FRANCE › LIGUE 2
20.04.2026 18:45
Stade Marcel Tribut
Referee: T. Bouille
Dunkerque
Match Timeline
Laval
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
M. Camara
Laval
🟨
24'
Cyril Mandouki
Laval
🟨
44'
William Bianda
Laval
🔄
60'
T. Massock ↔ E. Sylvestre
Dunkerque
🔄
61'
M. Bokele Mputu ↔ M. Essimi
Dunkerque
🟨
66'
Mathis Houdayer
Laval
🔄
67'
M. Houdayer ↔ E. Clavreul
Laval
🔄
74'
A. Linguet ↔ A. Kante
Dunkerque
🔄
74'
A. Zossou ↔ A. Daho
Dunkerque
🔄
83'
M. Sellouki ↔ T. Thomas
Laval
⚽
85'
E. Clavreul · Assist: T. Thomas
Laval
🔄
89'
L. Doucet ↔ I. Eguaras
Dunkerque
🟨
90+6'
Vincent Sasso
Dunkerque

Dunkerque vs Laval Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dunkerque Win 63.1%
Draw 27.3%
Laval Win 9.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dunkerque1.48
Laval1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dunkerque Dunkerque
WWDLW
53 GF / 41 GA
Laval Laval
WLDWL
41 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
21
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
13
3.78
Shots on Goal
3.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dunkerque Dunkerque 33 matches
Laval Laval 35 matches
Dunkerque Statistic Laval
11 Wins 8
11 Draws 13
11 Losses 14
53 Goals For 41
41 Goals Against 45
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
21 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 15
3.78 Shots On Goal 3.36
9.88 Total Shots 8.85
4.06 Corners 4.73
54.7% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Dunkerque's more proactive style and Laval's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Laval. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dunkerque expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Laval in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Laval having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Dunkerque have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Dunkerque Analysis

Dunkerque approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 40 points from 30 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 45:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Robinet (12 goals), E. Bardeli (9 goals), A. Sekongo (8 goals), with creative support from G. Yassine (6 assists), E. Bardeli (5 assists), Geoffrey Kondo (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Laval Analysis

Laval sit 16 with 25 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 13 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 26:43 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Camara (7 goals), E. Clavreul (4 goals), M. Sellouki (4 goals), with creative support from M. Tchokounte (3 assists), T. Vargas (3 assists), M. Sellouki (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Dunkerque won 3 times, Laval won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Dunkerque's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Dunkerque 4-2-3-1 / Laval 4-4-2
H2H summary: Dunkerque wins 3, draws 2, Laval wins 6

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16
Laval Away
34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation