GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
18.04.2026 11:00
Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion
Referee: R. Schroder
Dynamo Dresden
Match Timeline
VfL Bochum
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
J. Ceka · Assist: B. Bobzien
Dynamo Dresden
🟨
34'
Erhan Mašović
VfL Bochum
🟨
54'
Leandro Morgalla
VfL Bochum
58'
V. Vermeij · Assist: B. Bobzien
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
64'
C. Marshall ↔ K. Watjen
VfL Bochum
🔄
64'
G. Holtmann ↔ F. Alfa-Ruprecht
VfL Bochum
🔄
69'
J. Ceka ↔ J. Lemmer
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
74'
N. Hauptmann ↔ T. Menzel
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
74'
K. Amoako ↔ L. Boeder
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
76'
E. Masovic ↔ K. Vogt
VfL Bochum
🔄
76'
K. Miyoshi ↔ K. Koscierski
VfL Bochum
🔄
82'
L. Morgalla ↔ M. Kwarteng
VfL Bochum
🔄
85'
V. Vermeij ↔ C. Daferner
Dynamo Dresden
🔄
85'
R. Wagner ↔ L. Herrmann
Dynamo Dresden

Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Dynamo Dresden Win 61.1%
Draw 7.4%
VfL Bochum Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dynamo Dresden1.54
VfL Bochum1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
WWDLW
47 GF / 47 GA
VfL Bochum VfL Bochum
WLDWL
43 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
21
BTTS Yes
19
21
Over 2.5
15
4.28
Shots on Goal
4.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 29 matches
VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 29 matches
Dynamo Dresden Statistic VfL Bochum
8 Wins 9
8 Draws 9
13 Losses 11
47 Goals For 43
47 Goals Against 41
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
21 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 24
21 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 4
4.28 Shots On Goal 4.76
12.93 Total Shots 14.31
4.9 Corners 5.21
49% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with VfL Bochum's more proactive style and Dynamo Dresden's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward VfL Bochum. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Dynamo Dresden Analysis

So far, Dynamo Dresden have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 32 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 47:47 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Daferner (7 goals), V. Vermeij (7 goals), J. Lemmer (5 goals), with creative support from N. Hauptmann (5 assists), A. Rossipal (4 assists), J. Sterner (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

VfL Bochum Analysis

From their first 29 matches, VfL Bochum have collected 36 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 43:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Philipp Hofmann (10 goals), F. Onyeka (8 goals), G. Holtmann (5 goals), with creative support from Philipp Hofmann (6 assists), Maximilian Wittek (5 assists), Koji Miyoshi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo Dresden won 5 times, VfL Bochum won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:23 from Dynamo Dresden's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: Dynamo Dresden 4-2-3-1 / VfL Bochum 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dynamo Dresden wins 5, draws 5, VfL Bochum wins 5

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga