SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
12.05.2026 18:45
Tannadice Park
Referee: G. Irvine
Dundee Utd
Match Timeline
Livingston
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Cammy Kerr
Livingston
🟨
60'
Emmanuel Danso
Livingston
🟨
62'
Panutche Camará
Dundee Utd
🔄
62'
P. Camara ↔ C. Sibbald
Dundee Utd
🔄
62'
N. Farrugia ↔ I. Dolcek
Dundee Utd
🔄
62'
Z. Sapsford ↔ O. Stirton
Dundee Utd
🔄
68'
J. Russell ↔ J. Eskesen
Dundee Utd
🔄
70'
S. Pittman ↔ B. McKay
Livingston
🟨
74'
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Livingston
🔄
76'
E. Danso ↔ J. Zimmerman
Livingston
🔄
76'
C. Montano ↔ B. Fati
Livingston
🔄
76'
R. Muirhead ↔ A. Denholm
Livingston
🔄
83'
R. Strain ↔ S. Constable
Dundee Utd
🟨
86'
Joshua Zimmerman
Livingston
VAR
86'
Joshua Zimmerman
Livingston
🔄
87'
L. Smith ↔ S. Culbert
Livingston
🟨
89'
Scott Constable
Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd vs Livingston Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dundee Utd Win 82.3%
Draw 4.8%
Livingston Win 12.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dundee Utd1.6
Livingston1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
WWDLW
54 GF / 63 GA
Livingston Livingston
WLDWL
39 GF / 71 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.97
22
BTTS Yes
24
21
Over 2.5
23
4.28
Shots on Goal
3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 40 matches
Livingston Livingston 36 matches
Dundee Utd Statistic Livingston
12 Wins 2
15 Draws 14
13 Losses 20
54 Goals For 39
63 Goals Against 71
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.97
22 BTTS Yes 24
35 Over 1.5 31
21 Over 2.5 23
15 Over 3.5 14
8 Clean Sheets 3
12 Failed To Score 11
4.28 Shots On Goal 3.31
12.65 Total Shots 9.72
4.25 Corners 4.53
39.6% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Livingston. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Dundee Utd have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Dundee Utd arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 43 points compared to Livingston in 6 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Dundee Utd Analysis

Dundee Utd approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 1 with 43 points from 36 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 48:59, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Fatah (8 goals), Zachary Sapsford (8 goals), I. Dolcek (5 goals), with creative support from W. Ferry (6 assists), L. Stephenson (5 assists), A. Fatah (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Livingston Analysis

So far, Livingston have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 20 points from 36 matches. The record of 2 wins, 14 draws, and 20 defeats, together with a 39:71 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Smith (7 goals), Jeremy Bokila (5 goals), R. Muirhead (5 goals), with creative support from Cristian Montano (3 assists), M. Tait (3 assists), L. Smith (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundee Utd won 5 times, Livingston won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Dundee Utd's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Dundee Utd 3-4-2-1 / Livingston 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Dundee Utd wins 5, draws 4, Livingston wins 6

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round