EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Arab Contractors Stadium
Referee: A. Saleh
El Mokawloon
Match Timeline
El Gouna FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Hafiz Ibrahim
El Gouna FC
🟨
36'
Marwan Mohsen
El Gouna FC
🔄
66'
M. Mahmoud ↔ M. El Nahas
El Gouna FC
🔄
66'
M. Mohsen ↔ R. Salah
El Gouna FC
🔄
70'
H. Faisal ↔ I. Gaber
El Mokawloon
🔄
70'
M. Adel ↔ A. Ouled Behi
El Mokawloon
🟨
71'
Joackiam Ojera
El Mokawloon
🔄
78'
A. Gamal ↔ D. A. Mohamed S. E.
El Gouna FC
🔄
78'
M. Emad ↔ A. Karim
El Gouna FC
82'
S. Naguib · Assist: M. Salim
El Mokawloon
🔄
84'
M. Salim ↔ A. Hawash
El Mokawloon
🟨
90+1'
Saber El Shimi
El Gouna FC
🔄
90'
S. Naguib ↔ M. Gamal
El Mokawloon
🔄
90'
H. Ibrahim ↔ A. Refaat
El Gouna FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
El Mokawloon Win 53.7%
Draw 0%
El Gouna FC Win 46.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Mokawloon0.72
El Gouna FC0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
WWDLW
21 GF / 27 GA
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.68
14
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
4
2.75
Shots on Goal
3.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 28 matches
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 28 matches
El Mokawloon Statistic El Gouna FC
5 Wins 8
14 Draws 15
9 Losses 5
21 Goals For 21
27 Goals Against 19
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
14 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 10
2.75 Shots On Goal 3.04
9.61 Total Shots 9.71
4.64 Corners 3.46
42.1% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward El Gouna FC. El Gouna FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 39 points while El Mokawloon sit 16 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with El Mokawloon expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and El Gouna FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward El Gouna FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

El Mokawloon Analysis

With 29 points from 8 games and a place of 16, El Mokawloon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, together with goals at 8:6, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through Mohamed Salem (5 goals), S. Naguib (5 goals), Joackiam Ojera (4 goals), with creative support from Kahraba (4 assists), Joseph Ochaya (2 assists), Mohamed Salem (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

El Gouna FC Analysis

El Gouna FC are currently 11 in the standings with 39 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Emad (3 goals), Marwan Mohsen (3 goals), M. El Nahas (2 goals), with creative support from Marwan Mohsen (2 assists), M. El Nahas (2 assists), A. Gamal (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, El Mokawloon won 8 times, El Gouna FC won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:13 from El Mokawloon's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1 / El Gouna FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: El Mokawloon wins 8, draws 4, El Gouna FC wins 2
Stats
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 3
8 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 0
5 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
324 Total passes 290
229 Passes accurate 194
0.94 expected_goals 0.37
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

El Mokawloon
Formation
El Gouna FC
M. Aboul Saoud
M. Aboul Saoud
Kahraba
Kahraba
I. Abdellah
I. Abdellah
M. Hamed
M. Hamed
N. Hesham
N. Hesham
M. Adel
M. Adel
O. El Wahsh
O. El Wahsh
J. Ojera
J. Ojera
M. Salim
🎯
M. Salim
H. Faisal
H. Faisal
S. Naguib
S. Naguib
M. Alaa
M. Alaa
A. Taalab
A. Taalab
S. El Shimi
S. El Shimi
Abdel Rasoul Ahmed
Abdel Rasoul Ahmed
M. Metawea
M. Metawea
M. Mahmoud
M. Mahmoud
N. El Sayed
N. El Sayed
H. Ibrahim
H. Ibrahim
M. Emad
M. Emad
M. Mohsen
M. Mohsen
A. Gamal
A. Gamal
El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Aboul Saoud
G
26
Kahraba
D
21
I. Abdellah
D
3
M. Hamed
D
24
N. Hesham
D
31
M. Adel
↓ 70'
M
12
O. El Wahsh
M
25
J. Ojera
🟨 71'
M
9
M. Salim
🎯 82' ↓ 84'
M
32
H. Faisal
↓ 70'
M
10
S. Naguib
⚽ 82' ↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
18
M. Fawzi
G
14
M. Gamal
↑ 90'
M
22
M. Antar
F
20
I. Gaber
↑ 70'
M
44
A. Hawash
↑ 84'
F
74
M. Abdelnasser
M
4
H. Hussein
23
J. Ochaya
D
28
A. Ouled Behi
↑ 70'
M
El Gouna FC 4-3-3
Starting XI
23
M. Alaa
2
A. Taalab
D
5
S. El Shimi
🟨 90+1'
D
4
Abdel Rasoul Ahmed
D
28
M. Metawea
D
10
M. Mahmoud
↓ 66'
M
14
N. El Sayed
6
H. Ibrahim
↓ 90' 🟨 15'
M
30
M. Emad
↓ 78'
9
M. Mohsen
↓ 66' 🟨 36'
F
17
A. Gamal
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Masoud
22
M. El Nahas
↑ 66'
F
36
A. Turay
M
3
A. Khaled
D
7
A. Refaat
↑ 90'
11
D. A. Mohamed S. E.
↑ 78'
8
R. Salah
↑ 66'
M
20
A. Belia
90
A. Karim
↑ 78'
M
Last matches: El Mokawloon
29.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Future FC
3
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Kahraba Ismailia
2
2
D
18.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pharco
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Geish
2
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Masr
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Petrojet
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
1
3
L
23.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
AL Masry
1
1
D
05.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
0
1
L
22.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
25.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pyramids FC
0
2
L
04.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Smouha SC
1
1
D
Last matches: El Gouna FC
28.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Petrojet
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Geish
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Kahraba Ismailia
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Masr
2
2
D
29.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pharco
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Future FC
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
AL Masry
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ahly
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Future FC
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pyramids FC
1
1
D
23.11.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ittihad
2
0
W
H2H: El Mokawloon vs El Gouna FC
08.05.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
23.02.26
H2H
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
0
1
L
03.04.24
H2H
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
2
W
15.01.24
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
10.08.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
01.07.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
2
0
W
16.03.22
H2H
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
2
W
17.01.22
H2H
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
0
L
12.08.21
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
2
1
W
21.02.21
H2H
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
2
3
W
29.07.20
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
10.05.19
H2H
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
4
W
20.11.18
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
4
2
W
Last matches: El Mokawloon
29.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Future FC
3
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ghazl El Mehalla
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
El Geish
2
0
W
09.04.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Petrojet
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
1
3
L
19.02.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
AL Masry
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
El Mokawloon
National Bank of Egypt
0
1
L
04.11.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Smouha SC
1
1
D
17.10.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Enppi
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Kahraba Ismailia
0
1
L
17.09.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Pharco
1
1
D
29.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Ceramica Cleopatra
0
1
L
21.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
09.08.25
Pre
El Mokawloon
Masr
0
2
L
H2H at home: El Mokawloon
08.05.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
18.08.24
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
0
1
L
15.01.24
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
10.08.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
01.07.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
2
0
W
12.08.21
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
2
1
W
29.07.20
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
20.11.18
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
4
2
W
Last matches: El Gouna FC
28.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Petrojet
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Masr
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pharco
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Future FC
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
19.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ahly
0
1
L
28.01.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pyramids FC
1
1
D
23.11.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ittihad
2
0
W
27.10.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Smouha SC
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Geish
1
0
W
23.09.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Zamalek SC
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Enppi
0
0
D
10.08.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Kahraba Ismailia
1
0
W
H2H away: El Gouna FC
08.05.26
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
0
1
W
15.01.24
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
10.08.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
0
0
D
01.07.22
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
2
0
L
12.08.21
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
2
1
L
29.07.20
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
20.11.18
H2H
El Mokawloon
El Gouna FC
4
2
L

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)