Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70%
|
- |
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Elche
35 matches
Atletico Madrid
51 matches
| Elche | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 28 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 14 |
| 47 | Goals For | 100 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 65 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.96 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 30 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 42 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 32 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 20 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.68 | Shots On Goal | 5.41 |
| 10.56 | Total Shots | 13.57 |
| 3.62 | Corners | 6 |
| 55.9% | Ball Possession | 52.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atletico Madrid's more proactive style and Elche's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Elche expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Atletico Madrid in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Madrid having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Madrid carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 57 points while Elche sit 18 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Madrid.
Elche sit 18 with 32 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 39:47, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Mir (8 goals), Andre Silva (7 goals), A. Rodriguez (5 goals), with creative support from M. Neto (5 assists), A. Rodriguez (4 assists), G. Valera (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with G. Diangana, A. Boayar, M. Aguado unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 57 points from 31 games and a place of 4, Atletico Madrid still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 17 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 51:32 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Sorloth (10 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (6 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), Marcos Llorente (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. Although they are without A. Sorloth, J. M. Gimenez, D. Hancko, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Elche won 2 times, Atletico Madrid won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:25 from Elche's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.
Elche
6
3
6
2
2
1
Lineups
Elche
Cordoba
Elche
Al Ain
Elche
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Elche
Kaizer Chiefs
Elche
Girona
Elche
Getafe
Elche
Real Betis
Elche
Alaves
Elche
Celta Vigo
Elche
Oviedo
Elche
Valencia
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Aston Villa
Elche
Mallorca
Elche
Real Madrid
Elche
Villarreal
Elche
Espanyol
Elche
Athletic Club
Elche
Osasuna
Elche
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Elche
Cordoba
Elche
Al Ain
Elche
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Elche
Kaizer Chiefs
Elche
Getafe
Elche
Alaves
Elche
Valencia
Elche
Mallorca
Elche
Espanyol
Elche
Osasuna
Elche
Barcelona
Elche
Sevilla
Elche
Villarreal
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Girona
Elche
Real Madrid
Elche
Real Sociedad
Elche
Athletic Club
Elche
Celta Vigo
Elche
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Atletico Madrid
Levante
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Away
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Elche
Home
|
38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|