EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
28.05.2026 14:00
Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium
Referee: W. Nagy
El Geish
Match Timeline
Wadi Degla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Kamal Aboul-Fetouh
Wadi Degla
45'
A. El Shimi · Assist: K. Aboul-Fetouh
Wadi Degla
🔄
46'
Khaled Ramadan ↔ M. El Khawaga
El Geish
🟨
47'
Yehia Mostafa
El Geish
🔄
62'
A. El Shimi ↔ A. Scholes
Wadi Degla
🔄
62'
H. Mohamed ↔ A. Farouk
Wadi Degla
🔄
72'
F. Hatem ↔ A. Gharhy
El Geish
🔄
72'
K. Tarek ↔ M. Aziz
El Geish
🟨
78'
Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
El Geish
🔄
79'
H. Hassan ↔ O. Barakat
Wadi Degla
81'
Y. Oya
Wadi Degla
🟨
86'
Ahmed Dahesh
Wadi Degla
🔄
86'
A. Tarek ↔ M. Yasser
El Geish
🔄
89'
H. El Gabry ↔ H. Awad
El Geish
🔄
89'
A. Hussein ↔ M. Talaat
Wadi Degla
🔄
90'
Y. Oya ↔ M. Abdelrahim
Wadi Degla

El Geish vs Wadi Degla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
El Geish Win 55.2%
Draw 0%
Wadi Degla Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Geish0.76
Wadi Degla1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Geish El Geish
WWDLW
21 GF / 32 GA
Wadi Degla Wadi Degla
WLDWL
40 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.66
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
9
BTTS Yes
19
9
Over 2.5
13
3.03
Shots on Goal
3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Geish El Geish 32 matches
Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 32 matches
El Geish Statistic Wadi Degla
9 Wins 12
10 Draws 14
13 Losses 6
21 Goals For 40
32 Goals Against 29
0.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
9 BTTS Yes 19
14 Over 1.5 21
9 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 10
16 Failed To Score 9
3.03 Shots On Goal 3.31
11.09 Total Shots 10.5
4.81 Corners 5.16
52.3% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Wadi Degla's more proactive style and El Geish's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Wadi Degla. Wadi Degla carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 49 points while El Geish sit 13 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with El Geish expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Wadi Degla in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wadi Degla having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

El Geish Analysis

El Geish sit 13 with 37 points after 11 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 6:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Ouro-Agoro (5 goals), Amro Tarek (3 goals), I. Mohareb (3 goals), with creative support from I. Ouro-Agoro (4 assists), I. Mohareb (1 assists), G. Al Madadha (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wadi Degla Analysis

Wadi Degla are currently 8 in the standings with 49 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, while the 15:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Boli (9 goals), M. Diasty (5 goals), Ahmed Farouk (4 goals), with creative support from M. Diasty (5 assists), M. Magassa (2 assists), Mohamed Abdelrahim (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: El Geish 4-4-2 / Wadi Degla 4-2-3-1

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)