NORWAY 1. DIVISION
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XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Egersund Win 76.2%
Draw 6.1%
Asane Win 17.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Egersund1.95
Asane1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Egersund Egersund
WWDLW
44 GF / 43 GA
Asane Asane
WLDWL
37 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
13
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Egersund Egersund 24 matches
Asane Asane 24 matches
Egersund Statistic Asane
10 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
9 Losses 14
44 Goals For 37
43 Goals Against 51
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
13 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Asane. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Asane having the stronger overall control. Asane arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Egersund Analysis

Egersund sit 8 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 31:32 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Asane Analysis

Asane approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 27:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Egersund won 3 times, Asane won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Egersund's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Egersund - / Asane 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Egersund wins 3, draws 2, Asane wins 0
Last matches: Egersund
16.08.26
1.
Egersund
Stabaek
0
4
L
09.08.26
1.
Egersund
Stromsgodset
2
0
W
02.08.26
1.
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
26.07.26
1.
Egersund
Asane
3
3
D
04.07.26
1.
Egersund
Moss
3
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Egersund
Sogndal
2
4
L
21.06.26
1.
Egersund
Haugesund
5
2
W
14.06.26
1.
Egersund
Stabaek
1
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Egersund
Stromsgodset
0
5
L
25.05.26
1.
Egersund
hodd
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Egersund
Lyn
0
0
D
15.05.26
1.
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
2
4
L
11.05.26
1.
Egersund
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
06.05.26
1.
Egersund
Raufoss
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Egersund
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
27.04.26
1.
Egersund
Ranheim
3
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Egersund
Bryne
1
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Egersund
Strommen
3
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Bryne
4
3
W
21.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Haugesund
0
2
L
Last matches: Asane
16.08.26
1.
Asane
Raufoss
2
1
W
09.08.26
1.
Asane
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
02.08.26
1.
Asane
ODD Ballklubb
1
4
L
26.07.26
1.
Asane
Egersund
3
3
D
02.07.26
1.
Asane
Lyn
2
6
L
27.06.26
1.
Asane
Ranheim
3
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Asane
Bryne
0
1
L
14.06.26
1.
Asane
ODD Ballklubb
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Asane
Kongsvinger
1
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Asane
Raufoss
3
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Asane
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Asane
Haugesund
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Asane
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Asane
hodd
0
1
L
25.04.26
1.
Asane
Sogndal
0
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Asane
Strommen
4
5
L
12.04.26
1.
Asane
Stabaek
0
4
L
06.04.26
1.
Asane
Moss
2
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Asane
Sogndal
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Asane
hodd
0
1
L
H2H: Egersund vs Asane
26.07.26
H2H
Asane
Egersund
3
3
D
23.08.25
H2H
Egersund
Asane
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Asane
Egersund
0
2
W
28.09.24
H2H
Asane
Egersund
1
2
W
05.06.24
H2H
Egersund
Asane
1
0
W
Last matches: Egersund
16.08.26
1.
Egersund
Stabaek
0
4
L
02.08.26
1.
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
04.07.26
1.
Egersund
Moss
3
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Egersund
Haugesund
5
2
W
31.05.26
1.
Egersund
Stromsgodset
0
5
L
20.05.26
1.
Egersund
Lyn
0
0
D
11.05.26
1.
Egersund
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
06.05.26
1.
Egersund
Raufoss
2
1
W
27.04.26
1.
Egersund
Ranheim
3
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Egersund
Bryne
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Egersund
Bryne
4
3
W
27.02.26
Fri
Egersund
Sandnes ULF
3
3
D
31.01.26
Fri
Egersund
Vidar
4
1
W
H2H at home: Egersund
23.08.25
H2H
Egersund
Asane
1
1
D
05.06.24
H2H
Egersund
Asane
1
0
W
Last matches: Asane
16.08.26
1.
Asane
Raufoss
2
1
W
02.08.26
1.
Asane
ODD Ballklubb
1
4
L
02.07.26
1.
Asane
Lyn
2
6
L
21.06.26
1.
Asane
Bryne
0
1
L
31.05.26
1.
Asane
Kongsvinger
1
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Asane
Haugesund
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Asane
hodd
0
1
L
25.04.26
1.
Asane
Sogndal
0
2
L
12.04.26
1.
Asane
Stabaek
0
4
L
29.03.26
Fri
Asane
Sogndal
1
1
D
H2H away: Asane
23.08.25
H2H
Egersund
Asane
1
1
D
05.06.24
H2H
Egersund
Asane
1
0
L

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 3 3 48:19 29 39
W W W W W
2 18 12 3 3 48:28 20 39
W W L W W
3 18 12 1 5 57:36 21 37
L W W L W
4 18 10 5 3 47:26 21 35
W L W D L
5 18 9 3 6 32:32 0 30
W W W L W
6 18 8 5 5 35:28 7 29
L D W D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W W W L W
8 18 8 2 8 31:32 -1 26
L W W D W
9 18 7 2 9 44:45 -1 23
L W L L L
10 18 6 3 9 32:43 -11 21
W L L W L
11 18 6 2 10 29:38 -9 20
W L W D W
12 19 6 2 11 26:35 -9 20
L L L L L
13 18 5 3 10 29:41 -12 18
L D L L L
14
Asane Away
18 5 2 11 27:40 -13 17
W L L D L
15 18 5 1 12 22:43 -21 16
L L L W W
16 18 4 3 11 25:45 -20 15
L L W D L
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