EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Khaled Bichara Stadium
Referee: S. El Amrawi
El Gouna FC
Match Timeline
Ismaily SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
M. Mohsen · Assist: O. El Gazar
El Gouna FC
🟨
45+2'
Omar El Gazar
El Gouna FC
🔄
46'
M. Hassan ↔ N. Farag
Ismaily SC
🔄
55'
O. Ahmed ↔ K. Al Nabris
Ismaily SC
🔄
64'
A. El Zahdi ↔ A. Gamal
El Gouna FC
🔄
64'
R. Salah ↔ H. Ibrahim
El Gouna FC
🔄
74'
A. Abdelsalam ↔ H. Mohamed Sukar
Ismaily SC
🔄
74'
M. Samiae ↔ A. El Malawany
Ismaily SC
🟨
79'
Mohamed Ammar
Ismaily SC
🔄
81'
A. Refaat ↔ M. Emad
El Gouna FC
🔄
88'
O. El Gazar ↔ M. Metawea
El Gouna FC
🔄
89'
M. Mohsen ↔ M. El Nahas
El Gouna FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
74.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
63.6%
-
Probability Distribution
El Gouna FC Win 74.6%
Draw 4.4%
Ismaily SC Win 21.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Gouna FC0.9
Ismaily SC0.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Ismaily SC Ismaily SC
WLDWL
12 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
9
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
7
3.17
Shots on Goal
2.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 24 matches
Ismaily SC Ismaily SC 24 matches
El Gouna FC Statistic Ismaily SC
6 Wins 3
13 Draws 5
5 Losses 16
16 Goals For 12
16 Goals Against 30
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
9 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 13
3 Over 2.5 7
0 Over 3.5 1
11 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 15
3.17 Shots On Goal 2.54
10.33 Total Shots 7.5
3.63 Corners 3.67
44.7% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ismaily SC. El Gouna FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 31 points compared to Ismaily SC in 21 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with El Gouna FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ismaily SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ismaily SC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

El Gouna FC Analysis

So far, El Gouna FC have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 31 points from 4 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 0:1 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. El Nahas (2 goals), M. Emad (2 goals), Marwan Mohsen (2 goals), with creative support from M. El Nahas (2 assists), A. Gamal (2 assists), Marwan Mohsen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ismaily SC Analysis

Ismaily SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 14 points from 4 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats with a 0:1 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Mohamed (2 goals), A. Mostafa (2 goals), Mohamed Ammar (2 goals), with creative support from A. Mostafa (1 assists), Eric Traore (1 assists), M. Hamdi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, El Gouna FC won 6 times, Ismaily SC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from El Gouna FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: El Gouna FC 4-3-3 / Ismaily SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: El Gouna FC wins 6, draws 4, Ismaily SC wins 5
Stats
El Gouna FC El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC Ismaily SC
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 8
22 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 5
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 5
3 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
291 Total passes 384
195 Passes accurate 292
0.50 expected_goals 0.49
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

El Gouna FC
Formation
Ismaily SC
M. Alaa
M. Alaa
A. Taalab
A. Taalab
S. El Shimi
S. El Shimi
Abdel Rasoul Ahmed
Abdel Rasoul Ahmed
A. Khaled
A. Khaled
A. El Zahdi
A. El Zahdi
R. Salah
R. Salah
N. El Sayed
N. El Sayed
A. Refaat
A. Refaat
M. Mohsen
M. Mohsen
O. El Gazar
🎯
O. El Gazar
A. Adel
A. Adel
I. El Nagaawy
I. El Nagaawy
M. Nasr
M. Nasr
M. Ammar
M. Ammar
K. Shehata
K. Shehata
O. Ahmed
O. Ahmed
M. Hassan
M. Hassan
M. Samir
M. Samir
M. Khatary
M. Khatary
A. Abdelsalam
A. Abdelsalam
M. Samiae
M. Samiae
El Gouna FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
23
M. Alaa
2
A. Taalab
D
5
S. El Shimi
D
4
Abdel Rasoul Ahmed
D
3
A. Khaled
D
24
A. El Zahdi
↓ 64'
M
8
R. Salah
↓ 64'
M
14
N. El Sayed
7
A. Refaat
↓ 81'
9
M. Mohsen
⚽ 2' ↓ 89'
F
13
O. El Gazar
🎯 2' ↓ 88' 🟨 45+2'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Masoud
22
M. El Nahas
↑ 89'
F
10
M. Mahmoud
M
19
B. El Sayed
M
17
A. Gamal
↑ 64'
F
6
H. Ibrahim
↑ 64'
M
28
M. Metawea
↑ 88'
D
30
M. Emad
↑ 81'
20
A. Belia
Ismaily SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
A. Adel
38
I. El Nagaawy
2
M. Nasr
D
4
M. Ammar
🟨 79'
D
34
K. Shehata
35
O. Ahmed
↓ 55'
6
M. Hassan
↓ 46'
M
88
M. Samir
M
32
M. Khatary
M
40
A. Abdelsalam
↓ 74'
F
10
M. Samiae
↓ 74'
Substitutes
31
A. Gamal
G
7
K. Al Nabris
↑ 55'
F
15
N. Farag
↑ 46'
F
30
A. El Said
14
H. Mohamed Sukar
↑ 74'
D
22
A. El Malawany
↑ 74'
M
37
I. Abdelaal
M
33
A. Katkot
M
23
A. Ayman
D
Last matches: El Gouna FC
28.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Petrojet
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Geish
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
National Bank of Egypt
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Kahraba Ismailia
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Masr
2
2
D
29.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pharco
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Future FC
0
0
D
08.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
AL Masry
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ahly
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Future FC
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pyramids FC
1
1
D
23.11.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ittihad
2
0
W
Last matches: Ismaily SC
28.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Pharco
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Al Ittihad
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Masr
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Wadi Degla
1
2
L
07.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
National Bank of Egypt
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
28.04.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Petrojet
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Future FC
0
2
L
14.04.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Kahraba Ismailia
1
1
D
09.04.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
El Mokawloon
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
El Geish
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
AL Masry
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
El Gouna FC
1
2
L
24.02.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Wadi Degla
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Al Ahly
0
2
L
29.01.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Future FC
0
1
L
22.01.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
El Mokawloon
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Ismaily SC
Kahraba Ismailia
2
1
W
H2H: El Gouna FC vs Ismaily SC
19.04.26
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
Ismaily SC
El Gouna FC
1
2
W
10.12.25
H2H
Ismaily SC
El Gouna FC
1
3
W
25.05.25
H2H
Ismaily SC
El Gouna FC
3
0
L
12.02.25
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
22.07.24
H2H
Ismaily SC
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
26.02.24
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
28.07.22
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
3
L
23.02.22
H2H
Ismaily SC
El Gouna FC
0
1
W
31.01.22
H2H
Ismaily SC
El Gouna FC
4
1
L
05.05.21
H2H
Ismaily SC
El Gouna FC
3
2
L
21.12.20
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
09.03.20
H2H
Ismaily SC
El Gouna FC
1
1
D
21.09.19
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
1
L
27.05.19
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
Last matches: El Gouna FC
22.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Geish
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Kahraba Ismailia
0
1
L
29.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Haras El Hodood
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Al Ittihad
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
AL Masry
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Wadi Degla
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
El Mokawloon
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pre
El Gouna FC
Future FC
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Pharco
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
National Bank of Egypt
0
3
L
29.09.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
1
D
17.09.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Petrojet
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Masr
1
1
D
20.08.25
Pre
El Gouna FC
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
H2H at home: El Gouna FC
19.04.26
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
1
0
W
12.02.25
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
26.02.24
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
28.07.22
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
3
L
21.12.20
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
1
W
21.09.19
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
1
L
27.05.19
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Ismaily SC
23.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Al Ittihad
0
3
L
12.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Wadi Degla
1
2
L
07.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
National Bank of Egypt
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Ghazl El Mehalla
0
0
D
28.04.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Petrojet
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Kahraba Ismailia
1
1
D
09.04.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
El Mokawloon
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Haras El Hodood
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
AL Masry
0
2
L
24.02.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Ceramica Cleopatra
1
1
D
11.02.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Al Ahly
0
2
L
29.01.26
Pre
Ismaily SC
Future FC
0
1
L
26.10.25
Pre
Ismaily SC
Pharco
0
1
L
03.10.25
Pre
Ismaily SC
Smouha SC
0
2
L
24.09.25
Pre
Ismaily SC
Enppi
0
1
L
12.09.25
Pre
Ismaily SC
Masr
0
1
L
24.08.25
Pre
Ismaily SC
El Geish
1
0
W
14.08.25
Pre
Ismaily SC
Pyramids FC
0
1
L
H2H away: Ismaily SC
19.04.26
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
1
0
L
12.02.25
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
0
L
26.02.24
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
0
D
28.07.22
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
3
W
21.12.20
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
2
1
L
21.09.19
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
1
W
27.05.19
H2H
El Gouna FC
Ismaily SC
0
0
D