28.09.25
La
Elche
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
21.09.25
La
Elche
Oviedo
1
0
W
H2H at home: Elche
22.04.26
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
15.01.25
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
4
L
14.05.23
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
11.05.22
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
01.05.21
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
06.12.14
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
30.11.13
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
3
3
D
15.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
5
0
W
31.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
1
1
D
13.01.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
04.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
21.12.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
3
0
W
H2H away: Atletico Madrid
22.04.26
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
3
2
L
15.01.25
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
4
W
14.05.23
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
1
0
L
11.05.22
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
2
W
01.05.21
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
1
W
06.12.14
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
2
W
30.11.13
H2H
Elche
Atletico Madrid
0
2
W

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15
Elche Home
38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Elche 1 missing
-
A. Boayar
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Atletico Madrid 8 missing
-
M. Llorente
Missing Fixture Coach's decision
OUT
-
A. Sorloth
Missing Fixture Contusion
OUT
-
J. M. Gimenez
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Koke
Missing Fixture Coach's decision
OUT
-
D. Hancko
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Ruggeri
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Alvarez
Missing Fixture Coach's decision
OUT
-
A. Lookman
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT